The survey was conducted September 10-14, 2016 by telephone calls to 867 likely voters.
Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones.
Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish.
A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on both their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior applied to their specific voting history.
This probability to vote was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party registration, age, region, gender and race.
“likely-to-vote probability”...
I applaud the effort to find a reasonable “likely voter” profile but the Obama factor- racism- distorts the last two presidential elections.
People who want to vote against a Caucasian have no reason to turn out for Hillary!.
And they mix an historical ‘likely voter’ model with self-proclaimed ‘likely voters’ so one can’t adjust the results to match a different ‘likely voter’ profile.
So this poll is useless, except to the media.