Posted on 09/25/2016 7:10:15 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
Both nationally and in Trump’s most elusive battleground state, it’s anyone’s ballgame with the debates set to begin tomorrow.
As Election Day finally appears on the horizon, most GOPers are beginning to line up.
.. in Pennsylvania, where Muhlenberg finds Hillary’s 40/32 lead of a week ago shrinking to 40/38 now. Where’d that extra six points for Trump come from? You know where:
“Partisans coming home to their nominee is an expected part of any campaign as you get into the closing days,” said Chris Nicholas, a GOP consultant based in Harrisburg. “What’s notable here is the very large shift and we’re not close to the final days.”
A demographic analysis showed a double-digit jump in Trump’s support among Republicans after Trump underperformed with that group previously. This week, 85 percent of likely GOP voters said they’d choose him over Clinton, compared with 71 percent in the prior survey.
While Johnson had appeared to peel away some Republicans from Trump, that effect diminished this week, Borick said. Johnson fell by 6 points in the four-way matchup, while Trump gained by the same figure.
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Not only that, but more Trump voters in PA say they’re voting for him than against Hillary, which is unusual.
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Trump leads among white men without a college education by 59 farking points. That’s exactly the sort of world-beating margin he needs among his base to pull this off. And his margin might not be done growing. Check out this trendline:
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Tomorrow is Trump’s chance to show the country that he knows his stuff and there’s really nothing Clinton can do to stop him. If he answers seriously and cogently and puts a dent in those “unqualified” numbers in the next round of polls, he’s the new favorite in November. Simple as that.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Either the media is lying up the ying-or Trump hatred is off the scale, because I travel for a living and I have seen zero point zero point zero enthusiasm for Hitlary, where O’bunghole enthusiasm was off the charts and he barely won against Mittens who also had no enthusiasm other than anti-obama
I'm sure everyone in his campaign knows this, and his temperament at the debates will be tailored around this.
What time does the debate start tomorrow?
9 eastern, 6 pacific.
Why is this manifest felon even permitted to run for public office?
Thanks!
While Johnson had appeared to peel away some Republicans from Trump, that effect diminished this week, Borick said. Johnson fell by 6 points in the four-way matchup, while Trump gained by the same figure. >>> everyone was saying Johnson takes votes from Hillary but he was taking the Trump repubs that are now coming home. Other polls show the same thing. hopefully they all will.
I think the only demographic group Trump hasn’t secured but still needs to secure is REPUBLICAN women.
I’m sure everyone in his campaign knows this, and his temperament at the debates will be tailored around this. >>> agreed this is why his black out reach is important. i appeals to white suburban women. don’t know why in my head but it does. check the demo and polls on moves within that group.
Because everyone else in her party is afraid of her.
Seems like every presidential election has similar poll results at around this time.
I think the endorsement from Ted Cruz has helped a lot in this area. He should have done it a lot sooner, but now also blunts the impact of the G.H.W.Bush endorsement of Hillary.
Trump is running ads in western VA which feature Moms and kids, so he knows he needs to do better there.
The cheat level here is 7 so he needs 9.Not gonna happen.
Nobody likes Clinton, but make no mistake, this will still be a close election and could go either way. The rise in the number of those depending on big government programs gives her a huge constituency right off the bat.
Since there is no enthusiasm for her, there will be next to none with down ticket races, so it’s a pretty safe bet that the GOP will keep the House and Senate (even though they have way more seats to defend for the Senate than the Rats do).
I’m seeing GOP Senator Pat Toomey slightly ahead in most polls. I think Republican candidates generally do much better in statewide PA races in “off-year” elections, especially when Republicans are doing well elsewhere in the country (see Rick Santorum and Tom Ridge in 1994, Toomey and Tom Corbett in 2010). So if Toomey is running strong this year in a mostly Democratic state in a presidential election year, there’s no doubt in my mind that Trump can win there.
Gotta say, I’m fed up with women voters in general doing their fence-sitting routines every election.
We are told that they are rational, thinking, professional, capable, intelligent, etc. etc. All true and all acknowledged. We are told that they pay attention to the issues same as the blokes. They run household finances, attend school meetings et al.
Why, then, do we also hear that they are voting - or not voting - based largely on the way a candidate makes them FEEL? Why must we sit through cynical politicians cynically manipulating everyone from handicapped kids dragooned into being stage props to those insipid, cliched TV spots with candidates for everything from dogcatcher to president featuring the candidate in shirtsleeves having a chinwag with hardhat workers to (inevitably) senior citizens in a retirement center?
Why must we spill oceans of real and virtual ink on policy, opinion pieces, letters to editors, social media postings, etc. only to watch helplessly as elections hinge in small or large part on saccharine emotional appeals and the reactions thereto? It’s as frustrating as it is ruinous.
It does not matter how well Trump does he will always be down by 2% nationally. It is Hillary math.
Wish it was true.You can be ahead in Pa and lose in close races.
That was great.
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