Posted on 09/19/2016 6:07:09 PM PDT by usafa92
Interesting parsing on this poll. Focus on Q2. In a straight up poll, I'm assuming raw data, Trump 35-33-8. When undecideds are pushed or extrapolated, it goes to Trump 46-43-11. When restricted to major party candidates, it's Trump 51.5 to 48.5 which is exactly what Helmut Norputh is predicting. I'll let our resident statisticians play with this one.
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FYi
I dont know why i am constantly surprised that such a piece of garbage could get more than 39 percent of the vote.
Even Mondale got 41% and look how far we’ve slid as a country in 30 years.
Trump also pulling 19% of the black vote and Clinton only 67% of Obama voters. Blacks and Hispanics are underepresented, however a whopping 20% do not wish to be identified by race in the survey. I think Trump really is pulling about 15% of the black vote.
“Even Mondale got 41% and look how far we’ve slid as a country in 30 years.”
Yes, thanks to our “wonderful” public education system.
If this happens on Election Day, Trump wins easily and maybe in a landslide. I hope the Blacks are finally waking up.
So wait, Trump is only leading among whites by 7 and Canales is only at 60% with blacks? Am I the only one puzzled by this?
And looking at the RCP electoral map, I’d be very worried if I were Hitlery:
RCP goes by averages so they have her up in NV, CO and NC, BUT, latest polls show Trump winning, winning and tied in those states, which would give him 275 EV’s.
Nevermind NH, VA, OR or PA all tossups but now in the column for CLinton.
Has the potential to be a blowout for Trump.
Debates could seal it for him.
Waking up and taking steps so they can pull the R lever are two different issues IMO. I would suspect that a lot of these folks would have an easier time giving up all their free stuff than having to change their lifelong registration from Democrat to Republican so they can vote for Trump. If a lot of them in the same precinct change from D to R and they all do it together, it’s way easier.
We’ll know in November.
huh? “Taking steps so they can ... vote for Trump” ?????
There are no steps required other than voting for the man.
Not all states have the same laws. In some if people voted in the primary as a Democrat, they must vote in November as a Democrat. In other states people have to reregister to change parties.
Not through until you do all the paperwork. The real pickle is going to be with people who want to vote for Trump but want to vote for down ballot candidates in the Democrat party. Don’t know if you have ever worked during an election or not but some of the situations that occur would just blow your mind, even for those of us who have spent a lot of hours in training. Classroom instructors try to cover all the possible scenarios and new laws but new ones keep popping up which keep the Precinct Judges busy, busy in an effort to resolve. Lots of provisional ballots in our part of the country.
“Even Mondale got 41% and look how far we’ve slid as a country in 30 years.”
Yup. Dukakis, an off the charts far left Liberal got 46% of the vote in the era of Reagan.
I don’t think Hillary will break 45%, but only because Gary Johnson and Jill Stien will cyphen off 3 to 4% from her. If it was just Trump vs Hillary, she probably gets 47-48%.
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