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THE USC DORNSIFE / LA TIMES PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION "DAYBREAK" POLL
LA Times ^ | 6 Nov 2016

Posted on 11/06/2016 6:35:28 AM PST by mandaladon

Trump 48.2

Hillary 42.6

(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; elections; hillary; polls; trump; trumpbump
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Trump/Pence 2016!
1 posted on 11/06/2016 6:35:28 AM PST by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon

Come on TRUMP!


2 posted on 11/06/2016 6:36:59 AM PST by hoosiermama (“Christian faith is not the past but the present and the future. Make it stronger. "DJT)
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To: mandaladon

wow...that is very lopsided!

go Trump!


3 posted on 11/06/2016 6:37:06 AM PST by ConservativeDude
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4 posted on 11/06/2016 6:39:28 AM PST by tomkat (MONSTER ! VOTE)
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To: mandaladon

VICTORY INCOMING


5 posted on 11/06/2016 6:40:00 AM PST by mancini
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To: ConservativeDude

Looked at methodology briefly.

Not like other polls as I do not see D/R weighting.

This seems to take in to account switching of party vote ie independents.


6 posted on 11/06/2016 6:42:43 AM PST by Hang'emAll (If guns kill people, do pencils misspell words?)
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To: mandaladon

The gap between Trump and Hillary has been growing slowly day by day. This is great news. Only two days to go till we know the results.


7 posted on 11/06/2016 6:43:51 AM PST by Dilbert San Diego
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To: mandaladon

If that is accurate, is it possible to lose the electoral map?


8 posted on 11/06/2016 6:44:34 AM PST by Gadsden1st
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To: mandaladon

This seems to be following a Big MO shift reminiscent of 1980.

Then, the insiders saw the shift by Saturday and saw the writing on the wall by Sunday. By Monday, even the candidates knew how it was going to turn out. They just had to wait for the finale Tuesday evening.


9 posted on 11/06/2016 6:44:34 AM PST by TomGuy
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To: Hang'emAll

Its probably D +7 like the rest.

The trend is correct but the turnout is way off.


10 posted on 11/06/2016 6:44:44 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: mandaladon

Is this a weighted or unweighted poll?

I’m curious. I know it uses a large number of calls—something like 3000. If your call sample is large enough, you shouldn’t have to cook the results for predicted poll representation (absent some other systematic polling error).

In that case, it could be the most accurate of polls.


11 posted on 11/06/2016 6:44:56 AM PST by Pearls Before Swine
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To: mandaladon

Go Trojans!


12 posted on 11/06/2016 6:44:57 AM PST by ElkGroveDan (My tagline is in the shop.)
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To: hoosiermama

Trump almost tied w Hispanucs in this.


13 posted on 11/06/2016 6:45:15 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Hang'emAll

The 12 million dem crossover vote in the primaries extrapolates out to about 25 million dems voting Trump Tuesday.


14 posted on 11/06/2016 6:45:27 AM PST by txhurl (Chode: a word about taglines)
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To: TomGuy

The Big Mo is with Trump.

A CNN panel reached that conclusion Friday afternoon.

The last polls on Monday want to be accurate, so nearly all of them will show Trump in the lead.

No one seriously doubts now he will win the election.


15 posted on 11/06/2016 6:47:12 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: mandaladon

The other polls are bogus. Stuart Varney just caught the head of See-BS conspiring with the Hillary Headquarters on questions to ask Jebber in an interview. The damn Bush Bastards are conspiring with Hillary to ruin America!!!


16 posted on 11/06/2016 6:48:27 AM PST by ZULU (We are freedom's safest place!!!!)
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To: mandaladon

The other polls are bogus. Stuart Varney just caught the head of See-BS conspiring with the Hillary Headquarters on questions to ask Jebber in an interview. The damn Bush Bastards are conspiring with Hillary to ruin America!!!


17 posted on 11/06/2016 6:48:29 AM PST by ZULU (We are freedom's safest place!!!!)
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To: ZULU

Jeb who?

Don’t make me laugh.

If this was Jeb, he’d concede and congratulate our first Madam President.

Good thing he’s not the nominee.


18 posted on 11/06/2016 6:52:33 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Gadsden1st

If the pop vote gap is this wide, then yes you can completely ignore the electoral map and just have your popcorn ready at around 9pm eastern time and get ready to sing “Ding Dong the Witch is Dead”, because it would be impossible for a republican to win this big of a popular vote without an electoral college landslide as well (due to the large populations of democrats in Calif, Illinois and the Northeast).

HOWEVER, if you pray, pray today and tomorrow. Our country and future are at stake. Whether in spiritual warfare or donating or volunteering with the online phone bank, be involved, because this is our last election if Trump doesn’t win.


19 posted on 11/06/2016 6:54:13 AM PST by scottinoc
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To: Pearls Before Swine
This is unweighted.

And, it's not a telephone survey. It's a tracking poll of about 3200 people (randomly selected) conducted via the web. Each day, 1/7th of them are asked to answer the questions.

It's a rolling average of the past 7 days.

20 posted on 11/06/2016 6:54:24 AM PST by justlurking
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