Posted on 08/13/2016 4:20:32 PM PDT by MichelleWSC3
Republican Donald Trump should win the presidency by a slim margin according to a model that has accurately predicted the popular vote since 1988.
Using several standards to make his prediction, Alan Abramowitz’s “Time for Change” model done for the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics “Crystal Ball” shows Trump winning 51.4 percent to 48.6 percent for Hillary Clinton.
He added that the model shows a 66 percent chance of a Trump victory.
“Based on a predicted vote share of 48.6 percent for the incumbent party, these results indicate that Trump should be a clear but not overwhelming favorite to defeat Clinton: There should be about a 66 percent chance of a Republican victory,” Abramowitz added.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
Your prediction is certainly possible.
Trump’s will be so much better in the debates that he will have to be careful to not look like he’s “bullying a woman” — especially since HRC isn’t above acting the victim.
My bet as well.
Question is, what to do next?
” Wait for the first debate. Hillary will face withering fire and she can’t handle it”
I just have my doubts that the Candy Crowleys of the World will allow it. Hillary will get the questions in advance, hell she will probably submit them to ABC..NBC......... I’m not half kidding.
They will ask Trump whom was the last head of the Egyptian parliament or some such nonsense. Of course the biatch Canckles will tell what a good friend Mohamed Saad Tawfik El-Katatni is....blah blah blah. Zero reason to believe it won’t be rigged.
-—Question is, what to do next?——
Impeachment...
uh, guys, this is something that people do when they’re losing at the polls.
they look for other “omens” or “trends” that show their guy will win.
Come on.
Let’s get serious.
I want Trump to win, believe me. And the “real” campaign may not start until after Labor Day.
But let’s go nutty.
yeah, I saw that pathetic report by Katy Tur.
What a biased piece of “journalism”.
You know if Hitlery does win at my age the rest of my life will be doom and gloom. Why do we have to hear so many pessimists on FR daily say Trump will lose. Doesn’t the MSM do enough of that? Could we not just have hope at least until the fat lady sings!
“anyone with a brain knows the dems will commit voter fraud on a massive scale”
—Then please explain 1952,1958,1968, 1972, 1980, 1984, 1988, 2004?
-——Then please explain 1952,1958,1968, 1972, 1980, 1984, 1988, 2004?——
Dems only cheat when they are close enough to not make it obvious...
I remember a “never wrong” prediction model in 2012 that had Romney winning. Then again, the model didn’t include fraud.
I think the margin will be larger than two points.
Won’t be that close
More like 90/10.
If Trump does not win and does not concede there is no need for a SC intervention. Whoever wins the electoral college when they take the vote in December is the winner.
No one looked more surprised than Obama on election night 2012 - that election was stolen
51% vs 48% popular vote can still look like a big win when looking at electoral college votes. Trump will win handily.
That elector will have an attitude adjustment right after Nov 8th.
I don’t think she’s physically going to make it. She has never had to face anyone that is willing to stand up to her. The debates are going to be a slaughter. One quick witted remark/comment from Trump and she’s finished. She’s incapable of being able to go back and forth with a guy like him. She’ll lose her temper in the “what difference does it make” way, only this time he’ll know he’s drawn blood. Hell, there’s a chance she could stroke out on the debate stage.
Then of course, I’m reminded of that movie, “Dave”, with Kevin Kline, where they find a look-a-like for the corrupt president. I think the globalist’s and Soros have so much riding on her that they’ll find a stunt double(if it’s possible to find someone as mean and ugly as she is), keep her out of sight as much as possible, rig the voting machines and right after she’s sworn in, she falls out....DONE!!!
On top of that, Trump isn’t going to roll over and do the dying cockroach if there’s any hint of impropriety or corruption. He’s been in and out of court his whole life. He’ll treat all of this the same way. Personally, I don’t think it’s going to be a blowout, but I can’t understand how he’ll lose. He has a rally and people are lining up the night before. She gets a couple of hundred or has to bus in high school kids to fill seats.
But, he’s proven he’s not your typical politician that will roll over for anyone. As has been stated before, she cheated and barely beat a 70 yr old socialist with a rigged game from before the game even started.
He took on 16, legit/somewhat legit, candidates and cleaned their clocks with no help from anyone but the people.
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