I’ve already given a likely construction or sequence of events given what we know up to this point.
Like a lightning strike, many ‘leaders’ are initially formed but usually only one return stroke develops; conjecture now is the formation of many leaders, but we don’t the ‘why’ that main stroke formed the way it did, like what policy was or was not followed, like who did or did not approve where personnel should have been positioned (like on a roof) and so forth.