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Keyword: pollsampling

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  • Oversampling Dems (Party ID has shifted, polls are stuck in ’08.)

    06/08/2012 6:03:23 PM PDT · by neverdem · 8 replies
    National Review Online ^ | June 7, 2012 | Michael G. Franc
    How important is it for polling organizations to include the correct proportions of self-identified Republicans and Democrats in their polls? The short answer is: Extremely.In this hyper-partisan age, the partisan ratio can not only determine the poll’s top-line results, but also shape the ensuing media interpretation of what it all “means.” That interpretation defines the expectations game, which, in turn, affects fundraising, voter enthusiasm, and turnout.According to a spate of recent polls conducted by Marist/NBC News, Democrats hold strong or even commanding leads in three key U.S. Senate races: Florida (up 4 points), Virginia (up 6), and Ohio (up...