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Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew.
Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page:
Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over
the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to
weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops
over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn
northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72 hours. The guidance
generally agrees with this scenario. However, there is a spread between
the GFS forecast of landfall in Jamaica and eastern Cuba and the ECMWF
forecast landfall in southwestern Haiti. The guidance becomes more
divergent after 72 hours.
Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Buoy 42058 Central Caribbean (in storm path)
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
SE Atlantic Coast Buoy Locations
SE U.S. Radar Sector
Gitmo Radar (primitive)
Jamaica Radar Loop (primitive)
If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page
My grandfather was also a blacksmith by trade, until the onset of the automobile....A renowned French chef took him under his wing and trained him to be a chef. He went on to open several restaurants.
Thanks for putting up with my questions. I find family history to be so amazing. If you have any daughters or grandchildren about the Gr 4-8 level, I think they might enjoy the story I am Regina. It is the true story of a girl whose father and brother were murdered by Indians, and she and her sister kidnapped by them. The mother’s search for her daughters makes for the kind of story that stays with you long after the book has been read.
If the current track holds, Jamaica catches a small break, while Haiti is on the dirty side of the storm. Gitmo looks to be facing a near-direct hit and the storm should temporarily lose a bit of its punch crossing the eastern tip of Cuba and Sierra Maestra Mountains.
LOL! I thought you were going to tell us you put him to work.
Nasty looking himicane.
Sorry.
5.56mm
I appear to have found all there is to find on him, the history such as it is, is spotty, being frontier era with minimal governance established. He even disappears for decades in adulthood, as far as records are concerned. That surname has a reputation for difficulty among genealogists, who say they pop up and disappear like mushrooms in western NC and east TN. Hicks, Hickes or Hix, spelling varied. All strongly reputed to have Cherokee ancestry.
I get my back up when I hear Super Storm Sandy too. It was big but not particularly bad or super.
In terms expressed as monetary damage, Sandy ranks 2nd with Katrina being first on the list.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_costliest_Atlantic_hurricanes
The greatest number of people die and the most property damage occurs during a hurricane or a tropical storm as the result of flooding either from rain or from the storm surge or a combination of both. As far as storm surge, size matters as well as the speed and the track.
Hurricane Andrew was an exception. It was a rather small hurricane in size but with very intense winds. Hurricane Andrew only pushed a light to moderate storm surge ahead of it and did not have a lot of rain and was a fast moving storm, but near its center where wind gusts were reported at over 170 mph and in some places with imbedded tornadoes, the destruction was devastating and near complete.
Agnes in 1972 was at its strongest only a Cat 1 but did most of its damage as a TS. TS Agnes still holds the record here in PA for flooding on the Susquehanna River. I was 10 years old and living in Baltimore when Agnes came through. There were some gusty winds but it was the torrential rain that I remember. I also remember listening to the radio with my mother about the flooding in Maryland, in places like Ellicott City and in the north east Maryland towns at the base of the Susquehanna, and in her hometown of Harrisburg, PA. And also of the news reports on the Conowingo Dam and how the Army Corps of Engineers had placed explosive charges to blow up part of the dam to prevent a complete failure as the flood waters were within a few feet of breaching the dam and causing a total collapse.
The combination of its size and the angle at which Sandy landed pushed a tremendous amount of storm surge ahead of it along the Jersey Shore and including the East River in NYC causing major flooding and damage thee and in lower Manhattan. FWIW, I personally know two families who lost both their homes and their businesses as a result of Sandy. My cousin who lives in northern NJ was spared but knew many other families who were not so lucky.
It sort of makes my blood boil when people say “It was just a tropical storm” or “it wasn’t that bad”.
It was just a tropical storm, but it was a bad one. Even a nor’easter can do major damage under the right (or wrong as the case may be) circumstances.
Being without A/C would definitely suck though. But... where do people go in these situations... do they all fly to some other state?
and Matthew has barely moved in the last 18 hours and is regaining strength. This storm seems to be some what of a renegade as it won’t mind the forecasters. LOL
You didn’t mention the 1900 storm that destroyed Galveston Texas and killed between 6000 and 10,000 people.
I grew up hearing about that storm because my grandfather survived it and then spent months pulling bodies from the wreckage and burning them on the beach. Now that was a storm.!
Drive inland far enough to be away from threat of power outage, or if you’re in Florida, far enough north or even out of state.
Creeping at 2-3 mph, looks like the storm is readying for the anticipated hard right turn northward.
Next thing you know, they'll be naming tranny-canes.
He didn’t ask for work or a job, just if I could spare 2 or 3 dollars. I would have put him right to work, spare hard hat, gloves and protective eye wear. Pull a weed or chop some wood and I’ll pay you some wages, but I don’t give money to anyone. I will feed someone if they say they are hungry, but half the time they don’t want to eat, or buy someone gas to get to momma’s funeral, but most won’t let me look at their gas gauge... I could go on.
Having lived all my life in the Baltimore, Maryland area and in central Pennsylvania I’ve been through the effects of few tropical storms including Agnes in 72, TS remnants and brushes with hurricanes, not to mention some very mean Nor-Easters – both the Nor-Easters that bring a lot rain and wind but also the Nor-Easters that bring big blizzards -24+ inches of snow in less than 24 hours and driving winds, huge snow drifts.
But as far as howling winds from a hurricane the worst I remember was from hurricane Isabell back in 2003.
My husband and I had recently separated and I was living alone in our 90-year-old house in the NE Baltimore suburbs. At the height of the storm all I heard was the moaning and the creaking and cracking and snapping sounds of the many big trees surrounding the house. I was especially concerned about the two huge pine trees next to the house. At times the windows and doors shook and in fact at times it felt like the whole house was shaking. My three cats were freaked out and hid under the couch for the duration. And I was too afraid to sleep or go upstairs to my bed room so I slept, as best I could that night on the floor of my dining room, the most central room in the house. There was at times some heavy rain squalls but it was mostly the wind. And I was amazed I didn’t lose electric power that night but I did loose cable TV.
When I got up the next morning there were a lot of big limbs and a few trees down in my back yard but fortunately none came close to hitting the house and walking around the house, there was no damage and because there wasn’t a lot of rain, no flooding in my basement.
I showered and got dressed to go to work but my normal 30-minute commute turned into 2 ½ hours because of all the road closures – trees and power lines down and traffic signals not working.
When I got to work, there were quite a few people out, mostly because they had lost power, but I was most concerned about my co-worker with whom I shared an office. I had the radio on and was hearing of the severe flooding because of the storm surge along the Chesapeake, the storm pushed water up the Bay and into the tributaries and also in places like Fells Point and in Bowleys Quarters where she and her husband lived.
She finally called me and told me that yes her house was flooded. But fortunately it was not a total loss unlike some of her neighbors’ homes. But she was without power for over a week. I was very fortunate.
My prediction: It will shoot right through the gap between the Yucatan and Cuba and hit the U.S. around New Orleans.
Allow me to repeat myself; it was just a tropical storm. Yep, there was a lot of damage, it was an expensive storm, no doubt.
Thanks for doin’ what you do NN. Just in time as well!
This thing only needs a small hit to the west to ruin my day or a small nudge to the east to make living good again.
Like many storms the weather guys don’t really have a clue where this thing goes. They have a good general idea but they really don’t know if its a Key Largo storm or a Nassau storm as far as where the eye of the storm goes.
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