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LA Times Poll Narrative Ignores Finding: 10-Point Black Voter Shift to Trump
NewsBusters ^ | 20 Aug 2016 | Tom Blumer

Posted on 08/20/2016 8:27:37 AM PDT by mandaladon

The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" poll released Thursday had a stunning finding: Donald Trump's support among African-Americans had increased by over 10 points virtually overnight.

Armand Emamdjomeh and David Lauter, who wrote the narrative accompanying that poll, predictably ignored it, but they did even more. Readers here will see that their verbiage in the section specifically addressing "By race/ethnicity" pretended that the shift hasn't even occurred (dashed box around the "Black" box added by me):

Emamdjomeh and Lauter are hoping that readers don't see the visually small movement above.

While blacks still "lean heavily towards Clinton," a look at the change in the numbers during the past week shows that Trump's support among blacks has gone from a virtually nonexistent 1 in 30-40 to about 1 in 7:

The timing of the shift occurred just after the August 13-14 rioting in Milwaukee, even though the poll's methodology says that "We update the data each day based on the weighted average of poll responses over the previous week." In other words, even now, the poll results still don't fully include interviews conducted during or after the riots.

This could be an outlier, but if there has been similar double-digit shift to a Republican candidate and from a Democratic candidate among black voters in at least the past 40 years of presidential polling during the final 90 days before the election, I don't recall it.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsbusters.org ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: blm; trump
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To: GreenHornet

Trump needs NY and Pennsy. If he wins those two states its over.


21 posted on 08/20/2016 8:58:50 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Common Sense, Trump and Pence. More of the same, Clinton and Kaine.)
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To: Newfy

It’s a matter of moving the electorate a few points in states like VA, NC, WI, IA, and OH.


22 posted on 08/20/2016 8:59:13 AM PDT by oblomov (We have passed the point where "law," properly speaking, has any further application. - C. Thomas)
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To: Mr. Jeeves
Trump is putting black Americans ahead of Hispanic illegals

That is a great move on his part. In fact legal American Hispanics don't much like the illegals either.

23 posted on 08/20/2016 9:07:41 AM PDT by oldbrowser (The 2nd amendment is to protect us from tyranny)
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To: Mr. Jeeves

The Dems put Hispanic illegal aliens over black Americans and they put Islamists above gays and women (acutally, they put Islamists way, way ahead of everyone else that I can think of).


24 posted on 08/20/2016 9:20:11 AM PDT by Wilhelm Tell (True or False? This is not a tag line.)
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To: Wilhelm Tell
Plus Hispanics are invading prior black neighborhoods and there is big tensions between them.

There is a problem.

Plus with having to serve all the Spanish speakers, the Americans who speak only English are disadvantaged for all service industry jobs because we don't require speaking English for access to everything.
This also kills tons of jobs especially for black youth.

25 posted on 08/20/2016 9:23:01 AM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: Newfy

Sure she has.

She expects the unwashed masses to crown her!

Except she isn’t running for the pageant. Sucks to be her.


26 posted on 08/20/2016 9:24:00 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Newfy

Huh? What crap are you reading? TRUMP has the “electoral college sewn up.” He has FL, NV, OH, PA according to actual unbiased polls (i.e., D/R splits that are in line with Gallup).

It’s soon going to be so obvious even the lying drive-bys will have to admit this. Quinnipiac and others can only jimmy poll samples so long.


27 posted on 08/20/2016 9:26:12 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: mandaladon

The earlier poll showing Trump up by 6, while perhaps questionable, nevertheless likewise picked up a sharp swing by blacks toward Trump (six fold?)


28 posted on 08/20/2016 9:26:58 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: mandaladon

Win or lose Trump has laid before black people forever that now they cause their own future. One of the results of democracy.


29 posted on 08/20/2016 9:29:34 AM PDT by ex-snook (The one true God sent Jesus here to show us the way.)
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To: mandaladon
I just spent two days in San Diego on a start up. The owner of the small construction company was born in Tijuana, is now a US Citizen and owns two companies, one in TJ, one in San Diego. The two companies employ about 50 people.

He brought up Trump and said: "I'm voting for him. Everyone I know is."

He went on to emphasize that allowing an open border to exist is crazy. Specifically he referred to it as being: "beso de la muerte" (Kiss of death)

I believe there are a lot more people like him who are not being counted in the polls.

30 posted on 08/20/2016 9:36:04 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (Open borders will be the 'beso de la muerte for America.)
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To: Wilhelm Tell

That’s because blacks are already voting Democrat in their own names - now they need more illegals to vote in the names of the dead and relocated. :)


31 posted on 08/20/2016 9:39:47 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: Michael.SF.

The same LA Times poll that shows Trump getting 13.6% Black also shows him getting 32% Hispanic. A few % more in each group and Trump will walk away with a big win.


32 posted on 08/20/2016 9:40:12 AM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: Newfy

This is called voter suppression. There is a reason why Jefferson advocated periodic revolutions


33 posted on 08/20/2016 9:47:45 AM PDT by realcleanguy
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To: mandaladon

If blacks wanted to know the truth they would watch Hillary’s America.

But they don’t want the truth, they just want the FREE goodies. Hard to compete with Santa Claus.


34 posted on 08/20/2016 9:49:37 AM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: All

Judging by some videos going around on social media, you might see more of this. There’s black people on the ground at intersections in FL with T-Shirts that say Republicans aren’t Racist, spreading the word.

Lots of people out there spreading links like this that proves Trump’s not racist.

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2013/11/03/trump-offers-10g-to-hero-bus-driver.html

http://www.people.com/people/article/0,,20239470,00.html

http://www.wthr.com/story/31857974/retired-indiana-pastor-supporting-trump-because-of-visit-more-than-20-years-ago


35 posted on 08/20/2016 11:15:31 AM PDT by Pollard (TRUMP 2016)
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To: mandaladon

Pollsters give the results that they are paid to give. The whole idea is to manipulate the low information voters.


36 posted on 08/20/2016 11:34:09 AM PDT by fella ("As it was before Noah so shall it be again,")
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To: Mjreagan
That’s great. The optics are good but he needs to get out to states where an uptick in the black vote might actually help.

If he gets a substantial Black turnout in Jackson, it will be noticed elsewhere where the Black vote can make a difference.

37 posted on 08/20/2016 5:35:21 PM PDT by CedarDave (Democrats, socialists, progressives all hooked on OPM - Other Peoples Money.)
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To: RoseofTexas

What’s wrong with Newsbusters?


38 posted on 08/20/2016 7:23:04 PM PDT by NetAddicted (Just looking)
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To: LS

Today, NBC, I think it was, claimed Trump was at 1% of the black vote. 1 in 30 or 40 would be 2.5%-3.3%. If they’re saying he’s gone to 1 in 7 (14%), that would be about normal for a Republican.

I don’t know that any of that would be enough to tip anything, unless turnout is way down.

Now polls on Trump have been all over the place (an early election season poll showed Trump at 25% of the black vote, which would be very high for a Republican).


39 posted on 08/20/2016 9:12:35 PM PDT by scrabblehack
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To: Newfy
True but unfortunately Hillary has the Electoral College sewed up and knows it. I don’t know if there’s any way to change that.

Yes, there is. Pray without ceasing. If Donald Trump gets a national lead of two points he wins the Electoral College. 538 estimates there is only a 0.9% chance that Trump would lose the Electoral College if he won the popular vote.

40 posted on 08/20/2016 9:23:17 PM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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