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Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew.
Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page:
Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over
the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to
weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops
over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn
northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72 hours. The guidance
generally agrees with this scenario. However, there is a spread between
the GFS forecast of landfall in Jamaica and eastern Cuba and the ECMWF
forecast landfall in southwestern Haiti. The guidance becomes more
divergent after 72 hours.
Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Buoy 42058 Central Caribbean (in storm path)
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
SE Atlantic Coast Buoy Locations
SE U.S. Radar Sector
Gitmo Radar (primitive)
Jamaica Radar Loop (primitive)
If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page
Max sustained winds...115 mph
Moving...NNW at 10 mph...
Pressure...964 mb
Some slight strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days.
Indeed. Two storms in 2004 were loopy. Ivan and Jeanne. Ivan looped back around to FL long after landfall. Jeanne looped around in the Atlantic before making landfall in FL.
I was able to get full coverage homeowner’s insurance yesterday at my local Farm Bureau office. It goes into effect immediately! I did not get flood insurance since I am not in a flood zone. I was really relieved to get that. Next step is hurricane preparation. My son, DIL, and three grandsons will stay with me and my sister, because my son said it would be better to all be together. I’ll feel better having him here. Now just gotta pray the storm stays a cat 3. I can live with that, God willing. Be safe everyone! I will keep you all in my prayers.
Congratulations! In Florida, a new insurance policy will not bind when there is a named storm anywhere in the Atlantic. Very happy that you will be with family in the coming days.
https://mobile.twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
Bastardi gives a different perspective. .
Weathe Channel is over the top..130 mph in Orlando
Reporting from the Midlands, SC. With the planned evac of our coast inland 100 miles I can tell you the grocery was already packed at 7:30 am. Husband goes every Wed. He says they are out of bread and water already and the clerks report it started last night! Lol. You have to consider that a lot of people are getting company from the coast so they will have more mouths ps to feed. We are 100- 125 miles in. Thanks for all you do NN.
Scott warns Florida residents to heed Hurricane Matthew evacuation plans-(video)
http://www.local10.com/news/florida/gov-rick-scott-update-on-hurricane-matthew#
Euro still likes the Loop idea for Matt... seems to keep him strong at Nicole's expense.
Max sustained winds...120 mph...
Moving...NW at 12 mph
Pressure...962 mb...
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
This one lines up with the Euro now - which brings Matt to the Fla coastline at Palm Beach, and rides directly on the shoreline for 200 miles to St. Augustine. That will destroy a whole lotta turtle nesting sites and erode the coast badly.
Orlando’s WFTV just said the hurricane models are moving closer to the Fla. coast and there will be 100+ winds on the east coast of Florida. They are going to go county by county and let us know how high the winds will get Thursday and Friday.
Dang...
Just got that alert on my phone.
Getting concerned.
Brian Shields on WFTV said one UK model brings it into Central Florida. Another loops it and brings it into Florida as a weaker storm. Joe Bastardi told Mark Levin last night that these storms do not like to come inland. Levin will bring him back on his show tonight he said. Seminole County will get 77+ wind gusts and Orlando too. Lake county looks to be about 50-55 mph winds. Shields said if the storm comes onshore the coast will get over 100+ mph winds SUSTAINED!
I might be located close to where they say one of those spaghetti strands is heading dead center.....Cape Canaveral
We are getting out of Dodge
12 years ago we got hit.....especially beachside....and the wind took a large steeple .....upended it......and drove it into the roof of the church
Well now, in Alabama, squirrels are as good eatin’ as pecans!
Get you a .22 lr pea shooter, a small scope, and get the stew pot ready!
Wow it will take a dozen or so hi-tech computers to figure out where that will go.I wouldn’t begin to guess.
Rush is giving his analysis right now he gets worried if the eye stays 50 or more miles offshore.He’s in Palm Beach.
Great stuff, you know what would also be hlepful to those coming on here who are not way up on hurricane “stuff” would be to explain the high low low/low magnetic interaction of these things and the steering currents.
Your model shows the low vs. low reaction of staying away from one another.
Stay safe!
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