Posted on 11/04/2016 12:11:00 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod
|
|
11/04 |
11/03 |
Change |
|
Trump |
46.9 |
47.5 |
- . 6 |
|
Clinton |
43.4 |
42.5 |
+ . 9 |
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
Yuck. And it’s back in the gray band.
A repeating pattern of this poll: Bad news for the Crook hits her for about 6-8 days, then wears off. Almost like the polling method allows huge swings that quickly correct. Check the graph back to mid July to confirm.
Back into the MOE.
The difference between significance and non-significance is itself not statistically significant.
Yeah, statistical noise.
Yes, in the MOE for their D+7 sample. I’d rather see her crushed every day, but this is still good news for 4 days before the election.
I agree. The initial last Friday revelation was a big deal but unless new stuff on it or something else comes out the effect begins wearing off an gets absorbed. Hoping Trump doesn’t peak too soon.
It may be close...but I would not be shocked if Trump gets a landslide. Just don’t know...I of know Trump and Pence are working like dogs!
“Yes, in the MOE for their D+7 sample. I’d rather see her crushed every day, but this is still good news for 4 days before the election.”
A D+7 is such a fake position. At best this election is D+2 There are some guys saying that there is evidence that the election should be gauged as R+2 Even at D+4 this isn’t close
The polls are moving sideways. Some up and some down. It will come down to turnout in the battleground states.
Not good.
Pray this reverses.
Still looks good going down the stretch. 43% is a poor number for the incumbent party candidate.
Five point lead yesterday.
Loss of 1.5 points today.
That is 30%. Not “noise”.
Rasmussen had it right. 53 Trump, 43 Clinton. You change it from D+7 to R+2, you get it.
Trending the wrong way the past two days. The fact that it tightened means there are people who aren’t bothered by the FBI investigation - of course the media is not covering it properly.
Clinton had a good single day yesterday, whic overcame a less decent day for Trump seven days ago. Net of -1.5 means that Clinton was 10.5 points better yesterday by itself then seven days ago. Does anyone believe that she would have such a positive spike yesterday?
yeah its True Pundit so who knows....but supposedly tomorrow will be Christmas.
I don’t see anything there beyond random variation.
Where is Hillary campaigning tomorrow? Surprise guests at the rally?
Where did this poll come? Never heard of it.
I suppose we will find out, eh? Like I said, its True Pundit but who knows. Maybe they are right and then again, maybe they are wrong...sweet dreams none the less.
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