Posted on 10/19/2016 8:37:20 AM PDT by conservativepoet
According to the latest Washington Post polls Donald Trump is beating Democrat Hillary Clinton in former Obama states Iowa, Florida, Ohio and Nevada.
If Donald Trump wins these four states he will win the November election.
Trump is up: — 5 points in Iowa — 3 points in Ohio — 2 points in Florida — 4 points in Nevada
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
ah, i’m lost :)
But I believe the leads are even larger than that. :)
This is bogus info. No where can I confirm this.
I live in north central (I91 corridor) CT and frequently drive in western mass for work. I have only seen one or two Hillary signs and mostly Bernie bumper stickers. However I have seen plenty of Trump signs.
Do I think trump will win CT or MA, probably not. But it is close enough for Hillary to be running TV ads now
The dogs just won't eat it.
But...but...but Hillary is ahead 7 to 9+ nationwide!
MSM says so. These polls are out of date.
He’s way up in one of Maine’s congressional districts which would put him at 269. Wouldn’t that be just the ticket? The election could get thrown to the House!
There are more homemade Ken Bone signs where I am than those for HRC.
Fox News doesn’t say this!
“I’m Iowa.
I see many more Trump signs; hardly any Mrs Clinton signs”
That is called the enthusiasm gap.
The actual poll and detailed methodologies is here: http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/surveymonkey-15-state-poll/2103/
I think it’s very important to note some important caveats: (some good some bad for Trump)
1. The responses were weighted to conform to the political demographics of the states in question. So, for example, if only 30% of the respondents from FL identified as Republican, but the actual registration of Republicans in Florida is 50% of the population there, then the responses of self-identified Republicans from Florida were given more weight over those of the Democrats from that state.
2. Related to 1 above, this poll relied on participants’ self-professed statements about themselves and the population of respindents was not generated randomly from, say for example, a registered voter’s list taken from public records. The point here is that the sample was not random, and the respondents self-identified as either “likely” to vote and “Republican” or “Democrat”. In other words there’s no independent verification of their voting history or party affiliation.
3. Related to 2 above, and this is perhaps the most important point of all: this pool was generated from those who take surveys on Survey Monkey (surveymonkey.com). For those unfamiliar with the survey industry, there is a whole subset of the population (mostly US residents) who literally take surveys for a living (well they take enough that they can at least supplement their income significantly). Bottom line is, these are not the best pool of people to draw upon to reach conclusions about political knowledge and or informed opinion. These are people who, for the most part, are looking to make a fast buck, even at the expense of truth (such as filling out surveys untruthfully in order to game the system and manipulate it to give them more surveys to make money with). Do these sound like the typical Trump voter? People who stay on the computer for at least a few hours a day if not the whole day filling out surveys?
At any rate the entire survey and results are at the beginning of this post. The reader can judge for himself how reliable are the results.
“Washington Post Poll?......they must be apoplectic!..............”
Hard to believe this is from the WaPo. I just hope it is true.
Yup, I had Nevada for 9 instead of 6. Still would only need one state, depending on the state! And he’s got 57 to chose from!
Love the gif. LOL
The only ones that count according to ABDNCFOPXBS are ones showing Harpy in the lead.
Pray America wakes
You can bet they are still lying...Trump probably has a double digit lead in each of those 4 states.
I hear the NY Times headline tomorrow is that the nurse who delivered Donald Trump claims infant Trump touched her boobs. :-)
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