I’m not sure I’m calling BS on that. Here’s why:
The Dems are pushing hard in the West Coast and the East Coast - especially in states in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, California and Washington State. Electorally, those states are not kind to the GOP. There are endangered GOP incumbents and open seats in those areas tha are potentially ripe for the plucking.
Throw in some seats in fly-over country - for example Kevin Yoder in Kansas 3, Eric Paulson in Minnesota 3, Rod Blum in Iowa 1, etc - that are potentially ripe for the Democrats to pick up.
On the other hand, we do not have many possibilities for GOP pick-up - possibly Minnesota 1 and Minnesota 8 are a couple where we do have a chance.
I’m not being Stevie Downer here but let’s admit it, it’s not out of the realm of possibility for the Dems to pick up enough seats for control of the House - even in absence of their much vaunted blue wave.
Yeah but I think they aren’t or can’t take into account all the people who are Trump supporters and aren’t saying so out of fear of the Mob party. I know for a fact there are a hell of a lot of blacks who have left the Mob party as have Hispanics. Former Mob party voters have even openly declared they have left the Mob party with the #Walkaway movement. I just have a feeling there is going to be a huge turnout by those people that’s going to shock the hell out of the Mob party plus I have trouble believing why people would be so insane enough to vote against a record economy and lowest unemployment in 50 years and support a party that wants to flood the country with foreigners. We’ll see though.
“I’m not sure I’m calling BS on that. Here’s why:
The Dems are pushing hard in the West Coast and the East Coast - especially in states in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, California and Washington State. Electorally, those states are not kind to the GOP. There are endangered GOP incumbents and open seats in those areas tha are potentially ripe for the plucking.
Throw in some seats in fly-over country - for example Kevin Yoder in Kansas 3, Eric Paulson in Minnesota 3, Rod Blum in Iowa 1, etc - that are potentially ripe for the Democrats to pick up.
On the other hand, we do not have many possibilities for GOP pick-up - possibly Minnesota 1 and Minnesota 8 are a couple where we do have a chance.
I’m not being Stevie Downer here but let’s admit it, it’s not out of the realm of possibility for the Dems to pick up enough seats for control of the House - even in absence of their much vaunted blue wave.”
“not out of the realm of possibility” is a far cry from “86% chance”. I think we all acknowledge that this election could be close, but the Dems path to 25 is not that easy. Taking everything we know as of today in totality, I’d say it’s more like 70% GOP holds the House, 30% Dems take it. And even if Dems take control, it will likely only be a pickup of 25-30, not the 40 or 50 they are hoping for to gain firm control.
All that said - TAKE THIS AND ANY OTHER ANALYSIS WITH A GRAIN OF SALT AND GET OUT AND VOTE!!
I’ve already got my absentee ballot here in Mn. If you can vote early, might as well get it in there ASAP so you don’t have to worry about it on election day.
If you are not being stevie downer here, I'd hate to read your posts when you are.
Get a grip, grow a set, stand up, put your shoulders back, sing the Anthem.