Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Local Weather: |
“Waveland was a sad place after Katrina”
Waveland is still a sad place as of last year no rebuilding to be seen traveling on Hwy 90
Well, that all sounds cautiously encouraging.
Not out of the woods, but not as deep in ‘em ?
This storm is full of surprises.
We’ll see. I expect the surge, flooding and rain will be the story.
Overnight prayers for all in harm’s way, including all the brave souls tracking these things from the air.
G’night all.
I hope I’m wrong too. But, the last time they opened the dam earlier this summer, so much debris washed in the rivers and bay. It became too dangerous and difficult for boats to keep from hitting stuff in the water. . That issue was in addition to the crabbers who lost many of their pots.
So, you may still get crab cakes, but the prices may go up. I haven’t had any crabs yet this season.
She dropped to a Cat 2 at the last check about thirty minutes ago.
Just need some good Biscuits.
Yep (surprises) - big blowup in SW quadrant, now, almost as if energy got mashed back toward the center. It remains to be seen if it’ll amount to much overall, given the overall size of the storm.
Thanks for the link, Holly.
Insomnia night here, so came to see what the FR night owls are up to.
I’d imagine that one of the dangers now could be that people will hear of the category downgrade and poopoo the heavy rain/surge conditions that NHC is still warning of.
I’d also imagine that traffic conditions down that way are approaching nightmare status, if not already there.
You’re welcome!
You may be right. I hope everyone concerned will stay on track with the plans to seek safety; especially away from water - whether that’s the ocean, rivers, etc.
I can’t even imagine the traffic out that way. Then with gas shortages, hopefully folks won’t run out of gas on the road.
...a fellow insomniac FReeper.
Hundred miles from home, family in the car, surrounded by thousands of strangers driving by gawking, it's nighttime, 10 miles from the nearest exit . . .
< neck hair standing up >
Two or more....AMEN
Another report need to pay attention to:
Circulating reports claiming the “weakening” of Florence is a big deal are wrong. The wind field remains HUGE & maximum 9-13’ surge is still likely....This is nearly irrelevant because hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds now extend outward up to 195 miles....It will regenerate before landfall to a cat 4 or Cat 5 hurricane quickly
another report comes out in a couple of minutes so let’s pray for good news
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
0500 NHC discussion describes Florence eyewall is open. This was noted via microwave images and Hurricane Hunter obs.
A developing mid-level ridge over the north-central United States should cause the forward speed of the hurricane to decrease today. As the steering currents collapse tonight and Friday, Florence is forecast to drift westward or west-southwestward and continue that slow motion into the weekend.
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