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Analysis: Donald Trump Would Win Election Today Based on Current Polling
Breitbart ^ | SEPTEMBER 26, 2016 | by MATTHEW BOYLE

Posted on 09/26/2016 10:18:14 AM PDT by Hojczyk

NEW YORK CITY, New York — As the first presidential debate looms later Monday evening just an hour from here on Long Island at Hofstra University, a Breitbart News analysis of current polling in the presidential election shows that Donald J. Trump—the Republican nominee for president—would win the election if it were held Monday and the polls are correct.

It takes 270 electoral votes to win the election. With the exception of two states—Maine and Nebraska—the winner of a state wins that state’s electoral votes on Election Day in the general election.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: clinton; hillary; polls; trump
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1 posted on 09/26/2016 10:18:14 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Trump better be on high alert tonight. The media is going to be in full take down mode tonight


2 posted on 09/26/2016 10:27:12 AM PDT by Angels27
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To: Hojczyk

3 posted on 09/26/2016 10:28:49 AM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Hojczyk

First Presidential Debate by time zone.

Here are the time, time zone by time zone for the first 2016 Presidential Debate:

Eastern Time: 9:00 p.m. to 10:30 p.m.
Central Time: 8:00 p.m. to 9:30 p.m.
Mountain Time: 7:00 p.m. to 8:30 p.m.
Pacific Time: 6:00 p.m. to 7:30 p.m.


4 posted on 09/26/2016 10:30:21 AM PDT by lulu16 (May the Good Lord take a liking to you!)
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To: Hojczyk
That's a very conservative analysis. Recent polling suggests that New Mexico and Pennsylvania will not go blue.
5 posted on 09/26/2016 10:32:01 AM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Angels27
Trump better be on high alert tonight. The media is going to be in full take down mode tonight

DITTO THAT!!
Trump Will Win I Have No Doubt
But.....
Bear In Mind How MSM Reports.....


Click To Enlarge

6 posted on 09/26/2016 10:32:18 AM PDT by Fiddlstix (Warning! This Is A Subliminal Tagline! Read it at your own risk!(Presented by TagLines R US))
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To: Angels27
Trump better be on high alert tonight. The media is going to be in full take down mode tonight

You got that right. Lester Holt's been warned bu the hillary campaign...he'd better be a fact checker of their going after him. Hope he shows he's got a pair and just 'moderates'!

7 posted on 09/26/2016 10:33:14 AM PDT by pgkdan (The Silent MajorityStands With TRUMP!)
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To: Helicondelta

VA is disappointing, but still I’ll take it if this is the electoral map.


8 posted on 09/26/2016 10:34:07 AM PDT by EDINVA
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To: Angels27
The media is going to be in full take down mode tonight

Exactly, they understand the importance of the debate and knocking him out early for Hillary.

9 posted on 09/26/2016 10:34:37 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Helicondelta

They’re missing two states: PA and MI.

He’s gonna get them too. The Rat party dumped the white working class base of their party a long time ago. The party of college liberals, abortionists and angry non-whites no longer represents them even vaguely.

The new Republican party will.


10 posted on 09/26/2016 10:36:45 AM PDT by Regulator
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To: Helicondelta

LOVE the look of that map!


11 posted on 09/26/2016 10:36:48 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: pgkdan
You got that right. Lester Holt's been warned bu the hillary campaign...he'd better be a fact checker of their going after him. Hope he shows he's got a pair and just 'moderates'!

If Holt tries to do more than moderate, I'll suggest a simple statement from Trump:

Mr. Holt, if you would like to resign as moderator and join us on this stage as a Presidential candidate, I'll wait while they bring up a podium for you.


12 posted on 09/26/2016 10:39:15 AM PDT by justlurking
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To: Helicondelta

I think NM is pretty much safe. I honestly don’t know what to think about VA. Polls seem to show 8 point difference, but unlike other states VA doesn’t register by party, so we don’t know what the correct D/R sample should be.

I KNOW it will be closer, esp. based on the last two statewide elections with Warner (where polls had him up 11 and he won by 1) and Cucinelli, who darn near pulled it out after being written off.

I think Cruz could probably bring WI into the Trump camp.


13 posted on 09/26/2016 10:39:16 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Hojczyk

Thank God that Trump campaigns as if he is 20 points down, unlike Romney or McCain.


14 posted on 09/26/2016 10:39:25 AM PDT by proust (Trump / Pence 2016!)
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To: justlurking

Also: “Lester, who did you vote for in the last two elections?”


15 posted on 09/26/2016 10:40:06 AM PDT by proust (Trump / Pence 2016!)
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To: LS
I just updated my forecast model with the polls released today on RCP.

I now have Trump with an expected value of 259 Electoral College votes, with a 46% chance of winning. This is 3% higher than the weekend.

-PJ

16 posted on 09/26/2016 10:43:11 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: EDINVA

“VA is disappointing”

Tim Kaine has been spending a lot of time campaigning in Virginia. They haven’t been able to put it away yet.


17 posted on 09/26/2016 10:43:28 AM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Political Junkie Too

RCP has been missing alot of recent polls from Rasmussen, Morning Consult, Reuters, LA Times.


18 posted on 09/26/2016 10:46:23 AM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Helicondelta
I know. Makes one wonder if this is selective manipulation, their version of removing the house effect, or just sloppiness from too many polls to see them all.

I've been trying to check RCP against 538, but I'm also not including online polling except Ipsos (for now).

-PJ

19 posted on 09/26/2016 10:51:13 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: Hojczyk; All

Good stuff. And Pennsylvania is winnable.

The factor no one is talking about: the man child, Hussein himself, has slotted nearly the ENTIRE MONTH OF OCTOBER to campaigning for his appointed successor Chairman Hitlery.

If/when Hussein hits the campaign trail in October, will he help or hurt Hitlery? He will likely help frighten minorities and millennials into supporting the Demon Rat woman. But he might also encourage/embolden/enrage the rest of the demographics to vote against her.


20 posted on 09/26/2016 10:52:22 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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