Rasmussen: White House Watch (T+3)

Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 20, 2016 | Rasmussen Reports

[BlueStateRightist]

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online White House Watch survey finds Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 40%. Six percent (6%) still prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, and three percent (3%) favor Green Party nominee Jill Stein. Another three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

[BlueStateRightist]

Trump 43, Crook 40

[apillar]

It appears Trump has the momentum going into the final stretch, he has gained ground in Ras,Latimes,IBD and even Hillary's lead in Reuters was cut in half from 8 to 4 over the last couple days. It will be interesting to see if the liberal media NBC/Monmouth/Quinipiac polls that still have Hillary 7-9 point ahead will follow suit...

As Rush Limbaugh has always said, at some point even the most liberal pollsters have to start showing the true state of the race or risk being totally discredited on election day, so the polls in the last two weeks of the race tend to be much more honest than earlier polls, because even the most liberal pollster doesn't wanted to be shamed on election day by being 10 points off...

[apillar]

...and six percent (6%) are undecided.

Undecideds virtually always break more than 2-1 for the challenger, which considering Hillary is running as the status quo and Obama's 3rd term, would be Trump. And let's face it, after 30 years of Hillary, if you are "undecided", what you are really saying is "I'm voting for Trump, but won't admit it to the pollster..."

I know it's early, we still have 19 days until election day and a lot can happen. But I'm laying down my final bets:

Trump 47%
Hillary 43%
Other 10%

Trump wins with ~290 in the electoral college...

[Tanniker Smith]

I'd take it.

Would be nice to have a GOP winner with over 50% of the vote, however. Granted, Bill Clinton didn't manage that, but it would be nice.

[Phillyred]

Where is NYC-Republican, the polltroll, this morning to fret about these polls????

[Phillyred]

Where is NYC-Republican, the polltroll, this morning to fret about these polls????

[LS]

It will be 4-points. Do the math: 31.8m GOP primary voters @85% participation (probably low, if they voted in primary)= about 27m.

Figure each brings just 1 non primary voter on election day (spouse, friend, GOTV)=54 M, then there are 15m indies in 2012 x .50 (don’t even give Trump ANY extras) and he is at 61.5m already.