Posted on 05/15/2019 5:02:09 AM PDT by usafa92
A new Emerson National Poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden with a bump from his official entrance into the race, taking back the lead over Senator Bernie Sanders. The poll finds Biden with 33% and Sanders with 25%. The April Emerson Poll had Sanders ahead of Biden 29% to 24% making this a 13 point swing in favor of the former Vice President. Senator Kamala Harris and Senator Elizabeth Warren are tied for 3rd with each getting 10% of the vote, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg rounds out the top 5 with 8%. No other candidate in the field clears 3% (n=429, +/-4.7%, MM, May 10-13, 2019).
A majority of Democratic primary voters, 56%, indicate there is a chance they could change their mind and vote for another candidate, whereas 44% say they will definitely vote for the candidate they are currently supporting. Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson Polling notes that “Biden and Sanders have more loyal supporters, as 52% and 54% of their voters say they will definitely vote for the top two candidates, while only 33% of Harris voters, 27% of Buttigieg and 20% of Warren voters plan to definitely stick with their preferred candidate.”
A strength for Sanders throughout this early stage of the nominating process has been the support of younger voters. Sanders currently leads Biden among 18-29 year old voters, by an impressive 41% to 11%. However, Sanders’ support weakens with age: 30-49 year olds only break for Sanders 29% to 26%, as compared to 50-64 year olds who break for Biden 42% to 19%. Among those over 65, Biden has a strong lead, beating Sanders 52% to 7%.
Within the Republican Party, the President remains very popular, and very likely to hold the Republican nomination, leading Republican primary candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld 86% to 14% (n=384, +/-5%, MM, May 10-13).
President Trump's approval rating remains the same as in the April Emerson Poll with a 43% approval and 49% disapproval (n=1,006, +/-3%, MM, May 10-13).
In head to head matchups between Trump and his top Democratic rivals, Trump trails Biden and Sanders and is in a statistical dead heat with the other candidates.
Biden 54%, Trump 46% Sanders 54%, Trump 46% O’Rourke 52%, Trump 48% Warren 51%, Trump 48% Harris 51%, Trump 49% Buttigieg 50%, Trump 50%
Voters are split when asked if they think Trump will be re-elected in 2020, with 50% thinking he will be re-elected and 50% of voters thinking he will not. Republicans are slightly more optimistic with 84% expecting re-election while 80% of Democrats are expecting the President to be defeated. Independents are split 51% to 49%, with the slight majority expecting the President to lose.
When asked what issue is the most important in determining who they would support for President, the most common responses at 27% each are the Economy and Social Issues/Values, followed by Social Security/Medicare and Health Care at 14% each, and Immigration at 10%. The Mueller Report and the Federal Deficit each got 2%. (n=975, +/-3%). Kimball explains: “The Mueller report, in and of itself, is not the issue the Democrats are trying to win on, but serves as a frame for a larger narrative focusing on social/values issues meant to appeal to voters in 2020. Such social/value issues are core for 38% of Democratic primary voters.”
Another observation by Kimball is that “the issue of the Federal Deficit was a top issue in 2012 for Republicans, yet is an afterthought in this election, as only 1% of Republican voters identify it as the most important issue in the upcoming campaign.” Kimball adds, “In this election cycle top issues for Republican voters are the economy at 41%, followed by immigration at 18%.”
Half of all voters, 50%, think Twitter and Facebook are biased against people with particular political beliefs, 21% do not, and 29% are unsure. The bias issue splits along party lines, with 71% of Republicans identifying a bias, as compared to only 32% of Democrats who share this view. 50% of Independents believe the social media platforms are biased, while 16% believe they are not.
About half of all voters, 49%, have watched some part of the recent televised town halls with the 2020 Presidential candidates.
When voters were asked their political ideology, 36% identified as somewhat or very liberal, 38% said somewhat or very conservative and 26% identified as moderate.
Joe Biden cannot be left alone without adult supervision. He can’t put together two sentences. This guy does not go the distance. At least Hillary made it to 911 before she had a TKO. Joe does is not going to last that long.
....amen....
You are right on with your assessment of Democrat, Joe Biden....Ole Uncle, Joe belongs in prison or in an {Old Age Home).....period. What a joke & farce and insult, that the Democrat Party would put this useless, moron, buffoon, Joe Biden in the POTUS game....go figure!!!
“Last night Tucker played an incoherent clip of Slow Joe. I no longer believe he is a serious threat to DJT.”
The hipster douche bag generation thinks that kind of speech is the absolute pinnacle in the evolution of thought
Incoherent is right, he was downright nonsensical and confused - clearly his brain function is reflective of dementia.
After listening to Biden mangle thoughts and sentences when he answers reporters’ questions, I prefer the nickname “Sloppy Joe” for Biden.
I wonder what gyrations we are going to see by the MSM in propping ol Slo Joe up during the campaign.
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What happens when they give him the debate questions in advance but he answers them out of order?
WAY too early. wait till after the first quarter of 2020 before things start to shake out.
Very true. While there are too many Democrats to keep track of now, things will boil down to a more manageable number.
Normally, many fringe candidates drop out after the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary. I expect some will drop out this summer, as debates get under way, and it becomes clear some have no support and no fundraising money coming in.
Gropin’ Joe is the new Cankles? Oh, that can’t be good...
That's what I thought about Obama. How could they find enough lunatic voters to elect him?
The nightmare possibility is that Biden chooses Harris or Warren as VP, wins, and then dies or strokes out or finds some other reason to step down. Tell me the trump haters are not already planning and hoping.
I no longer expect to see Biden winning the nomination, but if he did, and chose one of these harpies, I'd have twice the reason to vote against him. Both are getting creamed in the polls, and rightful so. They're idiots.
And among those over 75 suffering from dementia like Biden he gets 100% support.
Agreed, Biden is going to make Governor Rick Perry's senior moment look pale in comparison.
LOL, at your #32!!
If the best my party could loft was Joe Biden, I’d seriously be looking for a new asylum.
I hear ya.
It seems to me that Trump is nearly unbeatable now.
I’ve seen so many Democrats voicing displeasure with the path the party has taken.
The independents can’t possibly think Biden or any other Democrat is better.
The media has destroyed themselves. Only the mush-heads still gain anything from it, and look at CNN’s ratings.
The other Leftist cable channels aren’t much better.
It was Leftist central just a few years ago.
The biggest problem Biden has is the drop off... When other democrats start dropping out where will their supporters go? With rare exception - they’ll go to Bernie.
All Bernie has to do to win the nomination is to take second place in enough early races to stay in the game. Then as other’s drop out, Bernie will pick up their backers.
Anyone think Warren’s supporters would ever vote for Biden?
I always think that if you win a Primary that has a ton of candidates w/ 30% of the vote, that means 70% did not choose you for some reason and it is a stretch that if their guy drops out, they’d choose you even if you got the exiting guy’s endorsement.
Msdnc has lost viewers but I don't think they are anywhere near as unwatched as cnn, at least not yet. Trump seems to be rising in approval, but a lot of people are still watching the 24/7 brainwashing, and many off them hate Trump more than before he was elected. At that time the media was not pushing as hard as they are now.
Me too, but from a rat point of view, the fact that with Harris as VP, Biden falling apart or dying after being elected is a good thing, in fact, better than Biden serving a full 4 years.
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