Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Whites have fled the Democratic Party. Here’s how the nation got there.
Washington Post ^ | May 22, 2018 | by Joshua N. Zingher

Posted on 05/22/2018 2:42:27 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

With the 2018 midterms months away and the 2020 presidential election cycle approaching rapidly, Democrats are considering how to improve their poor showings in 2014 and 2016. The party has been debating - sometimes heatedly - how to do this. Which voters should they target? How should Democrats target them?

But here’s what’s clear: White voters have been fleeing the Democratic Party, and that’s a big reason Democrats are looking to rebound from back-to-back losses.

Whites have slowly but consistently moved away from the Democratic Party. These recent losses are on top of Democrats’ losses among Southern whites during the 1960s and 1970s after Democrats’ support of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965.

My new research helps explain how Democrats got to this point. I utilized survey data from the American National Election Study that spanned 1972 to 2012 and the General Social Survey that spanned 1983 to 2014 to see how the predictors of white vote choice had changed. I found that white voters’ shift toward the Republican Party has been driven by two factors.

The first factor is that growing elite polarization has caused the electorate to “sort” along ideological lines.

On the elite level, Republicans are conservatives and Democrats are liberals. The parties are clearly divided ideologically, and there is no overlap between the two.

The second factor is that demographic changes have decreased the ratio of whites to nonwhites in the electorate. The electorate was 29 percent nonwhite in 2016. This is up from 11 percent in 1976 and 19 percent in 2000.

This is politically important because the average white voter is more economically conservative and more socially liberal on issues such as abortion, gay rights and so on than the average nonwhite voter.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; democrats; endwhiteshaming; progressives; race; socialists; whitevote
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 101-105 next last
To: LexBaird

Identity politics is based on hate and oppressing the non favored groups.

At this point the Democrats favor non citizens over citizens.

This will be an epic fail for them, even in California.


41 posted on 05/22/2018 3:08:33 PM PDT by crusher2013
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Billthedrill
"The glue of the Democrat party is hatred - they took that step knowingly and willingly in order to build a coalition of people they didn't hate, and that turned out to be nearly no one."

You would think that one group they don't hate is gays, yet - over and over - we see that when they want to mock a conservative, they publicly accuse him of being a closet homosexual, and use gay slurs with impunity, or use gay slurs privately even regarding actual gays. We have seen this several times just in the past few weeks.
42 posted on 05/22/2018 3:08:49 PM PDT by Steve_Seattle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: henkster

“Forbidden Planet” is such a great movie.


43 posted on 05/22/2018 3:09:27 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: Oldeconomybuyer
The dem’s dilemma is that they have to be pretty crazy and out there to attract the fringe elements they depend upon to cobble together a winning voting bloc, but it is just that craziness that is beginning to drive away many of their more traditional supporters, like white labor union members, and those who are fiscally liberal but socially more conservative.

I think their descent into transgender bathrooms, forced pronouns, etc. has done considerable damage to them for not much marginal gain. It’s the same effect that Target experienced when they cratered their business in order to seek favor with a tiny number of fringe weirdos.

44 posted on 05/22/2018 3:10:14 PM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.`)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne
...Hispanics moving away...

Just the ones that are here legally (aka, American citizens). I suspect the ones here illegally (aka, invaders) vote in droves for the Dems.

45 posted on 05/22/2018 3:10:54 PM PDT by El Cid (Believe on the Lord Jesus Christ, and thou shalt be saved, and thy house...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Gay State Conservative
"we decided not to pick our own cotton centuries ago."

And now Dems have decided we don't want to pick ANYTHING, so we'll import more "people of color" to do it for us.
46 posted on 05/22/2018 3:11:01 PM PDT by Steve_Seattle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: Lee25

>> I’m disappointed <<

We all are. But the disaster at our border did not percolate from American culture. It rose out of elite one-world order types affiliated with both political parties for different reasons. American culture 2018 is vastly different than American culture 1978. The “silent majority” is finally waking up and I expect to see a revival of traditional American/Family/Liberty values soon.

You will thrive here. You think for yourself and value individual Liberty. Welcome!


47 posted on 05/22/2018 3:11:23 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Steve_Seattle

I never changed. I have never voted for a Democrat in my life except once to cross-over into a Democrat primary.


48 posted on 05/22/2018 3:11:29 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (<img src="http://i.imgur.com/WukZwJP.gif" width=800>https://i.imgur.com/zXSEP5Z.gif)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: Eddie01

“Blacks are fleeing too.”

Hope you are black and know whereof you speak my friend!


49 posted on 05/22/2018 3:13:19 PM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: BlueYonder

Whites who are easily racially manipulated by Demonrats today, would have been just as easily racially manipulated in past racist doctrines and schemes created by Dims. Their beliefs about human beings run skin deep.


50 posted on 05/22/2018 3:13:45 PM PDT by SaraJohnson ( Whites must sue for racism. It's pay day.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Oldeconomybuyer
I think the primary reason white voters fled the dim party was the liberal takeover of the party.

Most Americans didn't like the shabby treatment of the military and the overall trashing of American values we saw in the late 60s and early 70s.

The pro-murder platform of the dnc has driven more whites away....and should drive more blacks away if they were thinking.

The Evangelical vote has gone heavy for gop-e candidates but I'm not sure we're getting much return for our support.

Roman Catholics finally got smart and supported Trump. Just one of a handful of times the RC vote has gone to the gop presidential nominee.

If the gop-e was smart...and that's very questionable, a massive outreach to those groups should be sufficient to be a coalition of voters to win going forward.

51 posted on 05/22/2018 3:17:31 PM PDT by ealgeone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oldeconomybuyer

For some reason, the left thought that the election of Trump gave them a green light to openly move to the far left on virtually every issue, from immigration to transgender bathrooms to the rule of law itself. I think/hope that they overplayed their hand, and that middle-of-the-road voters will finally see the nihilistic, anti-American left for what it is.


52 posted on 05/22/2018 3:17:44 PM PDT by Steve_Seattle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: El Cid

At some point I expect to see that verified.

Certainly in California, I think they vote in droves, but I can’t prove it.


53 posted on 05/22/2018 3:17:58 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: Oldeconomybuyer

“after Democrats’ support of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965.“

Joshua is a damned liar.

L


54 posted on 05/22/2018 3:20:25 PM PDT by Lurker (President Trump isn't our last chance. President Trump is THEIR last chance.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oldeconomybuyer

Maybe because leftists are anti-white and want to replace the population with Third Worlders?


55 posted on 05/22/2018 3:20:32 PM PDT by Hugin (Conservatism without Nationalism is a fraud.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Lee25
That is because being an American isn’t about being a race or ethnic group, it is a culture. If whites or any other large demographic don’t think America is worth defending, than it won’t be long until it falls.

Will there be a people strong enough to survive and carry on? Not if the Gospel of Christ is abandoned.

56 posted on 05/22/2018 3:22:24 PM PDT by Salvavida
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: The Fop

You are right. The turbulent, revolutionary 60’s is what did it...I was there. The filthy race riots and anti-war (which was really anti-American) protests sickened all normal, decent people. Now many of those, their spawn, and grand spawn are wheels in the democrat party. JFK, Truman, and FDR would be republicans now.


57 posted on 05/22/2018 3:22:25 PM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Oldeconomybuyer

Re: “Democrats are considering how to improve their poor showings in 2014 and 2016.”

Tear down more statues of historically prominent white people?


58 posted on 05/22/2018 3:22:25 PM PDT by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Twotone

Glad you responded, that’s exactly the sentence I zeroed in on. It’s a half truth. It was the drive for a welfare state packaged along with the civil rights that pushed some out and it happens everytime the pendulum swings too far to the left.


59 posted on 05/22/2018 3:23:33 PM PDT by Fhios (Mr. Magoo or Rip Van Sessions?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Oldeconomybuyer
Whites didn't leave the Democratic Party. They were driven out, by the constant shrill browbeating they received just for being white. I know I was. Why stay in a party where they constantly make it clear that they hate you and the only thing you can do for them is die soon and get out of the way?

(Oh but before you go, be sure to write us a check to fund more of this, okay?)

60 posted on 05/22/2018 3:24:30 PM PDT by Flatus I. Maximus (Don't like my guns? Molon labe.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 101-105 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson