Posted on 08/22/2016 7:42:57 AM PDT by usafa92
WASHINGTON, Aug. 22 (UPI) -- The UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll released Monday shows Donald Trump closing in on Hillary Clinton's lead -- which now stands at 0.7 percent -- possibly a reflection of the Republican sticking largely to the issues last week.
The online poll shows Clinton with 48.19 percent to Trump's 47.47 in polling through Saturday. In one day, her lead declined by 2.9 percentage points. On Friday, she led Trump 49.45 to 45.85.
Trump's rise in the UPI/CVoter poll could indicate voters are being swayed by what the real estate mogul says -- and doesn't say -- in public.
Trump's tone in his speeches has been tempered in the past week as he relies on a teleprompter in remarks at rallies and largely stays away from more controversial statements. On Thursday in Charlotte, N.C., Trump said he regretted past comments that have caused people "personal pain."
Trump has regained ground he lost during tracking periods when he made controversial comments about the Muslim Gold Star family of U.S. Army Capt. Humayun Khan, who was killed in Iraq, as well as when he hedged whether he'd endorse Speaker Paul Ryan in his re-election campaign. Clinton also improved in the polls when Trump made comments about the 2nd Amendment some critics interpreted as a veiled threat against the Democratic nominee.
So while Clinton largely sticks to her scripted speeches and declines to take questions from reporters, swings in the UPI/CVoter daily tracker could fluctuate based on what Trump has to say, or chooses not to say, in a given time period.
Also within this past week, Trump has overhauled his senior campaign staff. Trump hired former Breitbart executive Steve Bannon, and also promoted veteran pollster and personal confidant Kellyanne Conway to a senior position. And campaign chairman Paul Manafort has departed.
On Friday, Trump also toured flood-ravaged Louisiana, a move Democratic Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards applauded for shining a light on the disaster there.
Meanwhile, the post-convention bumps both candidates enjoyed have largely leveled out this week. One group that has not rebounded since the two major party conventions, though, are those in the "others" category -- defined in the poll as any respondent who declined to pick either Trump or Clinton.
In mid-July, up to 16.85 percent of voters chose "others" in the UPI/CVoter poll, a number that has continuously dropped since. "Others" voters dropped below double digits July 21, the last day of the Republican National Convention.
As of Saturday, 4.34 percent of the respondents chose this option compared with 5.48 percent the previous Saturday.
The UPI/CVoter online tracking poll surveys about 200 people each day, leading to a sample size of roughly 1,400 people during any seven-day span.
Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 percentage points. This seven-day span includes data collected from Aug. 14-20, when 1,689 individuals were surveyed. Of them, 1,191 identified themselves as likely voters.
Trump’s rise in the UPI/CVoter poll could indicate voters are being swayed by what the real estate mogul says — and doesn’t say — in public...
I’ve been criticized as a nervous nelly, wuss, etc., for saying Trump should leave Rudy and Christie to do the heavier, more personal attacking.
Time to act presidential. And he will win easily! I didn’t say back off hillary.
Just leave the personal, down and dirty stuff to the soldiers. That’ what they do best.
Would like to see the sampling %. i.e. dems, pubbies, ind.
Trending
Awesome !!!! Thanks for post !
This is about as exciting as Sprint just 1% from catching up with Verizon.
I feel a tingle down my leg. Oh, just a leaky Depends.
[joking]
:)
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It would be more interesting to see what their internal polls are actually showing.
Clinton seems to think she can stay in the background (or home in bed) and coast through the campaign that way. She thinks her sycophant media will carry the water.
I believe he wins, but easily?
Another sign of ‘RAT desperation. FNC is reporting that the Clintoon campaign is dragging out their old “Vast Right Wing Conspiracy” conspiracy thingy. DNC memos going out to their toads in the state controlled “media”.
It appears Trump has stumbled upon the secret to good poll position: Don’t be a jackass.
Now if they shore up their ground game, they’ve got a good chance of knocking Hillary off her broom.
So I don't buy the Wrath of Khan as an explanation for Trump's fall in poll numbers.
I don't think Khizr Khan is a very good poster child for Clinton, so I certainly hope she continues to use him. Would you invite him to your home for a barbecue? I wouldn't. He'd probably accuse me of racism for having beer and pork, and than threaten to sue me for inviting him in the first place.
Im with you. I watch the numbers.
I note that he is leading (slightly) in the USC/La Times....
Personally I believe this was a smart move. But I'm still waiting to hear from Steve Bannon. Has there been a peep out him this past week? Is he just going to be a background strategy guy?
Just curious. I'm a Breitbart fan.
Muslim Gold Star family
AKA Sharia defender and apologist, Clintonista and illegal alien attorney.
Yes. You are correct. He should lay out his plans and policies, attack Hillary’s record and leave the heavy personal stuff to surrogates.
they have not been reporting a margin of error on these polls recently. they say its because they are online polls. not sure how that works...oh but they do have a “credibility interval”. hmmm how is that different than a margin of error?
Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida
Trump, Please focus on these 3 states.
Easily these days in a presidential race is 2 or 3 points!!
Easily USED TO be 5 to 7.
Very divided country.
Trump needs to lead by at least 8% to overcome the dead and illegal votes.
Steve Bannon obviously wants to be invisible to the RATBAG media. He knows what he is doing and yes I am a fan of his and visit Breitbart all the time.
Steve Bannon ..taking him on to run things is one of the best Trump/Ivanka ideas yet.
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