Posted on 08/27/2021 9:33:32 AM PDT by devane617
Gov. Gavin Newsom is fighting for his political life, according to recent polling. (Shutterstock) An analysis of the latest polls by elections website FiveThirtyEight indicates that California’s Sept. 14 gubernatorial recall is too close to call.
The analysis says that 48.8% of California voters oppose the recall. Removal of first-term Gov. Gavin Newsom is backed by 47.6%.
FiveThirtyEight says that its analysis includes “an updating average of 2021 California gubernatorial recall election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, and sample size.”
Related Story: Early Ballot Returns Show Strong Interest in Newsom Recall
Elder Top Replacement Candidate in Polls
The other big takeaway offered by FiveThirtyEight: 19.3% of voters would replace Newsom with Republican Larry Elder.
Democrat Kevin Paffrath is second at 9.1%, followed by Republican John Cox at 6.1%, among the replacement candidates.
And then the media will proclaim he has a mandate.
Yeah, right. That is what they always say in order to condition the voters for the inevitable cheating. It will have to be OVERWHELMING in order to offset all of the fraud. I hope it is.
Will a Californian or someone in the know give an update on the local thoughts to the recall election? Will Newsom be recalled?
—
If the polls show it is too close to call that means Newsom is losing.
He is running tone deaf ads. Promising to keep the lockdown and mask mandates when those are the two main things driving the recall.
There is enough votes to recall but the Democrats have ways to keep counting until their side wins.
Maybe amongst Rat voters, but not Rat operatives.
It only needs to work on recall day.
After all the outrageous criminal acts of this commie loser, it shouldn’t even be close. I smell a RAT’s hand in this recall sabotage. He should be recalled, then thrown into a dank jail cell.
I cant understand why ANYONE would like Gruesome NewSCUM..I dont blame him for covid, I blame him for everything else he has done to this state to destroy it..crack heads walking up and down the street SCREAMING..crime, everything..I want his behind GONE they can replace him with a sock puppet for all I care I just want him gone..but the Hollyweird celebrities and of course the local media adore him because they all live in gated communities and dont have to deal with what the rest of us do..let them walk down the street afraid of being stabbed by a hobo and see how they like it..have them walk their dog and worry that their dog might eat meth out of a bush and die and see how they like it
PO’d people generally vote for “change”. I wonder if people are upset that lack of forest management is causing the state to go up in flames.
For LA County, the mail in ballots have holes on the bottom so that if you bubble in YES for the recall anyone can see it..those are tossed out
Paffrath is the wild card. You Tube influencer. 29 years old. Handsome, pretty wife, beautiful young children. He has 2,000,000 followers he is trying to get out to vote, or those out of state get their in state friends to do so. It’s goi g to be low turnout. His efforts vs the other side’s vote harvesting will tell the tale. BTW, he’s a capitalist, not a commie
That’s because the cheat is in.
Cheating by a landslide is easily discoverable as we saw in the last election.
Cheating in a close race is easily hidden.
Ha! If it’s close, and in Commiefornia, Newsom wins.
Democrats/Communists/Leftists may be the most evil human beings on the planet, but they're crafty (and we're "polite").
My intel on the ground, from areas north, middle and bottom of the state tell me that if it were an honest vote, Newsom would be out and Larry Elder would be the next governor however, to a person, they have zero confidence that it will be an honest election, which is sad
... meaning that Newsom is planning to cheat.
Do not discount the highly refined means of voter fraud that have served the Democrat Socialists so well for so long in California. Relying in good part on the brain-dead voters who actually get things together enough to turn their ballot over to a ballot harvester, the necessary resuscitation of the dearly departed voters who are still on the voter rolls, and the falsely qualified non-citizen residents throughout California, it should be easy enough to hammer out an easy win. But everybody has to do their part, and in a special election like this, maybe the activists on the ground and the people charged with the actual counting won’t turn out in full force.
In a fair election he would be recalled, it won’t be a fair election.
They just caught some felon with a gun, drugs and 300 ballots in the trunk of his car. Nothing to look at though.
“...California’s Sept. 14 gubernatorial recall is too close to call.”
But close enough to steal! Count on it. Jerks.
"...What matters is who counts the ballots."
I have to laugh at those actually believing Larry Elder has a chance!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.