Posted on 07/25/2016 7:46:45 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
If the election were held Monday, Donald Trump would likely win.
That's what renowned statistician Nate Silver projected on Monday for his data journalism outlet FiveThirtyEight.
In his "Now-cast" election model for who would win if ballots were cast Monday, Silver gave the Republican nominee a 57.5% chance of winning the presidency.
Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton had a 42.5% chance of securing the nation's highest office if voters were to take to the polls Monday.
Silver's model had Trump winning in the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. He would win 285 electoral votes in Silver's model.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
I think Nate’s model is irrelevant when it comes to the Trump equation:-)
Go Trump LANDSLIDE Go!
Are they slashing their wrists over at DU yet?
Whisper it: had the Democrats run anyone who resembled a normal person - even Tim Kaine himself at the top of the ticket - they probably would walk to victory.
But Obama’s ego and the Clintons’ lust for power have hogtied (pun intentional) the DNC. As much as he dislikes the Clintons, they are his only chance to matter beyond Jan 2017, despite the disastrous preceding 8 years.
Obama has never put party first, only himself. While he rails - with less conviction each time - about GOP obstruction the reality is that his own party has abandoned him because he abandoned them. His ego won’t let him share the spotlight and he’s hogged all the admittedly plentiful media bias in DC. When’s the last time we even read the name Pelosi or Reid or Schumer?
Nate the moron is still trying to be relevant:
“Nate Silver: ‘Calm down,’ Donald Trump won’t win the GOP nomination”
The good news is Hillary Clinton is known and won’t change and the mess with the emails will only add to her trevails. She is stuck.
And her rabid base of BLM and BernieBots won’t allow her to triangulate in the typical Clinton fashion.
> the Clintons’ lust for power have hogtied (pun intentional) the DNC.<
More likely their lust for staying out of jail.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/757559058924699648
Nate likes to hedge his bets; that way he can claim he predicted correctly whatever happens. It is his “now cast” computer model that has Trump winning if the election were held right now. Regardless, these are substantial gains for Trump and show momentum. It will be interesting to see who holds the momentum next week after the DNC convention ends. If the DNC fawning over the Democrats for a week doesn't create some momentum for Hillary, we will see full scale panic.
The really scary thing is wondering what diabolical actions that they will try if this happens. They never seem to just roll over and play dead. We could be looking at some really scary stuff if it looks like Hillary is really going to lose. I would put nothing past them, they literally would go full nuclear if that would help. That is why there are many in the military who are very concerned about ill conceived actions in the Middle East timed to affect the election, but it could be much worse than that.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-election#now
Yes, I know, but it still is a landslide in the making. Trump is positioned well, Clinton’s party is self-destructing. Can’t get any better than that. Well, maybe if they refuse to confirm Clinton and Kaine. Too bad Sander’s gave up.
The media will do everything they possibly can to contain any dissension at the DNC. They might just end up showing videos from past conventions, just to keep them from reporting what’s going on there.
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