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Latest Polls Show Newsom Recall Is Too Close to Call
gvwire ^ | 08/27/2021

Posted on 08/27/2021 9:33:32 AM PDT by devane617

Gov. Gavin Newsom is fighting for his political life, according to recent polling. (Shutterstock) An analysis of the latest polls by elections website FiveThirtyEight indicates that California’s Sept. 14 gubernatorial recall is too close to call.

The analysis says that 48.8% of California voters oppose the recall. Removal of first-term Gov. Gavin Newsom is backed by 47.6%.

FiveThirtyEight says that its analysis includes “an updating average of 2021 California gubernatorial recall election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, and sample size.”

Related Story: Early Ballot Returns Show Strong Interest in Newsom Recall

Elder Top Replacement Candidate in Polls

The other big takeaway offered by FiveThirtyEight: 19.3% of voters would replace Newsom with Republican Larry Elder.

Democrat Kevin Paffrath is second at 9.1%, followed by Republican John Cox at 6.1%, among the replacement candidates.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: election; noisome
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Will a Californian or someone in the know give an update on the local thoughts to the recall election? Will Newsom be recalled?
1 posted on 08/27/2021 9:33:32 AM PDT by devane617
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To: devane617

They are getting ready to resurrect dead Californians to make sure he stays in office.


2 posted on 08/27/2021 9:35:11 AM PDT by LottieDah ( Biden/Harris are in and America is lost)
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To: devane617

No way they will allow their Golden Boy to go down.

They want him in 2024.


3 posted on 08/27/2021 9:35:23 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: devane617

Seems like a single box of ballots could really tip this in Newsom’s favor. Better use 3, just to be sure.


4 posted on 08/27/2021 9:35:26 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (We have two Democrat parties. 50% of the US population is taxed w/o representation.)
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To: devane617

The fake polls set up the voter to accept the outcome. The out come is controlled through massive vote fraud. They are two sides of the same coin.


5 posted on 08/27/2021 9:36:09 AM PDT by Revel
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To: devane617

Whether recall is successful is probably a function of the extent of Dem voter fraud. I am not sending in my ballot. I am walking it to the poll in my neighborhood.


6 posted on 08/27/2021 9:36:47 AM PDT by doug from upland (Why the hell isn't Hillary Rodham Clinton in prison yet?)
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To: devane617

Will Newsom be recalled?

*************

I’m not a Californian or in the know but everyone knows the state is a wacky place that loves big government. Elder represents small, more responsible government. Californians by and large don’t seem to want that. I don’t foresee him getting recalled. JMHO


7 posted on 08/27/2021 9:36:52 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: ClearCase_guy

The left will always win the close election.


8 posted on 08/27/2021 9:36:54 AM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: devane617

Even though it’s a “poll”, the alleged fact that it’s close is pretty sad.


9 posted on 08/27/2021 9:36:55 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this? 😕)
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To: devane617

Questionable,,,,,the fix is in and Newson will probably win. You can bet that the Dems will alter as many ballots as possible.


10 posted on 08/27/2021 9:37:15 AM PDT by chopperk
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To: rktman

Newsom will prevail, called “The Comeback Kid”, and then it’s on to 2024.


11 posted on 08/27/2021 9:37:32 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: dfwgator

Agree. Losing one of their “stars” would be too big a blow to the party. They’ve already lost Cuomo. They’ll find a way to engineer Newsom’s survival.


12 posted on 08/27/2021 9:38:22 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: rktman

the alleged fact that it’s close is pretty sad

***************

Yep. Kind of says it all.


13 posted on 08/27/2021 9:39:25 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: chopperk

E
X
A
C
T
L
Y


14 posted on 08/27/2021 9:39:48 AM PDT by gathersnomoss (LIVE FREE)
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To: devane617

What the fraud machine not working!!?? Inconceivable!!!


15 posted on 08/27/2021 9:42:34 AM PDT by navymom1
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To: Starboard

They’ve gotten too used to scraping human feces off their shoes after going out for a walk.


16 posted on 08/27/2021 9:43:11 AM PDT by packagingguy (Kit)
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To: devane617

It will be Gavin survives by an election fraud eyelash.


17 posted on 08/27/2021 9:44:30 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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To: devane617

Nuisance is going down and they know it.


18 posted on 08/27/2021 9:44:52 AM PDT by eyeamok (founded in cynicism, wrapped in sarcasm)
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To: devane617

Rat apathy and anti-Newsome ferver will be the decinding factors. Elder will win.


19 posted on 08/27/2021 9:45:06 AM PDT by BiglyCommentary
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To: shanover

Agreed. “Too close to call?” No problem to the California Democrat/Communist/Left Party ... “we’ve got this handled”. And, as at the national level, the California GOP is only involved for show.


20 posted on 08/27/2021 9:45:07 AM PDT by glennaro (Dennis Prager: "Until it's safe" means "Never")
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