Poll shows Trump getting 33% of African American vote in Florida

http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/OS-FL-General-9.28.16.pdf ^

[MMaschin]

Mason-Dixon poll today shows Trump getting 1% of African American vote, but now a new Fox/OpinionSavvy poll show Trump getting 33% of the African American vote.

The OpinionSavvy poll shows 12% of African American's in the sample as being Republicans, yet 33% of African Americans choosing Trump!

Could this be real? And, could this be why Hillary's campaign has been freaking out about the African American vote?

[Nifster]

Think diamonds d Silk

Hillary made the mistake of calling them racists. BWAHAHAHA

[Nifster]

Ignore all media. It will only make you nuts

Get Out The Vote

[LS]

FL 2.2 million absentee ballot requests so far
R 43%
D 37%
I 19%

How many FL polls have you seen with this sample?? None?

Right. Trump is CRUSHING her.

[vette6387]

“There is a poll, just today or yesterday, showing Hillary up by a point in Florida. But if Trump is getting 1/3 of the black vote in Florida, no way is Hillary ahead in Florida by any margin. In fact she would have to be far behind.”

Yeah, the pollsters lie in their polls only to have their own data prove they are liars.
They need a “Lie Clearing House” so they don’t end up screwing each other. In other news, popcorn stocks are soaring.

[usconservative]

I don't believe any of these polls, pro-Trump or anti-Trump at this point. They're just swinging wildly all over the place.

Best not to be complacent at all at this point and bust our asses to keep Shrillary Rotten Clinton out of the White House all the way through the end of Election Day.

Don't trust the polls. Don't trust the media, no matter WHO it is.

[Gideon7]

2.33 million as of today.

https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

Florida 2016 General Election 11/08/2016

Vote-by-Mail Provided (Not Yet Returned) R 1,017,172 | D 873,998 | Other 56,561 | Ind 389,907 | Total 2,337,638 | 09/30/2016 2:54PM

[bereanrabbi]

Since 1980, women have out voted men by about 3 percentage points on average.
When they wrIte Hillary’s political obituary in Nov, the pundits will debate why women didn’t show up in historical proportions like African Americans did for Obama.

[LS]

143,174 R lead

[MMaschin]

I don't believe any of these polls, pro-Trump or anti-Trump at this point. They're just swinging wildly all over the place.
Best not to be complacent at all at this point and bust our asses to keep Shrillary Rotten Clinton out of the White House all the way through the end of Election Day.

Don't trust the polls. Don't trust the media, no matter WHO it is.

True, you can make the 'topline' of any poll say whatever you want, such "Clinton up by 3", by weighting the sample to get what you want. But what you CANNOT do, is change how people in the sample responded. And that's the interesting thing here, there were a LOT of African Americans who told the pollster that they were either Democrat or Independent, and that they were voting for Trump.

[Cheerio]

When I first glanced at your response I thought you said Tampon Bay

[DoodleDawg]

Gut feeling is that the poll overstates his support among African-Americans and understates his support among whites.

[wireman]

Not really. He would still need Ohio, Nevada and Colorado at a minimum.

[Voluntaryist]

This poll is men44%/women56%, which is ridiculous!

[DoughtyOne]

Breaking News

FOX NEWS POLL:

CLINTON AHEAD OF TRUMP AFTER DEBATE, fear motivating both sides.

This was just texted to me by FoxNews.

I don’t have time to do a decent post on this right now...

[sergeantdave]

“Pie In the Sky, that is not going to happen...”

How do you know that the poll isn’t accurate?

[spintreebob]

12% of African Americans Republicans, yet 33% choosing Trump!

Here in Atlanta Blacks say “Trump isn’t a real Republican. So it’s OK to vote for him.”

[MMaschin]

That's a national poll, I think those are going to be skewed anyway.

I read an article about political ads and polls. Ads are only effective for a certain length of time. And it explained, that if a candidate wanted to show that he was doing better than he actually was, they could run a bunch of ads, and right after, take a poll.

I live in Texas, and have be bombarded by Clinton ads. I wondered why, in a noncompetitive state, would she spend the money? I thought is was to raise money, but now I think they are doing it to juice the national polls a bit.

[deport]

I live in Texas, and have be bombarded by Clinton ads.

***************

Not knowing the location but it could be in an area with dem support. Thus ads to help motivate
the down ticket voters to get out and support all the dems. Just a guess.

[Alberta's Child]

I hate to admit this, but I wonder if Donald Trump gets a small bump in the polls among African-American men every time a story comes out about him calling a former Miss Universe from Venezuela a fat pig, Miss Piggy, etc.

[Burma Jones]

Sorry, but I think all polls of AA’s that are a subset of a larger poll are useless. Sample sizes are too small. Unless and until someone does polls just of AA’s with 700 or 1000 respondents, I don’t think anyone will have any idea. Even then, because that vote has historically been so lopsided, if there is actually a change underway, even a well-defined poll may not accurately capture it. I think we’re just going to have to wait and see. The Democrat panic is probably better evidence than any poll.