In the run-up to what looks likely to become known as the First Gulf War, American planners were haunted by a "nightmare scenario". That was, that Saddam Hussein would suddenly see sense and start acting in his own best interests. By simply withdrawing from Kuwait he could preserve his military strength, claim a moral victory and establish himself as the new Nasser, the champion of the Arab world. Similar concerns must now be troubling hawks in the Bush administration. Saddam has everything to gain, including life itself, from moving to pro-active co-operation with the weapons inspectors. But now, as 12...