Thanks for the insights. I’ve been saying that VA is basically a tie for awhile now. It’s all going to depend on three things: turnout, turnout, and turnout. I’m also a little more sanguine given fraud and the illegal vote in FFX and NOVA. We’ll find out by about midnight on the 8th.
Here’s a question for all:
If SoVa turns out with enthusiasm for us (which it looks like)
AND
NoVa Dems come out the same way as 2012 BUT:
- former Bernie voters vote Trump (REDDIT interview on Bill Mitchell show say upto 30%)
- Black voters split off 20-25% for Trump (Trump’s VP of Diversity Outreach says this is happening overall)
Will this be enough to tip VA back to us? I’m curious.