Free Republic

I have some incredible news for you. Last week I reported that the National Republican Trust PAC had raised more than $1 million for its emergency effort to expose Barack Obama in key swing states. Our goal was to raise $2 million by today. We smashed that goal: we have raised over $3 million today! Your generosity made this possible. You are standing up for this country against one of the most vicious assaults ever waged on the Republican party by the liberal media establishment. Smear after smear against Sarah Palin and John McCain. But Obama's leftwing agenda and radical...

So much for the 50 State Strategy, announced just last week. The Obama campaign admits neither FL and OH "was hospitable to Obama this year." Even three states Kerry won (PA, MI, NH) "look competitive" for McCain. Obama will try to pick off VA, NM, and others to make up the difference. Is Obama the underdog in this Year of the Democrat?

Over in the Corner, Ramesh reports from a Bushie, ""Virtually every county in Florida that is mostly reported has swung to us since 2000, the median being something like 5-6% in terms of vote margin. We’ll see how the Gold Coast comes in, but with numbers like this we should not have a problem." According to a source close to the Bush campaign, the current assessment is that the President will win Ohio and Florida. We'll be competitive and have a chance to win in all the battleground states including Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico and Pennsylvania - states that Al...

Some are claiming there is a disconnect between national and state polls. The table below projects the turnout for this election based on state-by-state population growth available from the US Census. I then multiply this turnout prediction by the latest credible State polls (i.e. Mason-Dixon; Gallup; Quinnipiac; Marist; Strategic Vision; etc. - not ARG; Zogby; Lake, Snell, Perry; LA Times; etc.) shown on Freeper Dales "Daly Thoughts" Blog, tally up the state-by-state totals for each candidate, and divides them by the total predicted turnout. Results? Bush 48.8%, Kerry 45.4% in the national tally. Compare to the numbers on Real Clear...

The Ohio poll doesn't look great for Bush at all, but weekend polling. NV looks good and MO as well. VA doesnt seem right.

 President, OH 10/19/2004   Kerry (D) 49%   Bush (R) 47%   Other/Undecided 3%   Data Collected 10/16/04 - 10/18/04   Geography State of Ohio   Sample Population 698 Likely Voters   Margin of Error 3.8%   Client WCPO-TV Cincinnati    WKYC-TV Cleveland   U.S. Senate, OH 10/19/2004   Voinovich (R) 58%   Fingerhut (D) 34%   Other/Undecided 9%   Data Collected 10/16/04 - 10/18/04   Geography State of Ohio   Sample Population 692 Likely Voters   Margin of Error 3.8%   Client WCPO-TV Cincinnati    WKYC-TV Cleveland   President, MO 10/19/2004   Bush (R) 51%   Kerry (D) 45%   Other/Undecided 4%   Data Collected 10/16/04 - 10/18/04   Geography State of Missouri   Sample Population 670 Likely Voters   Margin of Error...

Boring results.

President Bush will consider making an expensive run for New Jersey's electoral votes and is likely to spend more money in Washington state if his leads in heartland swing states hold up after the opening presidential debate Thursday night, Republican officials said Saturday. The candidates withdrew from the campaign trail over the weekend to prepare for the three debates, which will take place over the next two weeks and are seen by both sides as the last chance for a major momentum shift in the race. Bush held a formal practice at his Texas ranch Saturday night with top White...