Posted on 10/28/2018 7:41:06 AM PDT by NotaLowTBoomer
Voted Vote-by-Mail
Republicans: 711,988 Democrat; 646,843
Voted Early in person Republicans 385,163 Democrat 379,893
Pinellas, where Zero won by 10
35% D
32% R
“(except for the ones the Dems keep in the trunk of their cars as tie breakers).”
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Yes, if it’s close, Dems always win. We have to make sure the races are not close enough for them to cheat...
’ BTW, any info updates on the tallies of EV in TEXAS???”
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Turnout has been huge, about 5 times the numbers in 2014. I feel good about it considering there are more of us than there are of them here.
Exactly. A lot of the Registered Democrats could be voting Rebublican (for the first time).
Will be interesting to see if that is the case. Gollum has been consistently outpolling Nelson by a point or 2. I’m speculating we may actually be witnessing the Bradley Effect. We don’t hear much about the Bradley Effect anymore in post-Obama America.
For those of you too young to remember, there used to be a phenomenon wherein black political candidates on Election Day would underperform their poll numbers. This was called the “Bradley Effect” or sometimes the “Wilder Effect”. The theory was that, when talking to a pollster, a white person would feel the need virtue-signal to a pollster their intent to vote for the black guy, but then vote for the white guy on Election Day.
I think this Effect is pretty much dead and buried, however, I’m wondering if in Florida - with its much higher age demographic - if the Bradley Effect might still have some life.
This election will be a great test of that. If DeSantis ends up outperforming Scott, that would indicate to me that Bradley is alive and well in Florida.
Early voting in Florida began on October 24th, and it concluded on November 6th. According to data released by the Florida Department of State’s Division of Elections, 6.4 million Floridians voted early this year. In the end, the Democrats were able to come away from early voting with the advantage.
A total of 2,558,000 votes were cast by registered Democrats, and 2,471,000 votes were cast by registered Republicans.
This translates into 39.85 percent of the vote going to the Democrats, and 38.49 percent of it going to the Republicans.
In total, 49.7 percent of the state’s entire population of registered voters have already voted. This turnout of 6.4 million voters is a significant increase compared to four years ago, when only 4.4 million votes were cast early.
Total turnout was 9.4 million in 2016
I took my elderly parents down to vote yesterday.
South Shore Regional Library in Ruskin, FL 20mi south of Tampa
About 2pm on a Saturday, was busy but the poll operators had things moving very quickly & professionally. Kudos to them.
Outside was one guy holding a Gillum sign we all smiled and shook our head. There was also a group supporting Greyhound racing and had a few dogs. My family has a personal distaste for PETA so we rolled the windows down and gave them a smile and a thumbs up.
Because I was occupied with helping both of my elderly parents I did not get the chance to gauge the others.
We voted straight (R) ticket. Now my mother is still a registered Democrat she hasn’t voted that way in a long while and just never changed her affiliation. My dad did and he and I are both Republicans.
Does anyone have numbers of crossovers in 2016? Dems voting for Trump and Republicans voting for Hillary? I’m curious on how measurable #WalkAway will be next week.
I did my part. My wife will vote this week. Straight Republican as well.
Party registration by state.
Yes this is very true.
Trump won Florida by 1.2%....Demon rats had 1.36% early vote lead or 87,000 votes.
So if things hold to 2016 there are 3 million Election Day voters compared to 6.4 million early votes. It obviously won’t be exactly the same.
“Pinellas, where Zero won by 10
35% D
32% R’
!!!!!
Here’s a “guesstimate” of party preference/affiliation of all early voters in all states from a democratic firm no less. Overall very good.
They have some “proprietary formula”
https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/index.html
Election Day GOP votes for GOP, 95%, Democrat Votes for GOP. 30%, Independents votes for GOP, 60%....IMHO!!!
I have really only been following Texas, Florida & Georgia, and I believe at this stage the GOP will win all three big time!!!
GOP, voters....get off your butts and get out there and vote for the “Trump, GOP Ticket!!!...every vote counts!!!
The cemetery vote hasn’t been counted yet.
Alabama wasn't about party switching. In Alabama, 650,000 Trump voters stayed home because they loathed Roy Moore yet were certain he'd still win without their votes.
Yep except we won’t reach 2016 turnout.
The big question for me is how close do we get to 2016 turnout?
It will be interesting to see how this early republican vote factors into our Election Day percentages. Both republicans and democrats are in uncharted waters in a few states at the moment. I live in a deeply blue state and from driving around you’d barely know midterms are coming.
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