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Nate Silver gives Hillary Clinton 79% chance of winning presidency; Trump only 20%
Daily News ^ | June 29, 2016 | Jason Silverstein

Posted on 06/29/2016 12:14:30 PM PDT by detective

Nate Silver has spoken: Hillary Clinton will be the next President.

The famed political pollster — whose past presidential predictions have been freakishly accurate — said Wednesday he gives the presumptive Democratic candidate a 79% chance of winning the White House come November.

Her loud-mouthed Republican rival, Donald Trump, has only a 20% chance of winning, Silver said.

“We're kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she's taking a 7-point, maybe 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver, founder of the political analysis website FiveThirtyEight, said on “Good Morning America.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nydailynews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 100percentwrong; clinton; hillary; hillaryclinton; natesilver; silver; trump
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Nate Silver is an establishment favorite. He has been continually wrong about Trump. He said Trump was unpopular and would never win the nomination.
1 posted on 06/29/2016 12:14:30 PM PDT by detective
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To: detective

The way I see it is the only way Clinton can win is through massive election fraud....


2 posted on 06/29/2016 12:16:17 PM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC....PATRIOTICALLY CORRECT!!!!)
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To: detective

How was nate on Trump whipping 16 in the primaries? and oh yeah nate are you spending all that Brexit money you won on that bet?


3 posted on 06/29/2016 12:16:19 PM PDT by WENDLE (Make America Great again. Arrest Hillary.)
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To: detective

I’m not a Silver fan at all, but I have to say those odds look about right. I expect Trump’s chances to improve over time, but this was never going to be easy.

My gut tells me that this will be fairly close race all the way until the end, and then one or the other candidate will bust it open and win with about 330 electoral votes. I don’t know which one that will be.

This was never going to be easy, folks.


4 posted on 06/29/2016 12:17:10 PM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: detective

Nate Silver, another Secular Progressive Jew (aka Capo) for the destruction of America!


5 posted on 06/29/2016 12:17:28 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: detective

Rush went through the dated listing of his 6 previous wrong predictions on Trump


6 posted on 06/29/2016 12:18:12 PM PDT by UB355 (Slower traffic keep right)
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To: detective

Here’s the text of an email that I just received from a friend who is a decorated Nam veteran. Please read and share.

This was sent to me from a friend ... please pass along...

“Look, we need to understand where we stand in the middle of all these circus acts and distractions. And trust me, the circus is for us. The media is blinding us with Trapeze Acts and Equestrian shows while the bad guys steal all of our country.

Get this straight right now and spread this message as far and wide as possible. Hillary has somehow risen above the law. She actually runs things now. She has ALL of the press on her side. Hell, she even has the GOP on her side. How did she do this? She has hundreds of millions of dollars and she is using a lot of her funds to pay off the FBI and the rest of the enforcement branch. Nothing is going to stick to her. She told us already just as confidently as she could that nothing is going to come of the Benghazi investigation and nothing is going to come from the Email investigation, How can she just brazenly say this? She can because she knows it is true. She has the best air cover that money can buy! Come on, you saw the media in action yesterday after the Benghazi report came out. The Q&A afterwards from the press was an ambush. Goudy and the boys were accused of wasting seven million dollars of taxpayers money. CBS, ABC, NBC and all of their affiliates including CNN ran the same lines: “Nothing New on Hillary” “No Wong doing on Hillary’s Part”.

I know this hurts but we have to face up to the fact that Hillary owns the justice department and the press. She’s paying people all over to look the other way, She is a disgusting criminal of magnitude and has to be stopped. The Justice Department isn’t going to stop her. Congress is not going to stop her. The only entity that is going to stop her is us, the voters. We The People.

We need to act and act now. We need to disseminate at every level to all who might vote that Hillary is a criminal and needs to be stopped before going one step further. How? A peaceful but loud revolution against her.

Get out there and get on every command channel and expose this beast for what she is. We need to convince voters of all levels what a sham this woman is. We need to go into schools, go on TV, radio in the press and please with folks not to vote for her and why. Action is the key here. Get up off of your asses and into the public and tell them what a criminal Hillary is, There are two books written by secret Service officers who worked in the white House under the Clintons who will tell you what a psychotic asshole Hillary is. There are more books: “ “Blood feud”, “Clinton Cash”, Clintons War on Women”, “Absolute Power”, “Hillary: A History of Scandal, Corruption..” and ten more that are all trying to expose these people. Not to mention a new movie coming out in July “Hillary’s America”.

Trust is the key to potential Hillary voters. People who vote for Hillary will mainly vote for her because she is a woman. This is as shallow as it goes. But people have left her camp because they don’t trust her because of the multiple FBI investigations and this is the button to push. “Who wants to vote for someone who has several ongoing FBI investigations going on her?”

Please, start now. Get out there and Communicate!!”


7 posted on 06/29/2016 12:18:33 PM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
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To: JBW1949
The way I see it is the only way Clinton can win is through massive election fraud....

...and your point is?

8 posted on 06/29/2016 12:18:38 PM PDT by broken_arrow1 (I regret that I have but one life to give for my country - Nathan Hale "Patriot")
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To: JBW1949

And the borders are WIDE OPEN with undocumented Democrats pouring in.


9 posted on 06/29/2016 12:19:27 PM PDT by Arthur McGowan
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To: detective
"...Her loud-mouthed Republican rival, Donald Trump, has only a 20% chance of winning, Silver said..."

Gee. How come he didn't say: "...the presumptive Democratic candidate with honesty and corruption issues a 79% chance of winning the White House come November..."

One can only wonder why he worded it as he did. Just wondering...

10 posted on 06/29/2016 12:19:35 PM PDT by rlmorel (Orwell described Liberals when he wrote of those who "repudiate morality while laying claim to it.")
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To: detective

Since we are using probability, I will add, there is a 100% chance this guy is an asshole.


11 posted on 06/29/2016 12:21:12 PM PDT by IamConservative (There is no greater threat to our freedoms than Bipartisanship.)
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To: HarleyLady27

Amen to that!!


12 posted on 06/29/2016 12:21:24 PM PDT by laplata ( Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: detective

Nate Silver like yours truly, is playing it safe.

No one wants to bet on the dark horse.

Of course, there is always the chance the odds might flip.


13 posted on 06/29/2016 12:21:28 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: detective

Nate Silver in the Fall of 2015:

“In Silver’s telling, Trump’s abrasive, attention-getting rhetoric was serving to make the primary a “referendum” on Trump,”

Isn’t that what the MSM is telling us now...that the election will be a referendum on Trump...he didn’t lose because of it in the primary, so why would he lose because of it in the general. In fact, it was probably one of the reasons he gained support.


14 posted on 06/29/2016 12:22:06 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: Ted Grant

your reporting does remind me of Ted Grant


15 posted on 06/29/2016 12:22:16 PM PDT by Mr. K (Trump will win NY state - choke on that HilLIARy)
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To: detective

Trump is the first Republican since Reagan whose political philosophy is something other than, “Hey! It’s Republicans’ turn at the trough!”


16 posted on 06/29/2016 12:22:52 PM PDT by Arthur McGowan
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To: broken_arrow1

Its the demographics and massive vote fraud.

If its close, Hillary will win. Hello, KY!


17 posted on 06/29/2016 12:23:07 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: broken_arrow1

I kinda thought that was pretty clear.......


18 posted on 06/29/2016 12:23:14 PM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC....PATRIOTICALLY CORRECT!!!!)
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To: detective

He may have been right in earlier races, but he was badly off in the primaries this year.


19 posted on 06/29/2016 12:24:06 PM PDT by KosmicKitty (Waiting for inspiration)
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To: detective

Limbaugh says Silver’s been wrong about Trump 7 times already.


20 posted on 06/29/2016 12:24:11 PM PDT by mosesdapoet (My best insights get lost in FR's because of meaningless venting no one reads.)
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