News Summary-Intelligence Report Wednesday 10/2/2024*Poll Shows Less Arab-American Support For Harris, Dems*More Chinese Goods Banned For US Import*OPEC Denies Oil Price Plunge Report*Russia Slams US Over Iran-Israel Fight*
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Nextrush Free ^
| 10/2/2024 | Nextrush/Self
More than 10 attacking Ukrainian drones taken down... Several explosions reported in Kiev... US politics polling for the Arab-American Institute done by John Zogby showing Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris among likely Arab-American voters... More Israeli strikes in Lebanon tonight... The US Department of Homeland Security banning imports of goods from China
linked to production in the Muslim populated... The President of Croatia refusing to give assent to Croatia's soldiers participating in the NATO support mission for Ukraine... The OPEC organization of oil exporting countries denying a Wall Street Journal report about a plunge in prices... Three killed and three...
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GOOD NEWS FOR TRUMP: Gallup Poll Finds Republicans Leading on Party ID in Q3 of an Election Year for First Time Since 1992
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Gateway Pundit ^
| September 26, 2024 | Mike LaChance
A new poll from Gallup, which is widely viewed as a liberal polling outfit, finds that Republicans are leading in party ID in the third quarter of this year. This
is the first time this has happened since 1992. That bodes very well for the Trump campaign and Republicans in general. It represents a shift in the electorate and suggests that people are less shy about identifying as conservative. Nick Arama writes at RedState: Gallup Drops Stunner of a Poll for Trump That Could be the Game Changer We’ve been seeing some big polls over the past few days that...
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New Georgia Poll Hints That State is Out of Reach for Kamala Harris
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Red State ^
| 09/25/24 | streiff
A new CBS/YouGov poll released Wednesday has former President Donald Trump leading Democrat Kamala Harris by two points. The
poll of 1,441 registered voters shows Trump with a 51 percent to 49 percent lead. *New*CBS News poll: Tight race in Georgia, where Trump has 2-point edge over HarrisHere: https://t.co/4l2ohB39nl pic.twitter.com/rgIVQ1tNZf— CBS News Poll (@CBSNewsPoll) September 25, 2024This is the latest in a string of polls showing Trump leading by between one and four points in Georgia; see here and here. The CBS/YouGov poll called the 2020 race in Georgia on the money.The entire poll is at the bottom of the...
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Latest Quinnipiac Poll Results Come in and Deliver Devastating News for Kamala Harris
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Red State ^
| 09/24/2024 | Nick Arama
There may be a big shift underway. Over
the last couple of days, there has been some real movement in some of the polls back to former President Donald Trump. The reality of Kamala Harris's emptiness seems to be setting in, and it looks like her avoidance of questions may now be backfiring on her. We just saw the recent NYT/Siena College Poll and the Emerson College polls. Those were already showing some good numbers for Trump, with NYT showing him up by 5 points in Arizona, 4 points in Georgia, and 2 in North Carolina. Then Emerson has Trump...
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A new American Thinker/Rasmussen Reports poll out of the Crucial Battleground State of Pennsylvania yields fascinating results
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American Thinker ^
| 09/24/2024 | Andrea Widburg
A new American Thinker/Rasmussen Reports poll of 1,202 likely voters in Pennsylvania shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tied at 48% each if the election were held today. Drilling
down, though, the poll, which got responses from 517 Democrats, 514 Republicans, and 171 “other” voters, reveals that likely Pennsylvania voters are less evenly split regarding the issues. When asked to select the most important issue to them when thinking about the presidential and congressional elections, 37% ranked the economy as their top issue, with abortion (17%) and border security following behind (15%). However, even though only 15% of likely voters...
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Poll: Newly popular Harris builds momentum, challenging Trump for the mantle of change
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NBC News ^
| 09/22/2024 | Mark Murray
A double-digit increase in popularity, rising Democratic enthusiasm and an early edge for representing “change” have vaulted Vice President Kamala Harris forward and reshuffled the 2024 presidential contest, according to a new national NBC News poll. With
just over six weeks until Election Day, the poll finds Harris with a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49% to 44%. While that result is within the margin of error, it’s a clear shift from July’s poll, when Trump was ahead by 2 points before President Joe Biden’s exit. But the transformation in the presidential contest goes well...
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New Poll indicates tight race in Virginia
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University of Mary Washington ^
| 9/20/2024 | Professor Farnsworth
Vice President Kamala Harris (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) are locked in a tight presidential contest in Virginia, according to a new statewide survey from the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington. Harris has the support of 47 percent of 756 Virginia likely voters,
as compared to 46 percent favoring Trump in the survey, which includes 1,000 adult respondents and was conducted for UMW’s Center for Leadership and Media Studies by Research America Inc. Sept. 3-9. Several third party and independent candidates received a total of four percent support in the poll,...
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Fox News Poll: Harris tops Trump by two points
The latest Fox News national survey finds 3-point shift since August
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Fox News ^
| 09/18/2024 | Dana Blanton
Vice President Kamala Harris edges former President Trump in a head-to-head matchup, as more voters see Harris as the candidate who will help the middle class, and Hispanics and independents swing in her direction. The
new Fox News national survey finds a 3 percentage-point shift among registered voters in the 2024 presidential contest since mid-August. Trump had a 1-point advantage last month, while Harris is ahead by 2 points today: 50%-48%. For reference, in July, Trump was ahead by 1 point over President Biden. Each of those differences falls within the margin of error. This marks the first time Harris...
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Fox News Poll: National Race Between Donald Trump, Kamala Harris a Tossup
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Breitbart ^
| 09/18/2024 | Paul Bois
A new Fox News poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by just two points and within the margin of error. Surveying
1,102 registered voters between September 13-16 with a margin of error +/- 3 percent, the poll showed that Kamala Harris improved her standing by three points since August, during which the two had the first presidential debate and there was a second assassination attempt on Trump’s life. “Trump had a 1-point advantage last month, while Harris is ahead by 2 points today: 50 percent to 48 percent,” Fox News noted. “For reference, in July,...
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FREEP THIS POLL! New state law gives Letitia James power over NY’s closest election contests
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nypost.com ^
| 9/15/24 | Jospeh T Burns
While most political junkies focus on the latest twists and turns in the presidential race, a political earthquake in the Empire State has the potential to fundamentally alter how New Yorkers run their elections — and may even impact which party holds power in Washington in 2025. Starting
Sept. 22, a provision of the state Voting Rights Act will require certain local governments to seek “preclearance” from the state Attorney General or a designated court to make many election-related decisions — including some that are relatively minor.
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New Poll Shows Sharp Drop in Popularity for Labour, British Premier
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Andalou Agency ^
| 13.09.2024 | Aysu Biçer
55% believe things in Britain are heading in wrong directionBritish Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s popularity has dropped dramatically following a challenging summer for the party, according to the latest Political Pulse survey conducted by Ipsos. Despite being on course for a landslide victory earlier in the year, the poll reveals a growing
discontent among voters. The survey reveals a significant rise in unfavorable opinions of both Labour and its key figures, including Starmer and shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves. "55% think things in Britain are heading in the wrong direction (+3 pts from August). This is lower than the final rating...
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BREAKING REPORT: New post debate CSPAN POLL currently has Trump WINNING THE DEBATE by almost 35 points..
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cspan ^
| 9/11/2024 | span
BREAKING REPORT: New post debate CSPAN POLL currently has Trump WINNING THE DEBATE by almost 35 points..
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Harris v. Trump CBS News poll finds Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin race tight ahead of debate
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CBS News ^
| September 8, 2024 | Anthony Salvanto, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus, Kabir Khanna
In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — all tight races — we see the larger contours of the entire presidential contest ahead of the first Harris-Trump debate. What
makes these states close? We'll unpack some of the factors that stand out, including who's seen as better for key voter groups, who voters think has the cognitive health to serve and what to make of the campaign and social-media rhetoric. One one hand: Trump leads with voters who just don't think they're better off financially since the pandemic, whose incomes aren't keeping up with inflation and especially with non-college and White voters...
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Trump Tops Kamala in New York Times/Siena National Poll
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Breitbart ^
| September 8, 2024 | John Nolte
The FBI raided his home. The
corporate media crusaded in lies for years to frame him as a Russian spy and insurrectionist. Fascist Democrats seek to imprison him for life, bankrupt him with lawfare, and take away his business empire. He’s constantly smeared as a “felon,” a “racist,” a “rapist,” a “threat to democracy,” and the “next Hitler.” When his 2024 campaign began to pull away from Joe Biden towards a triumphant November victory,” they shot him in the face and then threw the game board on the floor demanding a do-over with Kamala’s scrutiny-free “joy” campaign–a campaign backed by...
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New poll shows Florida, Texas within margin of error in Harris-Trump race
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The Hill ^
| 09/06/2024 | Jared Gans
Florida and Texas are within the margin of error in the presidential race between former President Trump and Vice President Harris, according to a poll released Friday. The survey from Emerson College Polling/The Hill showed Trump leading Harris in Florida by 5 points, 50 percent to 45 percent, and in Texas by
4 points, 50 percent to 46 percent. The results are a bit closer than what some other polling has found on the races but not completely out of sync with recent polls that have shown a tighter race in those states. *** The forecast model from The Hill/Decision...
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Democrats lead by double digits in Arizona, Nevada Senate races: Fox News poll
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The Hill ^
| 08/29/24 4:49 PM ET | by Tara Suter
Democrats are leading by double digits in Senate races in Nevada and Arizona, two battleground states that could be key to control of the upper chamber, according to new polls from Fox News. Rep. Ruben Gallego, the Democratic Senate nominee in Arizona, is leading Republican candidate Kari Lake by 15 points, according
to the poll. In Nevada, Sen. Jacky Rosen, the incumbent Democrat, is leading Republican Sam Brown by 14 points. While the Democrats in Arizona and Nevada have opened significant gaps in their races, others in the party are still seen as being vulnerable in November, notably Sen. Jon...
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Tim Walz is actually hurting Kamala Harris in his home state of Minnesota, new 2024 poll suggests
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NY Post ^
| 9/01/24 | A.G. Gancarski
Kamala Harris’ bet on Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz has actually lost her ground in his home state. That’s
the takeaway from new polling of 635 Likely Voters from Minnesota’s KSTP, which found that the Democratic presidential nominee’s advantage over Donald Trump has been cut in half since she picked Walz as her running mate last month and showcased the ticket at the Democratic National Convention. Harris now leads Trump 48% to 43%, a significant decline for her from the previous survey that showed her up 50% to 40%. The opposite of a post-convention bump that normally would have been expected....
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Landslide Coming? New Highly Weighted Michigan Poll Shows 21% of Democrats Now Support Trump – And Trump Leads with Independents by 56 Points!
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Gateway Pundit ^
| 8/29/24 | Jim Hoft
We all know how pollsters ALWAYS oversample Democrats. Well, this latest Michigan poll by Activote takes the cake. The
poll weighted its results 25 points for Democrats! And despite the outlandish weighting advantage for Kamala Harris she only leads by 0.2% points. ADVERTISEMENT And despite the outlandish weighting advantage for Kamala Harris, Trump leads Kamala with independent voters by 56 points!
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Fox News Poll: Harris closes gap with Trump in Sun Belt states
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Fox news by way of MSN ^
| 08/28/2024 | Victoria Balara
While support for Donald Trump has held steady, Kamala Harris has improved on Joe Biden’s 2024 election numbers in four battleground states, driven by strong support among women, Black voters, and young voters. In
addition, while Trump leads on top issues, more voters see Harris as the one who can unite the country -- and who will "fight for people like you." That’s according to new Fox News statewide surveys in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. Each survey includes about 1,000 registered voters and was conducted August 23-26, post Democratic National Convention and just after Robert F. Kennedy Jr....
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Harris leads Trump by 7 in new Poll: Race and Gender Push Harris Above Trump Nationally
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Fairleigh Dickinson University ^
| August 25, 2024 | Fairleigh Dickinson University
Race considerations crater Trump support among non-white voters Fairleigh Dickinson University, Madison, NJ, August 23, 2024 – Voters nationally give Vice President and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris an edge over former President Donald Trump in November’s election by a seven-point margin (50 to 43), but race and gender remains central to the
vote. When voters are made to think about the race or gender of the candidates, Harris’ lead grows substantially; when they’re not, support is essentially tied. Harris is also helped by strong support among the slightly less than half of men who reject traditionally masculine identities. Trump’s strongest...
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