That sounds about right. There are more registered Rats than Reps. Sometimes you get polls that oversample Rats by 10-15% which is excessive and should be viewed with skepticism.
so 5% is close enough.
Here's my opinion, I could be wrong, but I'm usually not, except when I am, which is rare.
If the primaries are any indication, Trump drew over a million more votes than any other republican candidate in history, on top of having 15 other candidates to compete against.
For all the talk of Trump having negatives, the numbers are showing the opposite.
Hillary isn't inspiring anybody. And Trump is drawing people, while barely spending money. He's polling better with hispanics and blacks than either Romney or McCain did. And by noticeable amounts.
If you go to
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/polls.html
And look at State Polling Averages, these are the swing states. They put every one of them on Hillary's side. But, there are only 3 swing states that are above 3.5%
Within 3.5%...All these others are legitimately in play.
That's 103 electoral votes
If we consider 151 as a lock, that's 254 with 270 needed.
There are 5 remaining states not polled. Co., Ga, Mn., Mo. , Nv.
Nevada and Georgia are already leaning Republican by their current office holders.
I think Hillary's camp is sweating bullets.
Hillary NEEDS to energize her own party. Bernie supporters are the key. If they stay home, she's toast.