Okay, but this is from the 3rd. It accurately shows Trump has a lead in the state (on the cusp of the margin of error). What we got today were early voting numbers which shows Democrats smashing their targets, particularly with hispanics.
What this says is, if the country is as partisan as it was in 2012 (and we dont have a huge amount of evidence that it isn’t, except for perhaps union democrats crossing over in PA and MI), then Democrats have built a bigger buffer zone for 2016 than they had in 2012.
So, Trump would need a massive election DAY turnout to overcome it. Many are saying it is not plausible, and they have good reason to. But, Trump is doing better than Romney was in Nevada polls, so we will have to see.
All I’m saying is, I’d look to MI before NV if I’m honest. Maybe Colorado as well, because we are seeing a shocking number of Indies voting by mail there
If Hispanics are coming out in NV and FL, we might not be celebrating as much as we want too.
This conservative CO Indie voted Trump.
I didn’t vote for McPain and Mitt that says something.
Been a long time since I voted.
I've said for months that party affiliation in this race is going to be almost irrelevant, because if Trump wins he's going to do it on the strength of a lot of crossover votes from registered Democrats.