[conservativepoet]

Excellent

[goldstategop]

Not D +6.... and every poll is using 2012 as the baseline turnout model.

It isn’t 2012.

[campaignPete R-CT]

2 candidates with big negatives ...

mistake to assume the “non-voters” who are coming out this time are a tidal wave for Trump ... although he will have a healthy margin vs. Hillary among them.

These non-voters don’t get polled.

[Wyrd bið ful aræd]

Who says they're all voting Trump? I would assume the majority of them are, but who knows...

And furthermore, this sort of thing just let's the 'rats know how much fraud they need to steal the thing.

[manc]

or it could be Dems who are using absentee as a way to commit voter fraud on a massive scale.

[PapaBear3625]

November 8-9 is when we’ll see if it’s a monster vote, or monster vote fraud, with people voting for deceased/moved Republicans.

[spokeshave]

What we are seeing is the grinding tectonic plates of political alignment causing a massive tsunami that will sweep away half a century of progressive lies into the dustbin of history.

[LS]

Montgomery CO: actual votes: Rs up 2000+ over Ds.

However, in 2012 we found that “Us” or “unclassifieds” were crucial because according to OH law a Democrat who did not vote in the primary (when Obama had no competition) was automatically reclassified U.

Therefore, using household voting patterns for every house in county, we found in fact Rs STILL hold a 2000+ lead (in 2012, Us went 2:1 to Obama.)

Montgomery CO. with absentees +early went 17,200 to Obama.
WE ESTIMATE AFTER EARLY VOTING AT BEST IT WILL BE A DRAW, meaning in this very blue county Trump has already picked up about 17,000 votes (which includes the “undecideds” based on historical voting).

OH is over. Trump needs to move on, or keep appearances here to a minimum to pin down Cankles.

[bray]

Another bit of information that will be buried by FOX CNNews. Meg thinks every man is a sexual predator.

Pray America wakes

[Jimmy The Snake]

FYI - I work Trump Campaign in Clermont Cty, OH. Obama in 2012 won OH by only winning 4 counties near Cleveland. We have had tons of older people register to vote at the office that had not voted since 1964 and other first time voters. There is a huge mad as hell mind set, that has come back to voting due to Trump’s message. Nobody represents the little guy anymore.

[Steve_Seattle]

I really think that this year - far more than most - is one in which the polls cannot be trusted. There are so many places where supporting Trump "just isn't done," "proper" people wouldn't even consider it in polite society, and so people's public comments on the matter can't be trusted. I think Trump's actual support is probably 2-5% higher than is usually reported.

I know a guy - a lifelong Republican - who criticizes Trump all the time, and says he won't vote for him. But he can't stand Hillary and can't stand liberals, and I think that when push comes to shove, he's going to pull the lever for Trump. I think there are a lot of people like him - maybe not Republicans - but who will vote for Trump even if they don't want to admit it publicly or to their friends.

[taildragger]

When this election cycle is over their is 3 people I need to buy a cold beer for keeping my sanity with their research and possibly a background in statistics...

And they are:

"Sundance" @ Conservative Treehouse, "Fleporeblog" at CTH and FreeRepublic's own "LS"

These 3 folks have done more to understand what the heck is going on in this election cycle and are far better than any freakin' lame-stream pole I have seen by delving into core data and seeing either trends or pointing out the lame-streams fascicles.

Outstanding!