In this, the granddaddy of all year-end fearless forecasts, you are invited to weigh intriguing possibilities in a dozen fields. For each, pick one, all or none, and don’t play it safe; one correct wild guess gives you bragging rights forever. 1. The Oscar for Best Picture goes to: (a) Robert Zemeckis’ The Polar Express; (b) Michael Mann’s Collateral; (c) David Mamet’s Spartan; (d) Clint Eastwood’s Million Dollar Baby (to win this choice, a trifecta is needed, with Best Director and Best Actor as well); (e) Michael Moore’s Fahrenheit 9/11 (from Academy members seeking vengeance).