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Michael B KelleyJuly 7, 2014Super Typhoon Neoguri, a "once in decades storm," is about to hit the southern Okinawa island chain with heavy rain and powerful winds before making landfall across the entire island of Japan this week. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) said the system, which is already producing winds up to 150 mph, may develop into an "extremely intense" storm by Tuesday as it moves north. (snip)

Review of Arthur, past early-season hurricanes. Typhoon off Japan. 72 hour to 10 day forecast for lower 48. Arctic summer temps, sea ice.

Continuing track of Arthur. Joe has been posting at WUWT, and I've been reading that since I fired up the computer this morning. I've learned an amazing amount of stuff, not just from Joe, but from people who post in response! So I got to Joe's post at Weatherbell kinda late. But here it is!

Climate change is happening in America’s national parks, and in some cases in rapid and concerning ways, says a new report authored by the National Park Service. The changes will have implications for what visitors see and experience and will require new approaches to the protection of natural and historic resources within parks, the report says. “This report shows that climate change continues to be the most far-reaching and consequential challenge ever faced by our national parks,” says National Park Service Director Jonathan Jarvis. “Our national parks can serve as places where we can monitor and document ecosystem change without...

The Dare County Control Group has issued a mandatory evacuation order for residents and visitors on Hatteras Island beginning at 5:00 a.m., Thursday, July 3, 2014. After 5:00 a.m. Thursday, no access will be allowed to Hatteras Island. All Hatteras Island residents and visitors are advised to evacuate as quickly as possible during daylight hours on Thursday before the effects of Tropical Storm Arthur begin to bring high winds, rough seas, dangerous rip currents, and the potential for water and sand overwash on NC Highway 12. A State of Emergency has been issued for all of Dare County with the...

video link here

Update on Hurricane Arthur.

Update on the progress of Tropical Cyclone Arthur.

Tropical Storm Arthur forms off coast of Florida; 1st named storm of the Atlantic season.

000 WTNT31 KNHC 010301 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2014 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS FORMS EAST OF FLORIDA... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 79.1W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ESE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM NNW OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH...

Severe weather will lash through areas from the Midwest to the Great Lakes into Tuesday, hitting some of the major cities in the United States, including Chicago, St. Louis and Detroit.

Hurricane forecast; Fourth of July forecast; Arctic/Antarctic cooling/ice extant.

Climate change is happening, and with that will come more deaths from heat-related illness and disease, according to a report released Tuesday. The report, spearheaded and funded by investor and philanthropist Thomas Steyer, former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, and former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, examines many of the effects of climate change for business and individuals. "One of the most striking findings in our analysis is that increasing heat and humidity in some parts of the country could lead to outside conditions that are literally unbearable to humans, who must maintain a skin temperature below 95°F in order to...

Could climate change mean fewer stone crabs in South Florida? Increasing carbon dioxide in the oceans has made it harder for the succulent sea creatures and potentially other shellfish to reproduce, according to Philip Gravinese, a marine biologist working with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The globe just experienced the hottest May in recorded history, according to reports from multiple organizations. Ocean and land temperatures rose 0.74 degrees Celsius (1.33 degrees Fahrenheit) over the 20th Century average, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). That makes May 2014 the warmest May since the agency started tracking those figures in 1880. Both NASA and Japan Meteorological Agency came to the same conclusion — this was the warmest May ever recorded. Overall, this was the second warmest spring ever, trailing only the March-May period in 2010, according to the NOAA.

Joe covers just about everything here. 1-10 day forecast, how well Weatherbell did last year in forecasting the winter, up to date info on the ENSO, and global ice. So it's all there.

Heat wave mid-Atlantic, Central States cool/wet. "Super" El Nino contraindicated. Artic Sea ice extent for August above the mean.

"The meteorological service needs to "provide accurate data for weather forecast and meteorological and climatic information required by various fields of national economy in good time," Kim said, though he appeared to place blame on outdated equipment and scientific method. The Washington Post notes, however, that the "strain on the faces of those being lectured is quite evident" per Rodong Sinmun's photos; CNN describes Kim as appearing "red-faced."

Artic ice, rainfall, the coming "Super Niño," and the NOAA adjustment of recorded temperature data. Texas is finally getting some rain.

"The World Bank has published a new report: Agreeing on Robust Decisions: New Process for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty. This is an important report that lays out a new process to help decision makers better manage uncertainty and disagreement, particularly around climate change, by guiding them to the right decision making processes." Even the World Bank gets it; climate is just too varied to bank on.