IA used to be a swing state. Trump won it by double digits.
and DJT will have a comfy win in Iowa 4 years from now. They even doubled down on the bathroom discrimination law. Trump effect at work..
In the run up to the 2016, the pollsters had Mr. Trump up by 7 in Iowa. It was never in any doubt. This didn’t make any sense to me. Or, was it the other polls that were screwy? My gut instinct was that he would win handily, subject to the level of voting fraud. As it turned out, he took Iowa handily. My thought at the time was he could win this thing. One tell for me, Mr. Bill came here to campaign for her, in a reliably democratic union town. The newspaper said “several hundred” people showed, but the photographs were mostly tightly focused shots, the kind that make the crowd look big. A different angle showed otherwise. There was hardly anyone there! Hard to tell but 100 would be generous. Mr. Trump was packing stadiums with lines streaming down the block in January, and here a former President couldn’t draw flies. It was surreal.
The Eastern part of Iowa trends more democratic, while Western Iowa more republican. As a rule, the local news organizations only talk about the eastern half or northeastern part. Western Iowa does not exist, basically. It’s kind of strange in that way.