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Exclusive — Breitbart/Gravis Polls: Trump Takes 4-Point Lead in Colorado, Maintains Lead in Ohio
Breitbart ^
| 25 Sep 2016
| MATTHEW BOYLE
Posted on 09/25/2016 4:52:24 PM PDT by mandaladon
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Colorado is going in the basket!!!
To: mandaladon
2
posted on
09/25/2016 4:53:39 PM PDT
by
tennmountainman
("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
To: mandaladon
"Colorado is going in the basket!!! "
Nate Silver currently disagrees. Once he gets on board it'll be over fur sure.
3
posted on
09/25/2016 4:55:40 PM PDT
by
Paladin2
(auto spelchk? BWAhaha2haaa.....I aint't likely fixin' nuttin'. Blame it on the Bossa Nova...)
To: Paladin2
4
posted on
09/25/2016 4:56:40 PM PDT
by
Paladin2
(auto spelchk? BWAhaha2haaa.....I aint't likely fixin' nuttin'. Blame it on the Bossa Nova...)
To: mandaladon
Oh my, this is big. That means probably NM and NV.
5
posted on
09/25/2016 4:59:07 PM PDT
by
Art in Idaho
(Conservatism is the only Hope for Western Civilization.)
To: mandaladon
Has anyone bothered polling New Mexico?
6
posted on
09/25/2016 4:59:38 PM PDT
by
rhinohunter
(Dear OANN: PLEASE move the lovely Liz Wheeler up by 1 hour. Update: Plea answered. Thanks OANN!)
To: Paladin2
Winning despite John McKasich, or is it Arlen Kasich?
7
posted on
09/25/2016 5:00:12 PM PDT
by
inchworm
To: mandaladon
8
posted on
09/25/2016 5:00:51 PM PDT
by
WENDLE
(Trump hoaxed the media with Flowers!!! Bwaaahhhhh!)
To: mandaladon
Doesn't the MOE actually mean that the figures can swing +- 3.5% in either direction?
Thus, a 4 point lead is not outside the margin of error, because Trump could actually be up to 3.5 points lower, and Hillary could be up to 3.5 points higher.
That's the way I've always understood the MOE to function on such polls.
In any event, if Trump is close, or even up, in states like Colorado, that's a very good sign for him moving into October...
Vote Trump!
9
posted on
09/25/2016 5:01:12 PM PDT
by
sargon
(Anyone AWOL in the battle against Hillary is not a patriot. It's that simple.)
To: Paladin2
Nate Silver currently disagrees. Once he gets on board it'll be over fur sure. Nate will hold out for Clinton and the Democrats as long as he can. Otherwise he loses his paying audience and career.
10
posted on
09/25/2016 5:01:53 PM PDT
by
af_vet_1981
(The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
To: rhinohunter
I think NM is going to be a bridge too far for Trump because Johnson is going to suck up just enough votes to “prop Hillary up.”
11
posted on
09/25/2016 5:02:46 PM PDT
by
Henchster
(Free Republic - the BEST site on the web!)
To: Paladin2
That’s because he’s not (conveniently) counting THIS poll.
His last two polls, YouGov and Quinnipac, have Hillary up a combined 1.5 points. WELL within the margin of error from his last two.
To: mandaladon
I think the Cruz endorsement might be helping...
To: Henchster
I think Johnson and Stein trap more disgruntled Bernie votes than any “Trump - the other 15” followers.
To: Paladin2
Silver hasn’t factored this one in yet—give him a couple of hours. This won’t close his gap entirely, but should be good for a 3-5% boost in Colorado, and hopefully push Trump above 43% in polls-plus.
SIlver’s model is a decent statistician model, which means topping 80% is unlikely for anyone unless something approaching total collapse is happening.
FWIW-—on this date in 2012, Silver had Mittensat 20.3%. He continued to decline until the first debate, and did pick up some steam, but never topped 40% after June 3rd, and never was as high as Trump is now.
15
posted on
09/25/2016 5:07:08 PM PDT
by
Hieronymus
( (It is terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged. --G. K. Chesterton))
To: mandaladon
16
posted on
09/25/2016 5:07:13 PM PDT
by
onyx
(YOU'RE POSTI NG HERE, SO DONATE MONTHLY! NOT NICE TO FREEPLOAD!)
To: mandaladon
GOOD!!!!!! Stick this up your butt Hitlery!!!
To: af_vet_1981
Nate will hold out for Clinton and the Democrats as long as he can. Otherwise he loses his paying audience and career. And why little Natie is a liberal shill and cannot be objective.
To: Red Steel
The dude is smart he doesn’t want to end up in the park with a bullet between his eyes!!
To: Hieronymus
20
posted on
09/25/2016 5:14:29 PM PDT
by
Fungi
(Beer, you like beer? Enjoy your beer and all the fungi that come with it,)
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