Free Republic

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

We've finally given up on holding our Master List to just 100 races. There are just too many Vulnerable Democrats surfacing unexpectedly for us to stick to that plan.This weeks Dem Victim is RI-01. Rhode Island's 1st district made it on to our Master List as a result of Leans D ratings by Cook and RCP plus a couple of Likely D ratings from Sabato and CQP. We'll wait to see what EP and Rothenberg have to say next week.So we now have 101 seats in play - 94 Dem seats and 7 for the Republicans. And only 4 of...

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

Political Junkie Too, the resident statistical wiz at Freerepublic.com has taken the average KeyHouseRaces ratings by our 6 "Experts" for each of the districts on our Master List and built a computer model to generate an estimate of the outcome of the 2010 election for the House of Representatives. The model uses a technique known as a Monte Carlo simulation that utilizes probability functions for each of the KeyHouseRaces ratings categories - Leans D, Toss Up, etc and then runs a simulated election based on these probabilities.As we started to get some decent poll data PJ Too decided to build...

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

House Race Changes Isaac Wood, House Race Editor October 14th, 2010 Polling, independent expenditures, and the general intensification of campaigns across the country provide us with new clues about the November outcome that is in store. Our overall view of the Republican wave remains the same, at a GOP net pick-up of 47 seats, but we now know more about which seats are truly endangered and where each side was just tilting at windmills. This week, we make 26 changes to our House ratings. Among our changes this week, there is a lone bright spot for Democrats. In OH-13, incumbent...

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

House Projection for October 11 October marches on, and so does the House generic ballot polling. Last week Republicans were on the rebound and this week every single generic is showing Republicans back on top, as has not been the case lately. So let’s see what the damage is. As usual, to run my projection I take the recent generic ballot polls from Real Clear Politics, subtract out the undecideds and third party votes to get a pure two party vote, then compare that with the two party vote of 2008. From there, I take a weighted average of the...

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

We've made major changes to the Master List in the last 7 days. We added 5 more Vulnerable Dems seats to our list: MS-04, NC-02, NC-07, OH-06 and WI-03And, just to keep our list at an even 100, at least for now, we took 5 very safe GOP seats off our list: MN-06, OH-02, FL-12, PA-06 and NE-02.That leaves us with 100 seats in play - 93 Dem seats and 7 for the Republicans. And only 4 of those GOP seats are looking vulnerable at this point.In addition, we added IA-01, NM-03 and MI-15 to our Tier 2 watch list....

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

Charlie Cook has just updated the ratings for WI-03 and NC-07 to Leans D and that was enough to push these districts onto out Master List.And we've made a policy change on how we add and subtract races from the Master List. We will keep our basic criteria for putting a race on to the Master list. That criteria is pretty simple: The district must be rated as LEANS D or better (from a GOP perspective) by at least 2 of our 'Experts'.As we add Dems to the list we will take Republicans we view as VERY SAFE off the...

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....

The Key House Races "Candidate of the Day" thread will be posted daily up until Nov. 2 and feature a different candidate each day. Each of these candidates is in a Toss Up, Leans D, or Likely D race and represents one of the front line soldiers in the fierce battle for control of the U.S. House.The DCCC and liberal special interest groups are pouring resources into these races and will continue to do so up until Nov. 2. Thousands of donations targeted toward the GOP candidates in competitive races will NEUTRALIZE the donations of these Democratic special interest groups....