That would require going as far as Uzhgorod- probably the original 2022 plan that failed.
JUST IN: ⚠️ Ukraine purportedly bombs civilian areas in Belgorod city, using NATO-SUPPLIED WEAPONS from the Czech Republic causing the deaths of 14 civilians, 2 children and injuring more than 100.
Russia announces emergency meeting, blames US..pic.twitter.com/tXvxrBLpvb— Chuck Callesto (@ChuckCallesto) December 30, 2023
“The Nikolaev and Odessa oblasts would be a good way to re-route Russian natgas and oil away from the Ukrainian energy thieves and protect customers like Hungary.”
“That would require going as far as Uzhgorod- probably the original 2022 plan that failed.”
Five of the eight Large Landing Ships attached to the Russian Black Sea Fleet back then to conduct the amphibious portion of the planned attack on Odesa, are now out of action - 3 of them totally destroyed. No more can get into the Black Sea, because Turkey has closed the Bosphorus Straits to them under the Montreux Convention. Additionally, new anti-ship missile defenses deny the remaining three the ability to enter the North Western Black Sea at all.
A land attack toward Odesa would require Russia to cross the Dnieper River - but the Russians blew the bridges when they retreated back over them a year ago.
It is dramatically less likely now than last year (when it failed).