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We Are 100 Times Safer Now Than In Early March: Here is the Math
Yahoo Finance ^ | April 11, 2020 | Inan Dogan

Posted on 04/12/2020 2:56:22 PM PDT by absalom01

The bottomline is this. We are 100 times safer now than we were a month ago. President Trump and his pandemic response team did a fantastic job over the past few weeks limiting the number of COVID-19 deaths to around 55,000. We won the first battle. I feel sorry for the English, Dutch, and Swedish people though. Their responses weren’t as timely and appropriate as President Trump’s and it is now a mathematical certainty that a larger percentage of their population will die from COVID-19 by the time things settle in a couple of months.

Now we have a different battle to fight. We can’t lower our guard.

The total number of confirmed cases around the world is approaching 2 million. There are millions more that we weren’t able to identify. Anywhere from 20% to 50% of these unidentified COVID-19 infections are asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic. We shouldn’t let anyone into our country (including U.S. citizens) without a 14-day quarantine and a negative test result at the end of the quarantine period.

...

There are more than 100 different companies working on a COVID-19 vaccine right now. It is very likely that at least one of those companies will succeed within a year.

These are probably the darkest days of this pandemic and I am certain you will be able to see what I am seeing right now in a couple of weeks.

We did well and saved millions of American lives. This is the most resilient virus we’ve come across over the last 100 years, but the American people proved to be more resilient than the coronavirus.

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bioterrorism; bioweapon; ccpvirus; coronavirus; covid19; war
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More interesting discusion at the link.
1 posted on 04/12/2020 2:56:22 PM PDT by absalom01
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To: absalom01

Turns out that we all may have already been exposed and have immunity... remember that flu that you had in November, December?

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/04/report-30-50-patients-chicago-tested-covid-19-already-antibodies-system/


2 posted on 04/12/2020 3:02:22 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: absalom01

“President Trump and his pandemic response team did a fantastic job over the past few weeks “

Yahoooooo?

Well slap my arse and call me Sally!
Yahoo news gets something close to right.


3 posted on 04/12/2020 3:03:27 PM PDT by Macoozie (Handcuffs and Orange Jumpsuits)
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To: absalom01
We did well and saved millions of American lives. This is the most resilient virus we’ve come across over the last 100 years, but the American people proved to be more resilient than the coronavirus.


No, maybe 40,000 lives were saved, at tops, but not millions. The model was wrong.
4 posted on 04/12/2020 3:05:10 PM PDT by The_Media_never_lie ( Stop the fearmongering! Post flu statistics along side COVID-19 statistics!)
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To: absalom01

100x safer?

I’m actually less safe at the moment as the peak sweeps over and around me and then I go to where the peak has yet to happen.

Now it could be that the Trump Pills provide 100x the likelihood of survival if it gets to the point of trying to take a nap in the hospital, but the exact numbers seem to be in the future, if ever.


5 posted on 04/12/2020 3:05:26 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Macoozie

“Yahoooooo?

Well slap my arse and call me Sally!

Yahoo news gets something close to right”.

I literally laughed out loud. Thanks for that.


6 posted on 04/12/2020 3:06:22 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: dhs12345

It was not any one of the several flus going around. Cases are being extensively tracked, and negatives from tests in at least some states are more than ten to one as compared to positives. No great percentage of the population has been exposed.


7 posted on 04/12/2020 3:06:58 PM PDT by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: dhs12345

Here’s one example of many. Compare negatives to positives, and you’ll see that the social distancing orders are working. It is about to become even more apparent with testing efforts ramping up.

https://health.mo.gov/living/healthcondiseases/communicable/novel-coronavirus/results.php#collapseOne


8 posted on 04/12/2020 3:09:16 PM PDT by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: Macoozie

That’s really why I posted this.

CNN, Yahoo, and get this, Newsweek are all disrupting their narrative.

Look out for the next one, but the ground is shifting under their feet.


9 posted on 04/12/2020 3:10:31 PM PDT by absalom01 (You should do your duty in all things. You cannot do more, and you should never wish to do less.)
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To: dhs12345

This might be a better link for some.

https://health.mo.gov/living/healthcondiseases/communicable/novel-coronavirus/results.php


10 posted on 04/12/2020 3:10:35 PM PDT by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: familyop

A small sample space but interesting. I honestly wonder if it extrapolates to larger populations.

Clearly, it has been around long enough to achieve this kind of stat.

Wonder if Washington State and California exposure rates and people with antibodies will be higher.


11 posted on 04/12/2020 3:11:25 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: The_Media_never_lie

How do you know the model was wrong, since we didn’t take the path of no mitigation. There is no control group.


12 posted on 04/12/2020 3:16:33 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: Paladin2

Or will you will catch it when it returns in a couple of months.

Bad news with the good news. Fewer people were exposed to only to exposed to it later.

Pay me now or pay me later. Same or similar end.


13 posted on 04/12/2020 3:16:43 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: The_Media_never_lie

It might be worth clicking through and reading the piece. The author doesn’t address the IHME model or Ferguson’s musings at IC London.

More of a fresh take.


14 posted on 04/12/2020 3:17:08 PM PDT by absalom01 (You should do your duty in all things. You cannot do more, and you should never wish to do less.)
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To: absalom01
Here is the Math

Sometimes the jokes just write themselves.

15 posted on 04/12/2020 3:17:51 PM PDT by SanchoP
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To: dhs12345

I’m in.


16 posted on 04/12/2020 3:18:36 PM PDT by Big Red Badger (He Hath Not Given Us A Spirit Of Fear)
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To: DannyTN

Since the cat is out of the bag, then compare the model with real world data. A little too late to be useful if what I am hearing about the models is correct.


17 posted on 04/12/2020 3:20:21 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: Big Red Badger

Me too. The “flu” swept through my family over Christmas. Everyone were very sick.


18 posted on 04/12/2020 3:22:11 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: familyop

So a large percentage of the population have not been exposed? Do you not see this as a problem? That means that these vulnerable people will get sick when covid returns in a few months? The only thing that delay buys us is time to develop an immunization which will take years.


19 posted on 04/12/2020 3:29:18 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: absalom01
We did well and saved millions of American lives

Bull Schiff

20 posted on 04/12/2020 3:31:49 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (It's official! I'm nominated for the 2020 Mr. Hyperbole and Sarcasm Award.)
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