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Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew.
Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page:
Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over
the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to
weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops
over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn
northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72 hours. The guidance
generally agrees with this scenario. However, there is a spread between
the GFS forecast of landfall in Jamaica and eastern Cuba and the ECMWF
forecast landfall in southwestern Haiti. The guidance becomes more
divergent after 72 hours.
Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Buoy 42058 Central Caribbean (in storm path)
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
SE Atlantic Coast Buoy Locations
SE U.S. Radar Sector
Gitmo Radar (primitive)
Jamaica Radar Loop (primitive)
If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page
i’m not at a dock - i am at anchor
OK, that’s good. Pardon me for assuming, I’ve just seen boats battered and sunken while docked during a storm.
Here is the same European model with animation. CRAZY!
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=atl&pkg=mslpaNorm
Well well well I have watched these threads as long as you have posted them. We moved 6 months ago to St Augustine, Florida about 10 miles from the coast. I may get to see this up close and personal. We are stocking up and hunkering down. Will keep y’all posted.
Okay, that is weird...let’s add another bit: Bastardi was speculating that the next storm (Otto or something) might cform in the Caribbean and go into the Gulf of Mexico... and by this model, the ghost of Matthew will meet it there.
so have i, at least at anchor and i the boat i have a fighting chance to come outta this unscathed
Did you find a sheltered spot a little inland with plenty of yaupon trees or other vegetation for a wind break? That’s what some people do, they call those places “hurricane holes.”
Yep. Bastardi also has said that of all the models it has been the Euro that has nailed this storm track out to 96 hours.
I'm just trying to reason with Hurricane Season.
"Ceterum censeo Hillary esse delendam."
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
For those of you playing along at home with us in the storm’s path, our electric utility Florida Plunder & Loot has a nice interactive map that shows power outages/number affected/projected restoration time:
We have adjusted our track to blend of this am and new
euro.Believe inside of day 4,euro better. Would bring
center along FLA coast n of pbi
Max sustained winds...140 mph...
Moving...N at 9 mph...15 km/h
Pressure...949 mb...
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
(Translation: landfall in Florida between Palm Beach and Titusville)
yes i’m in a pretty sheltered area
Sounds like you’re as good to go as you can be, under the circumstance. Let’s just hope the models showing landfall on the southeastern coast of NC are incorrect.
Thursday @ 2 pm: waves forecast says 11.5 feet.
http://www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Stuart-Rocks/forecasts/latest
Hurricane Jeanne in 2004 did a complete loop before making landfall at Stuart FL. Granted, the loop was much further east, but it was a trip following that storm track.
Message on the stormcarib.com board for Turks and Caicos:
Hello,
Time is 4:25pm.
Barometer is 29.75
Winds are SE at 30mph gusting to 44
Seas have picked up
Starting to get some light rain
This is a link our weather station. Sorry but the weathercam decided to quit.
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ICAICOSI2
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