Free Republic

We ask voters what the chance is that they will vote for Trump, Clinton or someone else, using a 0-100 scale. The overall level of support for each candidate reflects the weighted average of those responses.

Yesterday, we highlighted Hillary's growing "Millennial Problem" pointing out that her support among young voters seemingly collapsed at the same time she took her 9/11 "stumble" off the sidewalk (see: "Hillary's Growing "Millennial Problem" Forces A Reset"). In fact, the collapse is reflected in the Real Clear Politics average of national polls, which shows Clinton's lead has now been reduced to the smallest margin since the DNC. But, according to the latest polling data from the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times daily tracking poll, Millennial voters aren't the only demographic hurting Clinton. First, the overall daily poll, which tracks 3,000 U.S....

The governor takes a commanding lead, with many Democrats and independents saying they support him. A key issue is leadership skill. Just over five weeks before election day, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger holds a commanding lead over his Democratic challenger, state Treasurer Phil Angelides, who has built scant support beyond a core base of liberals, according to a new Los Angeles Times Poll. If the Nov. 7 election were held today, likely voters would favor the Republican governor over Angelides 50% to 33%. The survey found an abundance of grim signs for Angelides, including a failure to match Schwarzenegger's success in...

A $37-billion package of proposed public works bonds that has strong bipartisan support in Sacramento is in some peril among voters, along with ballot measures dealing with alternative energy and a cigarette tax, according to a new Los Angeles Times poll. The vast majority of likely voters knew too little about the infrastructure bonds — backed by both Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and Democratic legislators — to express an opinion. After poll respondents were read a ballot summary of each measure, none of the items generated much enthusiasm. Only two eked out a bare majority: those on housing and disaster...

Adding some needed oomph to Treasurer Phil Angelides' down-in-the-polls campaign for governor, California Democratic Party delegates voted Saturday to endorse him over opponent Steve Westly. And it wasn't close. Angelides received 67.2 percent of the delegate vote, compared to 28.1 percent for Westly late Saturday, the same day a Los Angeles Times poll showed Westly with a 13-point lead among likely Democratic primary voters. Now, Angelides heads into the June Primary with bragging rights. It was the first time the party had bestowed a pre-primary endorsement in a contested governor's race in 16 years. Voting took place Saturday evening, and...