Posted on 02/07/2024 6:06:34 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Okay, so I’ll keep the statistical analysis out of it and stick it to simple math for you.
About 3.5 Million American’s die every year, and about 4 Million American’s turn 18 every year. Neither of these groups is 100% for either party, yes older tend to be more conservative, and younger tend to be more liberal, but hardly is either group ubiquitous.
Trump is ahead by an average of 4-6 points in the national polling in a head to head matchup, (add the third party candidates to the mix, which weren’t around in 2020, and Trump maintains or even increases that lead) Given 155 Million people voted in the last election. That would equate to about 6.4 to 9.3 Million votes he’s leading by, and that’s just at the national aggregate.. the math gets even more tough for Biden when you look at the individual states, sure California and New York may be 70% democrat... so adding votes there does nothing to the EC.
The Math isn’t there for Taylor Swift to suddenly ‘throw the election’ for Biden. She’s not going to bring in anywhere near what is needed, even making the best possible assumptions about her influence.
Like I said you want to worry about something real, worry about who is going to actually be on the Ballot in November for the Dems, because with each passing day the odds it will be Joe Biden are shrinking. He’s more than 20 points (and in some cases more than 30 points) underwater on nearly every issue that American’s rate high relative to their voting decisions... and every single poll those numbers keep dropping.
There is now right about 9 months until election day, and at some point Biden will bottom out, and find his floor, and build up from there by election day as the election nears.. (again assuming he even is on the ballot)... but NO, a pop star isn’t going to be able to bail out Biden, and its ludicrous think it can.
We shall see how it goes in November, but honestly think the right wing media is showing some mass delusions and the same suspects who bought into the abject stupidity that OZ was a winning candidate because those same right wing outlets fed them that lie, are buying into this nonsense too.
Taylor Swift nothing but a pimp for all things left they are a lonely lot easy suckers for a cheering crowd.
You assume polling is correct. Everything afterwards is useless.
You stated Trump was never leading in polling, yet he won.
Your “a priori” is false.
I was on most of the threads stating Oz would lose, and that Pennsyltucky would never vote for a carpetbagging Muslim.
I worked on PECO, PPL, and MetEd’s systems for a decade.
Re: 28 - Wahhhh! Women don’t vote the way I want them to!
Of course, such talk about repealing the 19th Amendment requires no heavy lift from behind the comfort of a monitor.
If you want to walk the talk, you’d get a petition going.
Instead, foot-stomping about repealing the 19th Amendment is just that - foot stomping.
Polling has historically always over represented Democrat performance, this trend is decades old, so yes its possible the average of all polling is MASSIVELY over representing Trump... but based on historical norms over 50 years, this would be completely counter experience.
I was one of the FEW people stating OZ was going to lose and could not win, majority were buying into the RNC BS talking points regarding Fetterman and OZ.
LOL! That's not going to happen.
There’s no foot stomping. You useless women have destroyed the country.
Be proud. Murder your babies, be sluts.
Demographic shifts will have your granddaughters as property.
LOL!
You now have the power to determine the sex of FReepers. Impressive. But wrong.
Not every woman supports abortion or promiscuity.
Now get going on that resolution to repeal the 19th Amendment.
I’m not going to attempt to find my post, but the day Trump endorsed Oz, I said it was a lost seat. There were a handful of others that agreed.
Jackasses here were saying Oz would win due to Philly burbs women.
Retards…
She hasn’t revealed her political stance so far, but reading hr impressive bio, I think she could be convinced to go MAGA!
Only a woman can get an abortion.
Zero accountability.
Well, he loves Pfizer and clot shots, so I’m guessing he votes for whoever Taylor tell him to vote for.
Cant go with 'donna either, she would likely lose votes.
And cher? hahahaha, looks like swifty is what's left to go with.
Fetterman's win margin was built-in baked-in-the-cake by Election Day with Democrats illegally harvesting fraudulent mail-in ballots long before the debate, when Fetterman was revealed as non compos[t] mentis.
Oz's Election Day win margin of 483,639 votes vastly exceeded both of Santorum's Senate victory margins in PA.
The difference since then is the illegal, unconstitutional adoption of mail-in ballots in the criminally-debased state of PA.
It's really odd how it all happened.
Step 1.) Biden officials leak to the media that Biden will be courting Swift's endorsement.
Step 2.) Idiot Twitter influencers on the MAGA right take the bait and implore Swift to stay out of the election instead of just ignoring it like they should have.
Step 3.) Media declares that MAGA is at war with Taylor Swift.
No, this is really stupid and manufactured stupidity.
I understand. It will turn into a stupid “unforced error.”
But, sometimes you just have to stand there and watch the train wreck. Ha Ha.
The media is trying to Princess Diana this young woman. It won’t end well.
I am not saying you didn’t.
I know I was not the only one, but I was attacked viscously on this site by people through 2022 for pointing out that OZ was without question the worst candidate I have ever seen try to run as a Republican statewide in PA.
I told them that Fetterman was not what the RNC parrots were telling them either.
Sadly a lot of folks just swallowed what the parrots like Hannity and others were feeding them...
Don't know, but Taylor Swift has a talent problem.
(she has none)
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