Absentee ballot returns show spike in unlikely voters weighing in on Florida’s primary

Miami Herald ^ | August 25th, 2016 | By ADAM C. SMITH

[Mariner]

The political team at the Florida Chamber of Commerce has come across a remarkable trend this campaign season: A huge spike in mail voting by people who rarely vote in primary elections.

Almost half of the mail ballots returned so far for Tuesday’s primary election have come from Floridians who voted in either one or zero of the past four primary elections. That means a big, decisive chunk of the vote will come from people who have not been polled, and potentially not courted, targeted or accounted for by countless campaigns across the state.

“This is huge,” said Marian Johnson, senior vice president of political strategy for the Florida Chamber and one of the foremost experts on Florida campaigns and politics. “I can envision election night when the votes are counted that certain people win that nobody thought had a chance, and that being attributed to this trend.”

As of Thursday morning, more than 855,000 primary ballots had been cast by mail. More than a quarter of those votes came from Floridians who had not voted in the last four primaries and another 20 percent from people who voted in just one of the last four primaries.

In other words, these are not “likely voters” surveyed by most pollsters or targeted by sophisticated political campaigns. The trend applies to Democrats and Republicans alike and across the state, said Johnson, who was shocked when she first spotted the trend developing weeks ago.

“The first thing I did was go back to my data people and said, 'Are you sure you ran this right?’ ”

[Mariner]

This is why it's impossible for pollsters to know the current state of the race.

Not only are their a BUNCH of new voters, voters are crossing party lines in higher numbers than previous elections.

ALL Polls are total crap this year. All of them.

Nobody knows who to poll, nor how those numbers will extrapolate out.

[Gaffer]

If these are Democrat votes then they are the result of MASSIVE fraud. If they aren’t then it will be a Tsunami for Trump. I am betting the latter.

[2banana]

And the fraud begins...

[MagUSNRET]

Lets take a WILD guess as to how many of these absentee votes are from our military! Trump BE AWARE and get out military votes counted!!!!!!!!!

[Cowboy Bob]

Absentee ballot returns show spike in unlikely voters weighing in on Florida’s primary

Unlikely voters = Those who have died = Democrat

[Cowboy Bob]

They need to verify EVERY absentee voter (doesn’t matter what party).

[TontoKowalski]

I have to say I think you're right. I'm not one of those who dismisses the preponderance of the polls... although certainly you must watch for skewed or otherwise bad polls... but something about this year feels very different.

When Trump said he would energize an unengaged electorate, I think he knew what he was talking about. I think he exceeded poll expectations in many, many states during the primary season.

[M-cubed]

A good “investigative journalist” should investigate a lot of those names and addresses.....Inquiring minds want to know if its fraud or for real...

[Chode]

ALL absentee ballots should be cross checked against the 49 other states databases to ensure they only vote ONCE!!!

[Lurkinanloomin]

I am so hoping this means that The Memorizer Bunny is being Cantorized.
Politicians should only be given one chance to betray the citizens.

[silverleaf]

No debate performance or “October surprise” is going to affect these voters

[Swede Girl]

I am very pessimistic. The fraud has been well planned by the Dums.

I am upset with our voting system, which is archaic. This is an issue that must be addressed, but never will be because our current system is beneficial to the Left.

[Lurkinanloomin]

this is for the FL primary

[DIRTYSECRET]

President Trump should give the military a DIRECT ORDER to vote. Watch the rats squeal.

[Lurkinanloomin]

FL primary.
It may mean that Rubio gets canned as he should be for betraying the citizens.

[FreedomPoster]

I think your take on this is spot on.

Bump

[Democrats hate too much]

Thanks to all of the negative ads that came from Mitt Romney’s our principles PAC. The same thing happened in 2012. Mitt Romney doused the state of Florida with a massive amount of negative ads against newt. It later resulted in a low turnout of Republican voters in the general election vs Obama.

[MagUSNRET]

My mistake....but the thought process still applies for the General ;-)

[stylin19a]

Those “new” primary voters included more than 86,000 Democrats, and more than 90,000 Republicans...

...The combination of Floridians automatically receiving mail ballots and the media focusing constant attention on the presidential election seems to be prompting more people to weigh in on the primary elections that usually generate far lower turnout than the general election....

“Everybody monitors those absentee ballot requests. I know who made a request, when the ballot was mailed to them, when it was received, and you can monitor how it has aged — how long it has been sitting on their kitchen counter,” Heffley noted. “Once there’s a live ballot on the street, people know it.”

but does any of this tell us anything different about the general election

[38special]

Based on my experience noticing lack of people showing up for jury duty indicates there’s a lot of fraudulent voter registrations.