Republican Civil War Could Hand Senate to Democrats

Townhall.com ^ | Dec 14, 2017 | Scott Rasmussen

[Oshkalaboomboom]

With Doug Jones' victory in Alabama, Democrats now have at least a plausible path to winning control of the U.S. Senate in the 2018 elections. It's a difficult path to be sure, but it could happen.

The first step will be for Democrats to successfully defend all of their Senate incumbents next November. That's not going to be easy because the list includes 10 running in states that voted for Donald Trump. But, the results from Alabama suggest that it could happen. If it does, all Democrats would need to win the Senate is to pick up a pair of GOP seats. And they definitely have a chance to do so in Arizona and Nevada.

The Alabama results indicate that Democrats might be positioned for a very strong midterm election. Especially notable was the strong African-American turnout that lifted Jones to victory. If minority voters remain engaged at similar levels next November, Republicans will have an enormous challenge on their hands.

Not only that, many Republicans chose to stay home rather than vote for Moore. If Republican turnout is depressed and minority turnout is up, the Democrats could win both Houses of Congress. And, if that wasn't enough, nearly half of college educated white women in Alabama showed up and cast a vote for the Democrat.

If the same trends continue in 2018, it will be a nightmare election for the GOP.

While some would like to write off the stunning upset in Alabama to a flawed candidate who ran a terrible campaign, the Moore candidacy was really just the symptom of a much deeper problem: Republican voters have little trust or confidence in the Republican establishment.

It's hard to blame them. After all, the establishment spent seven years collecting votes on a promise to repeal Obamacare. Voters gave the GOP control of Congress and the White House only to learn that the elected politicians didn't really mean it. For many, that wasn't really a surprise. It simply confirmed what they had seen before. Politicians are good at making promises but not so good on delivering.

Since GOP voters have come to see little value in sending traditional Republicans to Washington, they have become more and more attracted to people who will fight the status quo. Occasionally, that leads to a quality Senator like Mike Lee from Utah. More often, however, it leads to candidates like Roy Moore, Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock who lose elections that Republicans should win.

Establishment leaders are correct to point out that a more careful vetting process and thoughtful candidate selection would lead to more Republican victories. But that doesn't mean they are blameless in the party's Civil War. Quite the opposite, in fact; a health leadership would seek out quality candidates who can truly represent their voters, run a successful campaign, and then deliver on their promises.

Until the Republican leaders can change their tune and earn the trust of their voters, the party's Civil War will continue. That will lead to losing other elections they should win, and quite possibly to the Democratic control of the United States Senate.

[Oshkalaboomboom]

There are plenty of Senate Republicans and NeverTrumpers who don't see that as a bad thing. It's a lot easier to be in the minority and pretend you want change than to be in the majority and actually have to deliver it.

[Jim Robinson]

They don’t call it the stupid party for nothing.

[Gene Eric]

>> If the same trends continue in 2018, it will be a nightmare election for the GOP.

Alabama is a trend?

>> Until the Republican leaders can change their tune and earn the trust of their voters, the party’s Civil War will continue.

The leadership is corrupt. There will never be any trust.

[11th_VA]

McConnell knocked out Mo Brooks in the primary, so Strange could run against Moore. If Brooks ran against the RAT (I can’t even remember his name), he would be senator today.

[stanne]

Yess we know that’s their intent. One of the reasons Trump is in office and that he’s not losing any popularity. And he isn’t

Republicans who are actually democrats are being illuminated

But they’ll lose the senate as sure as they can find victims for hire or use whatever tactic they can

[Rashputin]

Come on, the RINO leaders in the Senate want to hand the democrats the majority so they can go back to making all sorts of symbolic moves they know are doomed to fail before they even begin. Look at how they were happy to send Obama a "clean" repeal of Obamacare over and over but when Trump is President? Can't do it. Nothin' but BS from them.

JMHo

[Vendome]

Stupid.

As for the dems gain in a majority....pfttt!!!
They have 193 to our 239.

They would need to flip 46 seats and one of the 3 current vacancies.

Mathematically improbable.

It would be conceivable if the economy were in peril.

It’s not and won’t be for another 3 years, maybe.
That’s listening to a guy I know, who is the chief economist for a major, major investment firm.
He hates Trump...period but, his outlook and advice have the economy buzzing for a few years yet and even he hedges his long term outlook with the possibility that Trump will come through with tax reform and then he sees advantage USA for a variety of reasons.

So, middle finger to the prognosticators.

Oh, and about Alabama. They have blown a few hundred million this year to get one win.
That cuts into their funds for next year.
Bad news. DNC is literally so broke they can’t pay attention, have zero cash on hand and millions in debt.

RNC meanwhile has a ton of loot stashed, nearly $100 million, as does NRSCC and others.

They have cash on hand and the best part? Zero debt.

Trump, for his part, has raised a gazillion bucks as well for 2020.

If you’re blue and don’t know where to go...putin on the ritz

[ScottinVA]

I believe many if the establishment types miss the days of minority status, especially along the lines of the 60-40 disadvantage during the first two Obama years. All that was required was to show up, complain about the horrendous legislation foisted upon this country by the dems, posture for the cameras, attend cocktail parties and play golf. McConnell wistfully recalls those “good old days.” They aren’t leader material; they’re collaborators.

[Yosemitest]

Don't for one second think that Judy Roy Moore lost that election !
Can't you see DemocRAT generated FAKE VOTES right in front of you ?

The information in the article Vote Fraud of Alabama from TUESDAY, DECEMBER 12, 2017, deserves saving.

...

There is absolutely not any way that Roy Moore lost the Alabama election for United States Senate. This was a matter again of vote rigging in population centers.

Simply look at the massive margins which Doug Jones had to pile up in concentrated population areas. To put it plainly, Alabama is a state of 6 out of 10 voters are Republicans, in remembering this 60 to 40 percent margin, look at these numbers in percentages for Doug Jones.



 Bullock 80.4%
Macon 88.1
Montgomery 72.1
Dallas 74.7
Perry 79
Wilcox 76.7
Hale 87.6
Sumter 80.9
Jefferson 69.6
Mobile 57.2
Madison 56.9


One only sees numbers like this in Pyongyang, Tehran and Peking. In a state of 60% Republicans who were highly motivated for Roy Moore, while Doug Jones was getting Hillary Clinton no shows at his events, and we are to believe that in Macon County 90% of the voters voted for Doug Jones?


County


	Jones	Moore	Write-Ins	Rpt.
Jefferson	121,169	49,910	3,121	85%
Madison	65,664	46,313	3,446	100
Mobile	57,715	41,398	1,300	71
Montgomery	48,186	17,705	743	100
Shelby	27,251	36,424	1,718	100
Baldwin	22,131	38,445	1,699	98
Tuscaloosa	30,858	22,064	1,007	100
Lee	19,810	14,017	672	100
Morgan	10,901	19,187	668	100
Etowah	10,518	15,693	617	100
Calhoun	11,705	14,567	399	100
Limestone	9,606	14,298	515	100
Houston	9,107	14,796	285	100
Lauderdale	9,908	12,775	382	100
St. Clair	6,203	15,876	459	100
Elmore	7,711	14,411	338	100
Cullman	4,156	16,602	324	100
Talladega	9,967	9,698	223	100
Marshall	5,134	13,828	449	100
Walker	4,317	11,909	259	100
Colbert	6,865	7,762	171	100
Autauga	5,606	8,752	253	100
Blount	2,405	11,621	180	100
Dallas	10,492	3,485	60	100
DeKalb	3,559	10,097	234	100
Coffee	3,715	8,052	202	100
Tallapoosa	4,590	7,171	148	100
Dale	3,842	6,988	136	100
Jackson	3,328	7,316	154	100
Russell	6,761	3,622	55	100
Chilton	2,298	7,555	132	100
Covington	2,102	6,825	88	100
Escambia	3,640	4,985	87	100
Lawrence	3,028	5,314	61	100
Clarke	4,346	3,984	43	100
Pike	3,989	4,154	97	100
Chambers	4,247	3,308	75	100
Marengo	4,495	2,804	62	100
Geneva	1,289	5,431	93	100
Marion	1,311	5,268	68	100
Monroe	3,244	3,276	40	100
Macon	5,780	758	20	100
Barbour	3,680	2,699	41	100
Pickens	3,057	2,961	46	100
Franklin	1,770	4,214	48	100
Butler	2,914	2,756	41	100
Winston	911	4,680	67	100
Cherokee	1,525	3,996	110	100
Hale	3,894	1,691	32	100
Bibb	1,567	3,599	66	100
Washington	1,799	3,320	48	100
Henry	1,896	3,014	38	100
Randolph	1,692	3,229	23	100
Lowndes	3,779	988	13	100
Fayette	1,142	3,491	50	100
Sumter	3,527	814	18	100
Wilcox	3,344	999	16	100
Choctaw	2,273	1,949	17	100
Conecuh	2,259	1,815	18	100
Perry	3,138	821	11	100
Greene	3,340	462	9	100
Crenshaw	1,320	2,347	56	100
Lamar	779	2,847	29	100
Clay	985	2,586	44	100
Bullock	2,712	656	7	100
Coosa	1,414	1,867	30	100
Cleburne	594	2,465	30	100



I did an inquiry of the matrix and the numbers which returned were a long the lines of a month ago in Roy Moore won by 62% and Doug Jones lost in 28% of the vote.

This is what the deep state looks like when it steals an election. FOX comes out with a bogus poll to repress voting, but is more to prepare the Republicans for defeat, as Matt Drudge bashes the Alabama Citizens over the head for months, for the fag vote mafia.

What took place is e vote fraud, write ins, vote fraud and busing in voters. At one point Doug Jones somehow got 60,000 votes in a few moments.

...

[Bryanw92]

The GOP wants to hand the Senate to the Dems, because they want Trump convicted in impeachment as much as the Dems do. Maybe more, because all they live to do is fund-raise and when you control everything and still never do anything of note, it’s hard to ask for money.

[urbanpovertylawcenter]

Mitch-Paul are not up to the task of leading or legislating. Only opposition to first Obama and now Trump.

They would have a sweet release if the Dems took over the senate.

Bye-bye judges, bye bye supreme court justices, bye bye wall, hello Obamacare, hello higher taxes, hello open borders.

[Paine in the Neck]

Mitch has always been OK with being the Bob Michel of the Senate, completely ineffectual, but all the perks of “Leadership.”

[HighSierra5]

The only strategy for the Demoncrats from now on is to play dirtier than ever. They have got a new card to play that’s better than the race card. The sex allegation card is hard to beat. Boy,what a bunch of hipacrits.

[boycott]

GOPe senate PAC money should have been behind Mo Brooks. Mitch put the money behind Strang which was a horrible decision.

[Deplorable American1776]

Trump supporters needs to get candidates to battle the swamp...Time to start the battle for 2018...

[central_va]

I guess Scott Rassmussen, like everyone else it seems, is skipping over the primaries. Bannon isn’t.....

[eyeamok]

Could hand the Senate to Democrats??

What the hell are they smoking so early in the morning? The Republican Leadership Wants to give the Demonrats control of the Senate. The only way for both Parties to survive is to band together and Do everything they can to Stop Trump and Screw the American People. it is their only chance of survival.

[Verginius Rufus]

If Republicans now have 239 seats, they only need to lose 22 to be in the minority (217 out of 435).

[Verginius Rufus]

The Republican leadership may think it is in their interest to lose control at least of the Senate, if not both houses, in order to hamstring Trump as much as possible, hoping that will cause him to lose in 2020.

Of course that would mean the next chance for a Republican President would be 2024, or maybe 2028, or maybe never.

[Vendome]

I stand corrected...