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Internal polls show GOP now within striking distance in districts Biden won by 10+ points
Hotair.com ^ | 8/9/22 | Allahpundit

Posted on 08/09/2022 10:22:26 AM PDT by cotton1706

A striking bit of counterprogramming from Politico during “bedwetting season” for the GOP, as news sites are overflowing today with Democratic optimism. “With Deal in Hand, Democrats Enter the Fall Armed With Something New: Hope,” the Times proclaims. “Inside Biden’s hot streak, from the poolside to the Capitol,” WaPo promises. Politico itself has a piece headlined, “Biden suddenly is piling up wins. Can Dems make it stick?”

It’s not just media hype. The latest generic ballot average at FiveThirtyEight shows, uh…

That’s the first time Democrats have led on the generic ballot since mid-November 2021.

Is the great red wave of 2022 receding before it’s arrived? Not if you believe the GOP’s internal polling. Although whether you think these numbers reflect the true state of affairs in Republican “reach” districts or whether they’ve been “skewed” somehow and leaked strategically to boost righty morale at a moment of extreme bedwetting is up to you to decide.

Four surveys conducted in late July reveal close races in open seats in Oregon, Colorado and California that President Joe Biden carried by between 11 and 15 points in 2020. Taken all together, GOP operatives view the data as a sign that Biden’s sinking approval numbers could drag Democratic candidates down enough to bring deep blue turf into reach…

Altogether, the tightening polls suggest that some super-blue seats could be in play in November, which would mean Democrats may have to expend precious resources there on defense — especially because they lack well-funded incumbents.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: allahpundit; allahspundit; bloggers; elections; electionz; electionzzz; elekchunz; nevertrumpers; tds
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To: cotton1706

Did they suddenly get the Dominion voting machines out in these areas?


21 posted on 08/09/2022 10:54:07 AM PDT by ProudDeplorable (Concentrated power has always been the enemy of liberty. ~ Ronald Reagan)
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To: cotton1706

My respect for the average American voter could hardly be lower than now.

I remember after the Afghanistan debacle with people in tears over seeing refugees falling from their desperate hold on airplane wheel wells or being stranded on the way to the air base and screaming for help as armed Mideast soldiers trapped them.

A local right winger said “Don’t expect too much. I predict in 7-10 days the American people will have forgotten all about it.”

He was right.

Their drooling hero Biden will be back to “surging popularity boosts Biden and Democrats” more than ever.


22 posted on 08/09/2022 10:55:21 AM PDT by frank ballenger (You have summoned up a thundercloud. You're gonna hear from me. Anthem by Leonard Cohen)
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To: cotton1706

They’re really going to start spazzing out because CPI is coming out, the market will take a huge multi-day dip, and a week ago people thought they were getting an anti-inflation bill.


23 posted on 08/09/2022 10:56:49 AM PDT by struggle
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To: HamiltonJay

The state level is very important this year. The election laws can be and should be revisited to secure the elections.


24 posted on 08/09/2022 10:59:31 AM PDT by taxcontrol (The choice is clear - either live as a slave on your knees or die as a free citizen on your feet.)
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To: cotton1706
Think about the fact that any inflation reduction efforts are supposed to be from the Federal Reserve governing body. It's not supposed to be a political matter by design.

Also think about the chips bill. We spent billions of taxpayer money relocating chip manufacturing to China in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, the the Overseas Private Investment Act. (A government agency finally disbanded in 2019). They sent chips, electronics, drugs, and other commodities to foreign countries at us taxpayer expense.

Now we need another hundred billion of taxpayer money to buy those industries back!!!!!!

25 posted on 08/09/2022 11:01:22 AM PDT by blackdog (Cooler King Joe, killing a winning nation every day. )
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To: HamiltonJay
"I fully expect GOP to gain 80ish seats on the low end,..."

I'd like to see the Republicans have a 300+ seat majority
in the House, but that's just wishful thinking on my part.

So how many seats would have to be picked up
for that to happen -- 90+ wins this November?

26 posted on 08/09/2022 11:01:37 AM PDT by StormEye
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To: PermaRag

Quite honestly I would have to look up those districts. I am recalling from memory. It was only a couple of districts and I think they have a substantial Hispanic population.


27 posted on 08/09/2022 11:05:58 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: taxcontrol

Agreed.

AZ and WI have done things to help prevent the fraud of 2020 going forward...

PA will and can do nothing as long as a D is in the governors chair.. the Supreme Court of PA was an active participant in the steal.

MI as well needs a GOP governor to have any shot at preventing future fraud.

We may be looking at a national election that is going to surprise, not that the GOP will win big, but they may win in places no one even is thinkgin or talking about and UP and DOWN the ballot much like NJ and VA ...

Just 3 more months....


28 posted on 08/09/2022 11:05:59 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: cotton1706
"districts Biden won by 10+ points"

Face it, the Democrat Party manufactured fifteen million votes in 2020. They'll manufacture 20 million if they have to in 2024.

29 posted on 08/09/2022 11:08:10 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: StormEye

Basically the only questions about the midterm are the senate, and how many seats the GOP will gain in the house.

If this election is nationalized and becomes a referendum on Biden, GOP will win up and down the ballot in huge numbers, in places no one is even thinking or talking about the GOP having a chance, much like what happened in NJ....

If it isn’t then the GOP will still win solidly, but it wont be an abject bloodbath.

However, I think personally if the Dems lose around the 63 seats (or more) than they lost in 2010 election it will be a relatively good night for them...

We will see, but 10% inflation, and a Recession they refuse to admit is a recession is not a good think... and I can tell you first hand, companies are preparing for bad times, regardless of what the stock market folks are telling you. My company has already tightened its belt and is preparing to do so a lot more.... Though they haven’t openly stated it, I would be shocked if they don’t have a RIF (even if they don’t officially call it that) before the end of the year.


30 posted on 08/09/2022 11:12:08 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: cotton1706

Internal polls show GOP now within striking distance
in districts Biden won by 10+ points

Everyone knows DJT WON the last election.
He had more votes destroyed one way or another.
ELECTION FRAUD!


31 posted on 08/09/2022 11:15:53 AM PDT by TribalPrincess2U (D.I.S.T.R.A.C.T.I.O.N.S.)
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To: cotton1706

GOP retakes the house handily, this fall...

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

However I suspect highly GOP gains will be way way more than this Cook Report is projecting...

I will be surprised if they don’t hit 1994/2008 level gains if not more.

Cook showing around 10 seat swap... I think it will be far far far more than that...

We will see.


32 posted on 08/09/2022 11:19:22 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

80ish? No more than 20.


33 posted on 08/09/2022 11:23:20 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: nwrep

We shall see....

3 more months.

I think you are looking at a NJ type of “surprise” on election night...

Places no one is looking at or talking about because they think they are “safe” are going to shock...

Will find out soon enough.


34 posted on 08/09/2022 11:25:31 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: All

Still believing that elections matter? How cute.

When it matters, winners are chosen, not elected.


35 posted on 08/09/2022 12:13:08 PM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis )
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To: cotton1706

That’s because Biden’s vote counts were never accurate to start with.


36 posted on 08/09/2022 1:07:14 PM PDT by libertylover (Our biggest problem, BY FAR, is that almost all of big media is agenda-driven, not-truth driven.)
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To: HamiltonJay

Got it. Regards.


37 posted on 08/09/2022 3:42:58 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: BenLurkin

Face it, the Democrat Party manufactured fifteen million votes in 2020. They’ll manufacture 20 million if they have to in 2024.

***

And we failed our country by not stopping it.

We didn’t even TRY.

And I’m not talking violence; I’m talking about being the people who count the votes.


38 posted on 08/10/2022 7:26:07 AM PDT by Luircin
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