Posted on 10/28/2016 12:29:45 AM PDT by Az Joe
To believe recent mainstream media polling releases, one would have to suspend reality enough to believe that John Podesta's email leaks, the ongoing Project Veritas video series, a world on fire, and new revelations about Obamacare are driving the public to embrace Hillary Clinton as never before. Things are apparently so good for the former first lady that ABC has her with a 12-point lead, a margin not seen in a presidential election since 1984. CNN is less confident but still has her sporting a comfortable 5-point lead. Fox News has wavered between "too close to call" and the current 3-point edge that is contingent on her achieving President Obama's D+7 support level from 2008, which borders on complete insanity.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Polls are way off.
We already know from early voting D +7 is too absurd to maintain.
D +9, D +10, D +11 is entering into fantasy territory.
Which says a lot about massive confirmation bias omnipresent in the MSM.
“This election will either be tight in favor of either candidate or will be a blowout in favor of Trump. For the reasons stated above and backed up with maps, I do not anticipate Trump being steamrolled.”
“Do not allow the media to steal this election without a fight.”
If only the media had a vote, Hillary would already be President.
People don’t buy their marketing on her behalf.
Hopefully, their wish won’t come true.
2012: D+6
2008: D+7
2004: Even
2000: D+4
1996: D+5
1992: D+3
1988: D+2
Only 2004 showed the DEMs at less than +3. Bush was an incumbent. Kerry an uninspiring choice to replace him. So, 2004 was either an outlier or hope for this election, because the general trend has been a slightly increasing DEM advantage.
I totally ignore the MSM and most poll threads, i’m not feeding on the paid poll trolls meal ticket.
Already voted, done deal. Paper ballot and i took a photo of it.
2008 and 2012 were exceptional because of Obama - he had great personal appeal that transcended partisan, ideological and racial lines. That’s why D turnout was off the charts.
In contrast, Hillary isn’t likable, is another dreary hard core very left-wing Democrat and a result of that is voting patterns are returning to pre-2008 levels.
Much of the Democratic advantage has turned out to be a transient phenomenon. There is no Obama coalition and neither 2008 nor 2012 were a realignment election.
The media has turned into a Pravda type machine with the exception of a very few number of reporters/commentators at Fox. I have been watching OANN One America News Network.
2012 is atypical also because we still had the very highly motivated black vote combined with a weak, liberal Republican candidate who caused several million Republican voters to stay home in disgust.
Throw out those two aberrations and the remainder indicates an average of only slightly more than D +2.
Hillary’s an uninspiring candidate. Add to that the lack of support from the Bernie voters and the steady barrage from Wikileaks and Project Veritas and you have an exasperated dem electorate.
Hillary will not get a 2008 or even 2012 turnout.
Yup - Obama is like the Democrat Eisenhower - he just captured the kind of country America wanted to be - a land of racial harmony, opportunity and abundance.
None of those hopes have materialized and Obama’s legacy isn’t anything to write home about. This election is a lot like 1960.
And Trump resembles Kennedy and Hillary is a lot like Nixon.
Is that a broadcast network or an internet site?
Quite a feint needed there. Trump keeps growing, Hillary keeps shrinking. Trump is bringing out new voters like no other recent GOP candidate since Ronald Reagan — I wonder if the modern GOTV (like Google’s) might end up with a net tie, at best, between Trump and Hillary votes.
Thank you for posting. That was very helpful.
The factor we don’t quite know is the Democrat part of the vote pumped by manipulation, fraud, or fear, rather than by people concluding that Hillary is best on her own merits.
Hillary’s main problem is she has no human warmth, no charisma and no affability.
Not being able to connect to people on a personal level is why she’s behind - forget about everything else if people don’t like you.
If there is a warm and personable Hillary, no one has seen her.
People would be turning out to see her if she was.
And this could backfire among the set of voters who are of a mind already to chuck Hillary aside. If it looks competitive, they will have a greater motive to get out and vote “HELL no” to Hillary.
She has a superficial charming chirpiness and that’s about it. Other than that, it’s a mix of nonsense with shuck and jive.
It makes sense doesn’t it? something is wrong in the polling that being shoved down America’s throat! We’ve got to keep everyone’s spirit up.
Part of this is jaded GOP (each Dem+ is a GOP- too).
Where are all the folks who loved Bernie? Have they just dissolved? It’s almost like they not only accented D, but a particular subset of D.
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