Posted on 08/04/2016 8:36:29 AM PDT by usafa92
A post-convention bounce appears to have given Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton her biggest lead over Republican rival Donald Trump since June in our latest weekly White House Watch survey. This is the first update that includes both the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 44% support to Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 40%. Six percent (6%) prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while three percent (3%) back Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Another three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Clinton and Trump were virtually dead even over the previous two weeks. Support for Clinton ties its highest level in Rasmussen Reports tracking since October of last year. Trump reached a high of 44% support in mid-July. Support for Johnson is down slightly from a high of nine percent (9%) a month ago. This is the first survey to include Stein.
Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans now support Trump, down from 86% a week ago, while Clinton’s support among Democrats has risen from 79% last week to 82% this week. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans now prefer Clinton, while 11% of Democrats support Trump.
Trump once again leads Clinton among voters not affiliated with either party 41% to 29% after Clinton held a five-point lead a week ago. Johnson draws support from three percent (3%) of Republicans, two percent (2%) of Democrats and 14% of voters not affiliated with either party. Stein picks up five percent (5%) of the vote from unaffiliateds and just two percent (2%) support each from Republicans and Democrats.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 1-2, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Voters followed both national political conventions with equal interest but think Clinton benefited more from hers than Trump did from his. Clinton leads Trump 50% to 32% among women this week, a significantly larger gap from last week. Trump leads 49% to 37% among men, also a noticeable jump from a week ago.
Clinton has bounced back into contention in the key state of Nevada in a survey conducted after the convention. Voters are very suspicious about the 30,000 e-mails Clinton and her staff chose to delete and not turn over to the FBI and aren’t all together sure it would be a bad thing if Russia returned those e-mails to investigators here. The FBI has concluded that Clinton potentially exposed top secret information to hostile countries when she illegally used a private e-mail server as secretary of State. Most voters disagree with FBI Director James Comey’s decision not to seek a criminal indictment against the Democratic presidential nominee.
Despite complaints from progressives in her party, Clinton’s decision to make Virginia Senator Tim Kaine her running mate makes little difference to voters. Voters are strongly convinced that Bill Clinton will be involved in his wife’s policy decisions if she is elected to the White House this fall.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.
“He blew the lead with ill advised comments regardless if they were correct.”
Bullshite! Trump made no ill advised comments AND ANY lead in national polls at this point is pointless. Please don’t post GOPe talking points in the future. Sheesh.
Vote Trump 2016
So Trump moves up 3% from the last Rasmussen poll. It was a spread of 7%.
I agree it’s early and it’s far from over. Didn’t say it was.
My wife who is currently a Trump hater (she doesn’t like things like “crooked Hillary”) even sees that the media is on the warpath against Trump.
One person on my local news station talk show said Reagan was down by 18% within a month of the election.
If the election is dependent on wiki leaks, then we are even in worse shape than the media onslaught of the last two weeks makes it appear.
Rasmussen, rasputin, same difference. ABC/NBC/CBS/FOX/CNN and virtually all of the print media are paid whores for the DNC and are all in the bag for the clinton/DNC/RINO dynasty.
The dogshit on the bottom of my boots is more credible than these goebbel socialist wannabe losers.
He didn’t “blow” the lead, he was hit with the full force of the [criminal] global establishment unleashed by Hillary. She’s collected hundreds of millions from Islam and the cheap labor express for a reason. And they won’t stop for even a minute. By Labor Day, Trump will be branded as a man who will nuke the world on day one in the eyes of the multitudes who lap up electronic media every waking hour. He’s up against something he’s never even imagined before. It will be constant and relentless until he is crushed.
You cannot have a revolution through the ballot box in this world today...it can’t be done.
It’s early in the first quarter. There’s a lot of football to play yet. If we play Saban style we’ll grind them down. Always remember the 5 fingers:
1. Discipline
2. Commitment
3. Effort
4. Toughness
5. Pride
THAT’s how you win and Trump knows it.
Every poll confirms this now. See this for some consolation:
http://www.longroom.com/
They have been dead accurate (and I mean within a decimal point) in the last three elections. They have Trump nationall barely ahead.
Ras has seen an 11-point swing on Ras (and remember Ras was HIGH on Romney in 2012 by 1).
If for no other reason than to have a little remaining faith in my fellow Americans, I subscribe to your assessments.
I find it implausible that the majority of voters don’t feel as I do, in yearning for safety, security and sanity to be restored to our country!!
I voted for Obama in 2008, would have voted for Mittens last time but sat out my only missed General Election due to his lackluster campaign coupled with coping with the death of my mother in October, and was a lifelong democrat of 38 years until Trump compelled me to switch to support him in my Maryland primary. Therefore, I have a unique political perspective, wouldn’t you say, to offer at this point.
Again, I have to believe the desperate donkeys and MSM are shaking in their boots, knowing that Trump is actually way ahead of Killary and are stooping to unprecedented lows to take him out of the picture.
The problem is morons who vote. Many with a lot of estrogen.
It’s really hard to be a part of a party that commits suicide every election. They are so principled that they can’t vote for Trump, so they will make sure the biggest crook in American politics is the next President. Some principles.
They really want Hillary to win.
Well, Hillary is crooked who should be prosecuted and jailed.
Most of the 6% for Johnson are nevertrumpers. They better get on board or we will have Hitlery
You could try to "unskew" them. People tried that in 2012 and it worked so well, right? There are 8 polls in the RCP average right now and all show Shrillery, the screechy bag of bones, winning. Are you saying they are all "cooked"? Can we not at least be honest about the state of the race, or will we just wear blinders till the day after the election?
These polls are just a snapshot in time. They are useful in that regard. You can look at the polling and get a feel for what is and isn't working. To just ignore them, especially when they are all pointing in the same direction, is utter folly.
Every single election they shove Doles, Bushes, Romneys and McCains down our throats and then Scream to the top of their lungs -- YOU MUST SUPPORT THE NOMINEE!!! YOU MUST VOTE FOR THE NOMINEE!!!!
Now the shoe is on the other foot and they are throwing a temper tantrum and doing exactly what they SCREAMED at conservatives not to do.
Well guess What GOP - listen up and listen up good - if you throw this election to Hillary! with this crap you can kiss my hairy white CONSERVATIVE arse goodbye and enjoy your minority status as I will NEVER EVER EVER EVER EVER (that's a lot of evers) support or vote for an ESTABLISHMENT candidate of yours again!
Welcome to sanity. Better late than never.
I hope there are many more like you. I really do. I don't know what to believe anymore though; I really don't (except to believe God is still in control). As for my fellow countrymen though, it seems the collective mind of all of humanity has taken a vacation, except those like you and others on this site.
I just hope more are coming back from that vacation. This election is an absolute watershed for me. If Trump doesn't win I'm done, as far as politics go. There will be absolutely nothing left to care about in the political arena.
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