Posted on 07/24/2016 10:22:04 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
The YouGov/CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker polled likely voters across eleven competitive states before and after the Republican National Convention
Donald Trump has made small gains among undecided voters in eleven competitive states, according to two waves of the YouGov/CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker, carried out before and after the Republican National Convention.
The Republican nominee’s share of support has risen to 42% in the latest survey, putting him one point ahead of his Democratic challenger Hillary Clinton. Trump’s support is up from 40% in the previous round of interviews while Hillary Clinton’s support held firm at 41%. Gary Johnson’s support is 6%, a one point increase from before, and Jill Stein’s was unchanged at 2%. The share of remaining undecided or third-party voters fell from 11% to 9%.
The study includes likely voters from eleven states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Voters who participated in the most recent wave were first interviewed July 13-15 and were recontacted July 22-23 at the conclusion of the Republican National Convention.
Overall, thirty-six percent of likely voters in these states report feeling more positively about Donald Trump following the convention, while 32% report feeling more negatively. 22% say their views are unchanged.
I believe that he will too, but the message coming away from the convention was that major players backed what the major media was saying about Trump.
Ted Cruz, those that chose to boycott the convention, and those who spouted off on T.V. with negative remarks about the best hope we’ve had since Reagan, were sure to hurt us to some degree.
There are some in the Republican party who are terrified of our founding principles. Time to root them out and make sure they can’t harm this nation any longer.
Ted... this means you too egg-head.
Paul Manafort and Donald J. Trump are two guys who strike me as not willing to put with voter fraud and/or will come up with ways to combat it.
Hah!
And where is the corresponding sheet on Obama?
The poll to watch is Rassmussen. They released a poll last week after polling last Monday and Tuesday. That showed a tightening. My guess is it will show a return to the previous spread. I think another will be released next Weds or Thurs.
And now for an alternative position...
The Democrats want Hillary to lose.
1) Hillary’s loss will mean the end of the Clinton era of influence peddling. The Chicago mob would for all practical purposes run the party apparatus.
2) The Democrats have to run against someone, to avoid the kinds of debacles that occurred in 2010 and 2014. Trump is, in their minds, the perfect bogeyman to help them regain control of the Senate in 2018, and perhaps the House in 2020.
3) S is about to HTF. So much easier to blame it on a sitting President than a former one, and Trump would be the sitting President who would receive all the blame.
4) With Clinton’s loss, the torch will be passed to a new, much more socialist, much more progressivist, much more ideologically pure generation of politicians. Leftists who think of the Clintons, Pelosi, Schumer, and most of the CBC as too old and not leftist enough would be able to rise up and claim the mantle of True Progressives.
All of this is predicated on one belief, that the DNC/MSM complex can successfully paint Trump as the Nazi Antichrist over the next four years. They’ll give it their best, of course.
This poll says it is worst than the media arm, MSM, of the DNC want to publicly admit
So why didn’t they do a national poll instead of a battleground poll? In past elections all we saw post Convention were national polls.
I’m guessing the bump was a bit more than they could handle.
For being a widely unpopular candidate, he certainly has a lot of people that hate him with Trump signs in their front years here in New Jersey
Funny, the only Hillary sign is a Hillary for Prison sign
These polls are bogus pieces of garbage so the media can keep saying this election is “close”
It isn’t, Trump wins this with over 60% of the vote
Ignore these bird cage liner grade polls just like we ignore the Washington Compost or the New York Slimes
If third party candidates are excluded, Trump has a four to six point lead.
He pulled ahead and now the only question left is whether Hillary can show the country she is more than just the candidate of the status quo.
After all, she is running for the third Obama term at a time when Americans want change.
Trump is at 45%.
And Hillary is definitely behind.
Would be nice to sit on the lead but the freak show is upcoming and Hillary will likely get a bounce.
He now has surged into a lead in FIVE recent polls, some by as many as 5 points.
“Throw them out and in the swing states Trump is probably up by 3 in those swing states.”
My point exactly...in fact I think he may even better numbers than that. I am trying to find a way to break out the CO,NM and MI numbers and calculate back, but the methodology is very complicated, which in itself tells me they have many ways to effect the results.
After this battleground polling, the next Axiom Battleground poll should be interesting. That polls the seven counties in seven states that predict national elections with uncanny accuracy. Trump did very well in the last poll, leading in 5 out of 7. The counties/states he wins are FL, NC, PA, OH, WI .. tied in CO and down in VA. The last 2 polls show a move to Trump in everyone of the counties. Another poll should be out in a day or two.
http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/
Lets hope the Bernie Bots go ballistic outside, and inside the convention this week. Will cut down on the MSM ability to spend all of their time selling the gullible on her heinous.
Really wish Trump was doing a massive rally nearby this week. Town hall is nice and all, but not newsworthy. A stadium with 100,000 while all the BLM types are occupied in Philly could not be ignored.
This is the expected CBS/DNC party line.
Hillary, of course, will get a solid bounce and go on to become the new “comeback kid”
The script has been written for over a year.
“Really wish Trump was doing a massive rally nearby this week.”
Let all the protesters stay at the DNC; when your enemy is busy shooting itself, it’s always best to stand back and let it happen.
Good point.
Wonder if the Bernie Bots will dog her campaign events beyond this week?
Reading the tea leaves watching Manafort’s interview with Chris Wallace, the bump was small. He said he thinks they are ahead, and went on to say that they are not paying attention to national polls, but rather the expanded battleground states. While a correct statement, it seems to indicate that whatever polling the campaign may have seen, the convention bump was not huge.
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