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Republican Blake Masters is neck and neck with [the Democrat incumbent] in Arizona’s U.S. Senate race, while Republican Kari Lake has expanded her lead in the governor’s race, according to a poll.The Trafalgar Group poll, released Sunday, shows Masters just 1.2 percentage points back of [his Democrat opponent]. Of the likely voter respondents, 45.4 percent say they support Masters, who is backed by former President Donald J. Trump, versus 46.6 percent who back [the Democrat]. Another 5.3 percent are undecided, and only 2.7 percent plan to vote for [the] Libertarian candidate ....***The numbers are consistent with a recent Emerson College...

Americans are telling the liberal media hacks trying to drive excitement over President Joe Biden’s student debt forgiveness scam to take a hike, according to a new poll. The Trafalgar Group, in conjunction with Convention of States Action, released a survey Sept. 12 of 1,084 likely 2022 election voters spelling possible doom for leftist candidates who support Biden’s legally dubious plan to cancel $10,000 in student loan debt for anyone making less than $125,000 (or $250,000 for couples filing jointly). Specifically, 55.6 percent of voters said they are “less likely” to vote for candidates that back Biden’s plan. Even worse,...

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) --- A new poll released Friday night by the Trafalgar Group has the three leading candidates in the Missouri U.S. Senate Republican primary separated by about one point. The poll released on Friday has current U.S. House Rep. Vicky Hartzler (R-MO) leading former Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens and current Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt. Hartzler earned 24.0% in the poll, with Greitens coming in with 23.5% and Schmitt rounding out the top three with 22.8%. The primary is one of the top contested races across the country.

Ohio Republican leaders are calling on President Trump to not endorse J.D. Vance in the state’s Senate primary in a letter that surfaced on Thursday. The letter, which was signed by more than 30 signatories from various county GOP chairs as well as state central steering committee members, cites Ohio Republicans’ support for Trump in 2016 and 2020 and Vance’s past anti-Trump comments. “While we were working hard in Ohio to support you and Make America Great Again, JD Vance was actively working against your candidacy,” the Republicans wrote. “He referred to your supporters as ‘racists’ and proudly voted for...

American voters are panning the media’s attempts to propagate President Joe Biden’s Orwellian vaccine mandate on businesses across the country. A new poll of 1,098 likely voters found that a majority (58.6%) “do not believe President Biden has the constitutional authority to force private businesses to require vaccine mandates for employees.” The numbers were reinforced by a majority of Independent voters (68.2%) who rejected Biden’s mandate as constitutionally dubious. The poll by The Trafalgar Group — in partnership with Convention of States Action — revealed that a majority (55.5%) also see the mandate as setting a dangerous precedent that could...

The liberal media have tried to divert blame away from President Joe Biden for the skyrocketing inflation occurring under his leftist agenda. But Americans aren’t buying it. A newly released poll by the Trafalgar Group — in partnership with Convention of States Action — revealed that a bipartisan 39 percent plurality of Americans held Biden as “most responsible for rising inflation.” The demographics within the poll of 1,073 likely voters were very telling: 39.3 percent of respondents were Democrat, while only 35.6 percent were Republican, and 25.1 percent were “Non-Partisan/Other.” So much for The Hill’s recent attempt to spin concerns...

One of the nation’s more accurate pollsters is bullish on Sen. Kelly Loeffler’s chances to win her runoff race against Raphael Warnock but less confident that Sen. David Perdue will best Jon Ossoff. “We see the Warnock-Loeffler race as one that will be less close. We feel more confident that Loeffler is going to probably prevail,” Robert Cahaly, the chief pollster for the Trafalgar Group, told the Washington Examiner. “We feel more confident that the other one is going to be closer.” Trafalgar’s most recent polls in Georgia show two different races developing, with Loeffler leading Warnock by almost 7...

Earlier this week, we wrote about the Trafalgar Group, an outlier pollster that routinely produces rosier results for President Trump's re-election prospects than any of its competitors. If you're on the Trump Train, you love Trafalgar, and you likely already know that its data was much more predictive of some of Trump's upset victories in 2016 -- not to mention calling the 2018 Florida governor's race correctly when basically no one else did. That said, you may be less interested in the outfit's big swings and misses, like overestimating Brian Kemp's victory margin in Georgia's gubernatorial contest last cycle by ten...

President Donald Trump has taken a narrow lead in Pennsylvania, a Trafalgar Group survey released on Tuesday — one week from Election Day — found. The survey, taken October 24-25, among 1,077 respondents, found Trump carrying a slight edge in the Keystone State, garnering 48.4 percent to former Vice President Joe Biden’s 47.6 percent. The results, which include leaners, show 2.2 percent backing Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen and one percent of voters remaining undecided. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 2.91 percent.

Three post-debate polls in swing states that will decide the 2020 election show President Donald Trump with a small lead.In Michigan, the Trafalgar Group, one of the most accurate swing state pollsters in 2016 and 2018, shows Trump leading former Vice President Joe Biden by two points, 49 to 47 percent, with third party libertarian nominee Jo Jorgensen at two percent. Earlier this month, this same pollster had Trump up by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.Trump is also up two with Trafalgar in Florida, 49 to 47 percent, over Biden. Jorgensen is again at two percent. Earlier this...

Robert Cahaly, a chief pollster for the Trafalgar Group, believes there is a “hidden vote” missing from most polls and envisions a President Trump victory. Cahaly made the prediction during an interview with Fox News personality Sean Hannity. “I see the president winning with a minimum high 270s and possibly going up significantly higher based on just how big this undercurrent is,” he said. President Trump or Joe Biden would need 270 electoral votes to win the White House. “What we’ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote,” he continued. “There is a clear feeling...

The latest state polling by the Trafalgar Group predicts another win for President Trump in the upper 270’s to low 280’s in the Electoral College, but the CEO highlights a couple of big cautions for Republicans. In an lengthy interview on the National Review “The Editors” podcast, the Trafalgar Group CEO Robert Cahaly told NR’s Rich Lowry that he predicts Trump will win the battleground states of Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, Texas. He said things are tighter in Wisconsin and Arizona, though Cahaly says Trump has the lead and will “probably win” in Arizona. Our new @trafalgar_group #2020Election #FL #BattlegroundState...

BREAKING: New Trafalgar Group Poll Shows Trump with Thin Lead in MICHIGAN: Trump 46.5% Biden 45.9%

Trafalgar Group, a Georgia-based polling firm known for its ability to correctly sample hard-to-reach, conservative Trump voters, shows President Trump with leads in the key battleground states of North Carolina, Florida and Michigan. During the 2016 presidential race — widely predicted wrong by the mainstream polling establishment —the Trafalgar Group was the only pollster within the RealClearPolitics polling aggregator to show candidate Donald Trump defeating rival Hillary Clinton in Michigan. Their polls in 2016 also showed Donald Trump winning Pennsylvania — again, they were nearly alone in projecting Trump's narrow victory there — and thus taking the White House. "Cahaly's...

Thompson was endorsed by the Minnesota DFL Party and Gov. Tim Walz in his campaign for the State Legislature. A DFL-endorsed candidate for the Minnesota House screamed profanities at a group of teenaged girls during a protest Saturday outside the home of Bob Kroll in Hugo, Minnesota. “I’m a black man being terrorized by this f–ing Klansman right here,” shouted John Thompson, who won his primary Tuesday for House District 67A. “Y’all got the grand wizard living in your [vulgarity] neighborhood.” “Don’t run now. Don’t run now racist white people. I’m here. Oh yeah, we pull up. We pulled the...

<p>John Thompson, who recently won the Dem primary for 67A in St Paul , gathered with BLM protestors in front of Police Union leader Bob Kroll’s house. He screamed, “Don’t be scared racist white people.” And “f*ck Hugo Minnesota!”</p>

Biden (D) 46.9, Trump (R) 46.5, Jorgensen (Libt) 3.7, Other 1.2, Undecided 1.7 (p. 3)

President Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden are statistically tied in Minnesota, according to a new poll. The latest survey from the Trafalgar Group finds Biden at 46.9 percent and Trump at 46.5 percent. Libertarian Party candidate Jo Jorgensen gets 3.7 percent support, while 1.7 percent are undecided and 1.2 percent said they'd support someone else. The Trafalgar Group's surveys have been showing a tighter race in the battlegrounds than other pollsters have found. The outlet weights its polls to account for a "social desirability bias," or the so-called shy Trump voters who are embarrassed to tell pollsters they...