Free Republic

Prediction Markets Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz. Related Publication 04-19. Sep 2004. We analyze the extent to which simple markets can be used to aggregate disperse information into efficient forecasts of uncertain future events. Drawing together data from a range of prediction contexts, we show that market-generated forecasts are typically fairly accurate, and that they outperform most moderately sophisticated benchmarks. Carefully designed contracts can yield insight into the market's expectations about probabilities, means and medians, and also uncertainty about these parameters. Moreover, conditional markets can effectively reveal the market's beliefs about regression coefficients, although we still have the usual problem of...

Preamble The Constitution Party gratefully acknowledges the blessing of our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ as Creator, Preserver and Ruler of the Universe and of these United States. We hereby appeal to Him for mercy, aid, comfort, guidance and the protection of His Providence as we work to restore and preserve these United States. This great nation was founded, not by religionists, but by Christians; not on religions but on the Gospel of Jesus Christ. For this very reason peoples of other faiths have been and are afforded asylum, prosperity, and freedom of worship here. The goal of the Constitution...

Twisted Facts and Falsehoods in Media Fund Ad Democratic group's ad claims Bush turned White House into "corporate headquarters," but backs that up with false claims. 05.14.2004 Summary The latest ad from the Media Fund -- the group headed by former Clinton White House aide Harold Ickes -- shows the White House lawn being given over to corporate logos and a neon sign saying "Corporate Headquarters." There's no question Bush is pro-business, but this ad goes far over the line on several counts. It implies Bush hasn't acted to protect pensions, fight corporate corruption or provide a "real" prescription drug...

The "Axe Murder Incident" 18 August 1976 at Panmunjom The Attack Begins On Wednesday 18 August 1976 at 1040 hours in the morning, a United Nations Command (UNC) work force of five Korean Service Corps (KSC) personnel accompanied by and UNC security force, including the Joint Security Force (JSF) Commander, Captain (P) Arthur G. Bonifas of Newburgh, New York, First Lieutenant Mark T. Barrett of Columbia, South Carolina, and one Republic of (South) Korean Army (ROKA) officer started to prune a large tree in the vicinity of UNC Check Point #3. This tree partially obscured the view between UNC Check...

Some of this hard fought battle is due to the ESTABLISHMENTS (no pun intended) ability to make each locality, state and even at the National level appear to be a LOCAL battle to implement LAWS. LIBERALS are the original folks who fought to bring down many established boundaries and lines, if I am to understand their theology correctly. In as much, they have established a new order built on an even more oppressive leadership style they will use hard-line tactics to coheres as an obligation their standards and rules. Then is it any wonder that they are so closely identified...

The Clinton Legacy Cookbook The only item to escape the Clinton Administration without DNA on it! August 27 2000, I posted a simple Thread. That was the beginning of an adventure that has lasted all of these months. A fun and fanciful look at the world of great food and witty politics expertly blended by renowned master Chef Carlo Morelli!  This 272 page collection of favorite recipes, hilarious cartoons, and whimsical humor is a true recipe for sidesplitting and tummybustin' fun. In gratitude to the collaborative effort of over 200 Freeper contributors, proceeds from the sale of this venture...

Buy it NOWThe Clinton Legacy Cookbookin your Christmas stockingThe only item to escape the Clinton Administration without DNA on it! A fun and fanciful look at the world of Great Food and Hilarious Politics, blended by a world renowned Chef Entrepreneur Carlo Morelli! This is a real world cookbook is a true recipe for sidesplitting and tummybustin. This is the collaborative effort of over 200 contributors and has been 2 years in the stirring presentation! The Proceeds from the sale of this venture will advance the heroic efforts of the FReeRepublic.com enterprise. By Chef Carlo3b....GarlicPress Publishing This publication is dedicated...

Bush's war plans are a cover-up, Byrd saysSaturday September 21, 2002By Paul J. Nyden STAFF WRITER Sen. Robert C. Byrd, D-W.Va., said President Bush’s plans to invade Iraq are a conscious effort to distract public attention from growing problems at home.“This administration, all of a sudden, wants to go to war with Iraq,” Byrd said. “The [political] polls are dropping, the domestic situation has problems.... So all of a sudden we have this war talk, war fervor, the bugles of war, drums of war, clouds of war.“Don’t tell me that things suddenly went wrong. Back in August, the president had...